2005年农民增收面临的困难

20 0 4年 ,各级党委和政府认真贯彻落实“一号文件”精神 ,极大地调动起了农民农业生产积极性 ,加上市场粮价回升、农业生产气候条件适宜等多方面有利因素 ,农民增收呈现近年来少有的好形势。据统计 ,全年农民人均纯收入 2 936元 ,增加 314元 ,实际增长 6 8% ,是 1997年以来收入增加最多和增长最快的一年。但是 ,制约农民增收的深层次矛盾还没有得到有效化解 ,2 0 0 5年实现农民收入较快增长的任务还很艰巨。　　一、2 0 0 4年农民增收的特点(一 )农业收入创历史新高农业收入在农民收入中具有举足轻重的地位 ,是农民收入的最大来源。近年来…     

创新办学模式 激活办学潜力——关于福建省侨兴轻工学校教育改革的探索和实践

中职教育,由于受计划经济体制的制约和传统教育思想的束缚,长期以来,存在着重书本知识轻实践技能的弊端,是一种以教师为中心的典型模式。我校围绕“以服务为宗旨,以就业为导向,面向市场和社会办学”的指导思想,顺应形势的发展进行了积极的探索和实践,加快了中职教育教学的改革步伐,促进了学校发展。     

儒、释、道的生育观比较研究

儒、释、道三家均有其各自的生育观及其指导下的生育实践活动.认真吸取其精华,去其糟粕,对促进两个文明建设,提高人口素质,不仅具有学术理论研究意义,也具有较强现实指导与借鉴意义.     

Bayesian analysis of a marked point process: Application in seismic hazard assessment

Point processes are the stochastic models most suitable for describing physical phenomena that appear at irregularly spaced times, such as the earthquakes. These processes are uniquely characterized by their conditional intensity, that is, by the probability that an event will occur in the infinitesimal interval (t, t+Δt), given the history of the process up tot. The seismic phenomenon displays different behaviours on different time and size scales; in particular, the occurrence of destructive shocks over some centuries in a seismogenic region may be explained by the elastic rebound theory. This theory has inspired the so-called stress release models: their conditional intensity translates the idea that an earthquake produces a sudden decrease in the amount of strain accumulated gradually over time along a fault, and the subsequent event occurs when the stress exceeds the strength of the medium. This study has a double objective: the formulation of these models in the Bayesian framework, and the assignment to each event of a mark, that is its magnitude, modelled through a distribution that depends at timet on the stress level accumulated up to that instant. The resulting parameter space is constrained and dependent on the data, complicating Bayesian computation and analysis. We have resorted to Monte Carlo methods to solve these problems.     

健美操锻炼对高校女生体型的影响

通过对180名健美操选项课的女生进行为期一学年的健美操训练,探索健美操对高校女生体形和姿态的影响.实验前测验显示:多数学生的三围比例不合理,胸围、臀围较小,腹部脂肪堆积较多.通过健美操锻炼可使皮下脂肪的含量减少,去脂体重占的比例增大,三围更接近标准,肢体的柔韧性得到增强.说明健美操锻炼能够有效塑造女性的身材,使女性显得健美,更具有女性的魅力.     

Population constraints on pooled surveys in demographic hazard modeling

In non-experimental research, data on the same population process may be collected simultaneously by more than one instrument. For example, in the present application, two sample surveys and a population birth registration system all collect observations on first births by age and year, while the two surveys additionally collect information on women’s education. To make maximum use of the three data sources, the survey data are pooled and the population data introduced as constraints in a logistic regression equation. Reductions in standard errors about the age and birth-cohort parameters of the regression equation in the order of three-quarters are obtained by introducing the population data as constraints. A halving of the standard errors about the education parameters is achieved by pooling observations from the larger survey dataset with those from the smaller survey. The percentage reduction in the standard errors through imposing population constraints is independent of the total survey sample size.     

论鲁迅文学的现代性

鲁迅的文学是适合现代中国人文化需要的文学,他打破传统的手法和思想,以现代人的思想写出了具有现代性的文学。文章从三方面来论述鲁迅文学的现代性激越而深沉的审美特征;最浓厚而又最具现代色调的悲剧意识;象征印象主义和现实主义相融合的艺术手法     

Unresolved Conflicts in the Regional Security System: The Case of the South Caucasus

The collapse of the USSR was accompanied by transformation of the South Caucasian latent ethnopolitical conflicts into local wars. Today the situation in the area of the conflicts is “neither war, nor peace”. Three unresolved conflicts of the South Caucasus can be considered as one of the most serious obstacles for establishing a regional security system.The article gives the general characteristics of these conflicts, the trends of their development, taking into account the time factor, and analyzes the behavioral models of the main players – de jure recognized and unrecognized de facto states of the South Caucasus. The basic objective of the main players should be to keep the situation on a level preventing the resumption of the armed conflicts. The attempts of forced resolution of the conflicts are fraught with destabilization of the situation not only in the area of any of these conflicts but in the whole region.