Electoral turnout of foreign-born residents in Chile: an analysis with data from the administrative census and opinion polls

Based on an administrative census of the 267,116 migrants registered for the 2017 presidential elections and a survey applied to 4771 migrants, we conclude that (1) the electoral participation of migrants shows a significant gender gap, with women participating in a higher proportion; (2) migrants who registered earlier in the electoral registers, are more likely to vote compared to the rest; (3) when migrants come from countries that implement compulsory voting, they increase their likelihood of voting in the receiving country; (4) the declaration of wanting to remain in Chile and not return to their countries of origin or migrate to another country increases the probability of voting, and the same happens with married migrants, with Chilean children, with a Chilean partner, and with a better economic situation; (5) social capital has a positive influence on electoral participation.     

Cointegration testing under structural change: reducing size distortions and improving power of residual based tests

This paper investigates how standard residual based tests for cointegration—under structural change in the long run relationship—can be modified in order to reduce size distortions and improve power, by following the same ideas used in the unit root context. This is a natural strategy given that these tests are unit root statistics applied to estimated residuals from a cointegrating regression. In order to assess the finite sample performance of the alternative tests, a Monte Carlo experiment will be implemented to analyze size and power. Critical values for the tests constructed with GLS detrended data, proposed by Elliot et al. (Econometrica 64:813–836, 1996), are obtained by simulation.     

Divergence-based tests of homogeneity for spatial data

The problem of testing homogeneity in contingency tables when the data are spatially correlated is considered. We derive statistics defined as divergences between unrestricted and restricted estimated joint cell probabilities and we show that they are asymptotically distributed as linear combinations of chi-square random variables under the null hypothesis of homogeneity. Monte Carlo simulation experiments are carried out to investigate the behavior of the new divergence test statistics and to make comparisons with the statistics that do not take into account the spatial correlation. We show that some of the introduced divergence test statistics have a significantly better behavior than the classical chi-square test for the problem under consideration when we compare them on the basis of the simulated sizes and powers.     

Estimation Of A Survival Function With Doubly Censored Data And Dirichlet Process Prior Knowledge On The Observable Variable

This article presents a nonparametric Bayesian procedure for estimating a survival curve in a proportional hazard model when some of the data are censored on the left and some are censored on the right. The method works under the assumption that there is a Dirichlet process prior knowledge on the observable variable. Strong consistency of the estimator is proved and an example is given. To finish some simulation is presented to analyze the estimator.     

Rényi statistics for testing equality of autocorrelation coefficients

The problem of testing for equality of autocorrelation coefficients of two populations in multivariate data when errors are autocorrelated is considered. We derive Rényi statistics defined as divergences between unrestricted and restricted estimated joint probability density functions and we show that they are asymptotically chi-square distributed under the null hypothesis of interest. Monte Carlo simulation experiments are carried out to investigate the behavior of Rényi statistics and to make comparisons with test statistics based on the approach of Bhandary [M. Bhandary, Test for equality of autocorrelation coefficients for two populations in multivariate data when the errors are autocorrelated, Statistics & Probability Letters 73 (2005) 333–342] for the problem under consideration. Rényi statistics showed to have significantly better behavior.     

Individual Differences in Infant Skills as Predictors of Child-Caregiver Joint Attention and Language

Current research suggests that the extent to which child-caregiver dyads engage in interactions involving episodes of joint or coordinated attention can have a significant impact on early lexical acquisition. In this regard it has been recognized that individual differences in early developing child communication skills, such as capacity to follow gaze and early infant language, may contribute to these child-caregiver interactional patterns, as well as to subsequent language development. To address this expectation, 21 infant-parent dyads were recruited for participation in a longitudinal study. Early infant language, responding to joint attention skill, and cognitive development were assessed at 12 months of age. Child-caregiver joint attention episodes, as well as responding to joint attention skill and child language, were assessed at 18 months of age. Developmental outcome, using the MacArthur Communicative Development Inventories and the Bayley Scales of Infant Development-II, was assessed at 21 and 24 months of age. Consistent with previous findings, results indicated that individual differences in child-caregiver episodes of joint attention were related to language at 18 months. In addition, though, 12 month vocabulary and responding to joint attention skill were associated with some aspects of 18 month child-caregiver interaction, as well as subsequent language development. In general, 12 month child measures and 18 month child-caregiver interaction measures appeared to make unique contributions to language development in this sample. These results suggest the need to further consider the role of infant skills in the connections between child-caregiver joint attention episodes and language development.     

Ethnic solidarity and the vote: Mapuche candidates and voters in Chile

In this article, we evaluate ethnic solidarity and the vote in Chile with reference to the Mapuche, the largest and most traditional ethnic group in the country. We use electoral data from the mayoral elections of 2012, drawn from all the municipalities of the Araucanía, the region with the largest percentage of Mapuche population. Using a multi-level linear regression model and controlling for poverty and rurality, we found that Mapuche candidates, regardless of their political orientation, were indeed more successful than non-Mapuche candidates in areas with the greatest concentration of Mapuche voters. Additionally, we used results from an unpublished opinion survey conducted in three municipalities of the Araucanía. We concluded that after controlling for other variables ethnic solidarity prevails as a robust predictor of electoral behaviour, albeit more strongly in rural areas than urban ones. The Chilean case, moreover, is useful for studying the strategies used by the traditional parties that promote this solidarity – that is, by presenting candidates with Mapuche surnames in their lists.     

Atribucion,Exito en la Tarea y Expectativas del Rol Sexual: Una Vision Critica del Modelo de Deaux

Resumen

Se presentan dos investigaciones en las que se estudian el efecto del sexo del sujeto, el sexo de la persona estímulo y el tipo de tarea sobre las atribuciones causales de éxito. En el estudio 1, a los sujetos experimentales se les describe una persona estímulo, hombre o mujer, que realiza una tarea (oposiciones) típicamente masculina o femenina. El estudio 2 es idéntico al anterior salvo en la forma de presentar el tipo de tarea. Los resultados obtenidos no apoyan el modelo de Deaux (1976) que ha sido adoptado por muchos autores, pero sugiere, en cambio, otras líneas de investigación de las atribuciones causales de éxito en la tarea.     

Asymptotic distribution of (h, φ)-entropies

In this paper, (h,φ)-entropies are presented as a generalization of φ-entropies, Havrda-Charvat entropies and the Renyi entropy among others. For this functional, asymptotic distribution for simple random sampling and stratified .sampling with proportional affixing is obtained.