全文获取类型
收费全文 | 11608篇 |
免费 | 83篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 1639篇 |
民族学 | 111篇 |
人口学 | 2533篇 |
丛书文集 | 1篇 |
理论方法论 | 609篇 |
综合类 | 304篇 |
社会学 | 5148篇 |
统计学 | 1346篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 3篇 |
2023年 | 17篇 |
2022年 | 15篇 |
2021年 | 21篇 |
2020年 | 48篇 |
2019年 | 86篇 |
2018年 | 1735篇 |
2017年 | 1728篇 |
2016年 | 1134篇 |
2015年 | 84篇 |
2014年 | 97篇 |
2013年 | 235篇 |
2012年 | 430篇 |
2011年 | 1193篇 |
2010年 | 1082篇 |
2009年 | 822篇 |
2008年 | 849篇 |
2007年 | 1022篇 |
2006年 | 32篇 |
2005年 | 261篇 |
2004年 | 277篇 |
2003年 | 240篇 |
2002年 | 99篇 |
2001年 | 18篇 |
2000年 | 24篇 |
1999年 | 15篇 |
1998年 | 13篇 |
1997年 | 12篇 |
1996年 | 35篇 |
1995年 | 8篇 |
1994年 | 8篇 |
1993年 | 6篇 |
1991年 | 3篇 |
1990年 | 5篇 |
1989年 | 2篇 |
1988年 | 10篇 |
1987年 | 3篇 |
1986年 | 1篇 |
1985年 | 3篇 |
1984年 | 2篇 |
1983年 | 1篇 |
1982年 | 1篇 |
1980年 | 2篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
1973年 | 2篇 |
1972年 | 1篇 |
1971年 | 1篇 |
1970年 | 1篇 |
1968年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 656 毫秒
181.
Competing risks occur in a time-to-event analysis in which a patient can experience one of several types of events. Traditional methods for handling competing risks data presuppose one censoring process, which is assumed to be independent. In a controlled clinical trial, censoring can occur for several reasons: some independent, others dependent. We propose an estimator of the cumulative incidence function in the presence of both independent and dependent censoring mechanisms. We rely on semi-parametric theory to derive an augmented inverse probability of censoring weighted (AIPCW) estimator. We demonstrate the efficiency gained when using the AIPCW estimator compared to a non-augmented estimator via simulations. We then apply our method to evaluate the safety and efficacy of three anti-HIV regimens in a randomized trial conducted by the AIDS Clinical Trial Group, ACTG A5095. 相似文献
182.
The use of Bayesian nonparametrics models has increased rapidly over the last few decades driven by increasing computational power and the development of efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. We review some applications of these models in economic applications including: volatility modelling (using both stochastic volatility models and GARCH-type models) with Dirichlet process mixture models, uses in portfolio allocation problems, long memory models with flexible forms of time-dependence, flexible extension of the dynamic Nelson-Siegel model for interest rate yields and multivariate time series models used in macroeconometrics. 相似文献
183.
In this paper, we study space–time generalized additive models. We apply the penalyzed likelihood method to fit generalized additive models (GAMs) for nonseparable spatio-temporal correlated data in order to improve the estimation of the response and smooth terms of GAMs. The results show that our space–time generalized additive models estimated response and smooth terms reasonable well, and in addition, the mean squared error, mean absolute deviation and coverage intervals improved considerably compared to the classic GAM. An application on particulate matter concentration in the North-Italian region of Piemonte is also presented. 相似文献
184.
Zambon Stefano Marasca Stefano Chiucchi Maria Serena 《Journal of Management and Governance》2019,23(2):291-297
Journal of Management and Governance - 相似文献
185.
Social Indicators Research - The study of preferences of leisure-time activities provides important information on the characteristics and inclinations of specific demographics. Modeling these data... 相似文献
186.
QiJie Xiao 《Public Organization Review》2018,18(2):207-221
Control often weakens autonomy in organizational theories. While many scholars focus on the paradox of control and autonomy, few pay attention to how an organization obtains both control and autonomy. By exploring Zhangjiakou Internal Immigrant Organization, this study finds two mechanisms can contribute to the balanced combination of control and autonomy. First, managers play ambidextrous official-merchant roles, which means superiors take both bureaucratic and autonomous management styles. Second, members have dual organizational goals for both political status and network support. In conclusion, the successful combination is shaped by the subjective interaction between the government, superior managers and subordinate members. 相似文献
187.
George Yancey 《The American Sociologist》2018,49(2):336-343
Larregue argued that while there is an ideological imbalance among academics that this imbalance has not unfairly impacted our findings. He also implies that it is the activism of conservatives, rather than progressives, which has created real problems in academia. As such he disputes claims that activism among progressive academics has create a backlash from political conservatives. However, Larregue does not address the previous empirical work on the subject of academic bias. Furthermore, his argument of methodological rigor does not address the tendency of scholars to overlook alternate theories. His argument that progressive scholars are no more biased than conservative scholars fails to account for the sheer number of progressive scholars relative to conservative scholars as it concerns the possibly of institutional bias. I also find his focus on fraud to be misplaced since scholars do not have to engage in fraud to be in ideological silos that do not take alternative theories into account. As to his second major argument, I am unsure whether liberal academic activism leads to conservative mistrust and await further future research on this topic. I do commend Larregue in bringing the question of sources of conservative mistust to our attention. 相似文献
188.
189.
Richard Bradley 《Theory and Decision》2018,85(1):5-20
How should we revise our beliefs in response to the expressed probabilistic opinions of experts on some proposition when these experts are in disagreement? In this paper I examine the suggestion that in such circumstances we should adopt a linear average of the experts’ opinions and consider whether such a belief revision policy is compatible with Bayesian conditionalisation. By looking at situations in which full or partial deference to the expressed opinions of others is required by Bayesianism I show that only in trivial circumstances are the requirements imposed by linear averaging compatible with it. 相似文献
190.
The Bologna Process is a unique harmonisation process taking place outside the policy-making framework of the European Union. It aims at enhancing the comparability and compatibility of higher education structures and degrees across Europe, as well as to institutionalise quality assurance mechanisms. The aim of this article is to provide a condensed, up-to-date overview of the Bologna Process with regard to structural characteristics, before embedding it into a discussion on processes on voluntary policy convergence and to which extent we should be able to find this kind of policy harmonisation in the realm of the Bologna Process. Related to this are questions why this, in principle, completely voluntary process of policy harmonisation, has appealed to so many countries and why they might or might not feel committed to the implementation of its policies and tools. 相似文献