全文获取类型
收费全文 | 5216篇 |
免费 | 126篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 920篇 |
民族学 | 41篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 406篇 |
丛书文集 | 22篇 |
理论方法论 | 614篇 |
综合类 | 68篇 |
社会学 | 2619篇 |
统计学 | 651篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 47篇 |
2022年 | 27篇 |
2021年 | 36篇 |
2020年 | 102篇 |
2019年 | 164篇 |
2018年 | 148篇 |
2017年 | 222篇 |
2016年 | 153篇 |
2015年 | 145篇 |
2014年 | 156篇 |
2013年 | 842篇 |
2012年 | 208篇 |
2011年 | 249篇 |
2010年 | 169篇 |
2009年 | 146篇 |
2008年 | 160篇 |
2007年 | 193篇 |
2006年 | 172篇 |
2005年 | 162篇 |
2004年 | 163篇 |
2003年 | 129篇 |
2002年 | 147篇 |
2001年 | 123篇 |
2000年 | 96篇 |
1999年 | 93篇 |
1998年 | 66篇 |
1997年 | 68篇 |
1996年 | 55篇 |
1995年 | 52篇 |
1994年 | 45篇 |
1993年 | 61篇 |
1992年 | 54篇 |
1991年 | 49篇 |
1990年 | 51篇 |
1989年 | 52篇 |
1988年 | 50篇 |
1987年 | 38篇 |
1986年 | 41篇 |
1985年 | 29篇 |
1984年 | 51篇 |
1983年 | 38篇 |
1982年 | 42篇 |
1981年 | 40篇 |
1980年 | 37篇 |
1979年 | 31篇 |
1978年 | 25篇 |
1977年 | 19篇 |
1976年 | 20篇 |
1975年 | 20篇 |
1974年 | 13篇 |
排序方式: 共有5342条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
101.
Michael Kind 《LABOUR》2015,29(1):79-99
In collective redundancies, employers are forced to regard certain characteristics when deciding who to dismiss. This paper develops a procedure to derive an empirical‐based weighting scheme between protection characteristics in Germany (age, disability, dependencies, and tenure). Up to now, an objective weighting scheme is missing, and employers bargain with employee's representatives about the weighting of the characteristics. In the suggested procedure, the relationships of the four characteristics with reemployment probabilities and the quality of the new job are estimated. Then, the relevant outcome variable is chosen applying life satisfaction analysis. Finally, based on the empirical results, a weighting scheme for the characteristics is proposed, which serves as a guideline in the process of collective redundancies. 相似文献
102.
103.
Semhar Michael 《统计学通讯:模拟与计算》2016,45(6):2051-2069
Cluster analysis is a popular statistics and computer science technique commonly used in various areas of research. In this article, we investigate factors that can influence clustering performance in the model-based clustering framework. The four factors considered are the level of overlap, number of clusters, number of dimensions, and sample size. Through a comprehensive simulation study, we investigate model-based clustering in different settings. As a measure of clustering performance, we employ three popular classification indices capable of reflecting the degree of agreement in two partitioning vectors, thus making the comparison between the true and estimated classification vectors possible. In addition to studying clustering complexity, the performance of the three classification measures is evaluated. 相似文献
104.
Most existing reduced-form macroeconomic multivariate time series models employ elliptical disturbances, so that the forecast densities produced are symmetric. In this article, we use a copula model with asymmetric margins to produce forecast densities with the scope for severe departures from symmetry. Empirical and skew t distributions are employed for the margins, and a high-dimensional Gaussian copula is used to jointly capture cross-sectional and (multivariate) serial dependence. The copula parameter matrix is given by the correlation matrix of a latent stationary and Markov vector autoregression (VAR). We show that the likelihood can be evaluated efficiently using the unique partial correlations, and estimate the copula using Bayesian methods. We examine the forecasting performance of the model for four U.S. macroeconomic variables between 1975:Q1 and 2011:Q2 using quarterly real-time data. We find that the point and density forecasts from the copula model are competitive with those from a Bayesian VAR. During the recent recession the forecast densities exhibit substantial asymmetry, avoiding some of the pitfalls of the symmetric forecast densities from the Bayesian VAR. We show that the asymmetries in the predictive distributions of GDP growth and inflation are similar to those found in the probabilistic forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters. Last, we find that unlike the linear VAR model, our fitted Gaussian copula models exhibit nonlinear dependencies between some macroeconomic variables. This article has online supplementary material. 相似文献
105.
Cell Phone Survey Feasibility in The U.S.: Sampling and Calling Cell Numbers Versus Landline Numbers 总被引:6,自引:6,他引:0
Brick J. Michael; Brick Pat D.; Dipko Sarah; Presser Stanley; Tucker Clyde; Yuan Yangyang 《Public opinion quarterly》2007,71(1):23-39
In 2004, we conducted a nationwide dual frame survey of landlineand cell phone numbers to evaluate the feasibility of includingcell phone numbers in a random digit dial telephone survey.Households with both landline and cell phones were eligiblefor selection in both samples. This article describes our designand data collection methods; compares the results from the twosamples (with an emphasis on operational characteristics); andpresents the outcomes of two experimental manipulations designedto improve the cell phone response rate. 相似文献
106.
Sampling Telephone Numbers and Adults, Interview Length, and Weighting in The California Health Interview Survey Cell Phone Pilot Study 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
This article describes several features included in a CaliforniaHealth Interview Survey cell phone pilot study that differ fromearlier cell phone surveys conducted in the United States. Onedifference is that the study used a screening design and onlyadults living in cell-only households were interviewed. Mostof the previous studies used dual frame designs. Another differencewas the development and implementation of a within-householdadult sampling procedure to cover adults when cell phones wereshared in the household. The study was also intended to determineif conducting a cell phone interview of the same scope and lengthas a regular telephone interview was feasible. Most previoussurveys were focused on cell phone topics and were shorter thanthe comparable landline surveys. We then explore some interestingproblems that arise in weighting a cell phone survey using ascreening design. We conclude with a discussion of planninga new cell phone survey in 2007 that incorporates findings fromthis study. 相似文献
107.
Mitofsky Waksberg: Learning From The Past 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Warren Mitofsky and Joseph Waksberg were two of the most influentialresearchers in telephone surveys and survey research methods.Their development of the Mitofsky–Waksberg method forrandom digit dialing sampling revolutionized telephone samplingand surveys. Jointly and separately, Waksberg and Mitofsky wereinstrumental in the development of many innovative methods andapplications. This article reviews some of their contributionsand discusses how their approaches to these problems may bea model for addressing issues that are being encountered currentlyin the United States in cell phone research. 相似文献
108.
The ethical work of program evaluators is based on a covenant of honesty and transparency among stakeholders. Yet even under the most favorable evaluation conditions, threats to ethical standards exist and muddle that covenant. Unfortunately, ethical issues associated with different evaluation structures and contracting arrangements have received little attention in the evaluation research literature. This article focuses on the unintended ethical threats associated with multitiered evaluation contexts. After briefly reviewing the various frames through which evaluation theory and ethics are commonly viewed, we discuss ethical challenges associated with multitiered evaluation designs including examples drawn from our evaluation projects. The article concludes with specific findings and recommendations for evaluators, grantors, grantees, and researchers. 相似文献
109.
This qualitative study describes environmental supports and barriers to physical activity in an older adult sample drawn from low- and high-walkable neighborhoods. Thirty-seven individuals age 55 and over were recruited and answered open-ended survey questions, with a subsample invited back to partake in a semistructured interview. Content analysis identified categories and themes linking perceptions of neighborhood-environment characteristics to activity. Emerging categories and themes did not differ across neighborhood walkability, so results are presented for both groups combined. Infrastructure was the most common category identified to encourage activity, specifically, well-maintained sidewalks, bike paths or lanes, and traffic control. Other categories of land use, landscape, and aesthetics were reported. Poorly maintained or missing sidewalks, crosswalks, bike paths or lanes, and traffic safety were categories that discouraged activity. In conclusion, the information obtained is helpful in solidifying which environmental characteristics are important to measure as they relate to activity behavior in an older adult population. 相似文献
110.
Wolf-Branigin M Wolf-Branigin K Israel N 《Journal of social work in disability & rehabilitation》2007,6(4):15-30
Recruiting and retaining direct support professionals (DSPs) remains essential to the full inclusion for persons with disabilities. Using a mixed-evaluation model, we measured DSPs' views versus those of their supervisors. DSPs expressed lower perceptions concerning their supervisors, satisfaction with their work situation, and environmental and safety factors. Focus groups provided insights into resolving issues related to compensation, work environment, and recruiting and retaining future DSPs. Motivating factors included wanting to be part of a helping community where all are valued. To improve their performance, DSPs stated their desire to understand the roles of managers and of the consumer. DSPs indicated that having career paths that provided advancement opportunities and direct contact with persons with disabilities were primary motivators. 相似文献