全文获取类型
收费全文 | 17282篇 |
免费 | 439篇 |
国内免费 | 1篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 2508篇 |
民族学 | 76篇 |
人才学 | 2篇 |
人口学 | 1421篇 |
丛书文集 | 112篇 |
教育普及 | 2篇 |
理论方法论 | 1702篇 |
综合类 | 444篇 |
社会学 | 8363篇 |
统计学 | 3092篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 98篇 |
2021年 | 97篇 |
2020年 | 266篇 |
2019年 | 342篇 |
2018年 | 397篇 |
2017年 | 570篇 |
2016年 | 489篇 |
2015年 | 347篇 |
2014年 | 398篇 |
2013年 | 2681篇 |
2012年 | 612篇 |
2011年 | 481篇 |
2010年 | 364篇 |
2009年 | 380篇 |
2008年 | 424篇 |
2007年 | 445篇 |
2006年 | 375篇 |
2005年 | 510篇 |
2004年 | 441篇 |
2003年 | 383篇 |
2002年 | 410篇 |
2001年 | 428篇 |
2000年 | 403篇 |
1999年 | 375篇 |
1998年 | 261篇 |
1997年 | 275篇 |
1996年 | 273篇 |
1995年 | 233篇 |
1994年 | 252篇 |
1993年 | 226篇 |
1992年 | 269篇 |
1991年 | 271篇 |
1990年 | 255篇 |
1989年 | 256篇 |
1988年 | 228篇 |
1987年 | 218篇 |
1986年 | 214篇 |
1985年 | 212篇 |
1984年 | 245篇 |
1983年 | 226篇 |
1982年 | 202篇 |
1981年 | 169篇 |
1980年 | 170篇 |
1979年 | 197篇 |
1978年 | 155篇 |
1977年 | 132篇 |
1976年 | 135篇 |
1975年 | 116篇 |
1974年 | 115篇 |
1973年 | 112篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
81.
Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape 总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10
R. A. Rigby D. M. Stasinopoulos 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2005,54(3):507-554
Summary. A general class of statistical models for a univariate response variable is presented which we call the generalized additive model for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS). The model assumes independent observations of the response variable y given the parameters, the explanatory variables and the values of the random effects. The distribution for the response variable in the GAMLSS can be selected from a very general family of distributions including highly skew or kurtotic continuous and discrete distributions. The systematic part of the model is expanded to allow modelling not only of the mean (or location) but also of the other parameters of the distribution of y , as parametric and/or additive nonparametric (smooth) functions of explanatory variables and/or random-effects terms. Maximum (penalized) likelihood estimation is used to fit the (non)parametric models. A Newton–Raphson or Fisher scoring algorithm is used to maximize the (penalized) likelihood. The additive terms in the model are fitted by using a backfitting algorithm. Censored data are easily incorporated into the framework. Five data sets from different fields of application are analysed to emphasize the generality of the GAMLSS class of models. 相似文献
82.
Christian P. Robert Xiao-Li Meng Jesper Møller Jeffrey S Rosenthal C Jennison M. A Hurn F Al-Awadhi Peter McCullagh Christophe Andrieu Arnaud Doucet Petros Dellaportas Ioulia Papageorgiou Ricardo S Ehlers Elena A Erosheva Stephen E Fienberg Jonathan J Forster Roger C Gill Nial Friel Peter Green David Hastie R King Hans R Künsch N. A. Lazar C Osinski 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2003,65(1):39-55
83.
The Measurement of Multidimensional Poverty 总被引:14,自引:0,他引:14
Many authors have insisted on the necessity of defining poverty as a multidimensional concept rather than relying on income or consumption expenditures per capita. Yet, not much has actually been done to include the various dimensions of deprivation into the practical definition and measurement of poverty. Existing attempts along that direction consist of aggregating various attributes into a single index through some arbitrary function and defining a poverty line and associated poverty measures on the basis of that index. This is merely redefining more generally the concept of poverty, which then essentially remains a one dimensional concept. The present paper suggests that an alternative way to take into account the multi-dimensionality of poverty is to specify a poverty line for each dimension of poverty and to consider that a person is poor if he/she falls below at least one of these various lines. The paper then explores how to combine these various poverty lines and associated one-dimensional gaps into multidimensional poverty measures. An application of these measures to the rural population in Brazil is also given with poverty defined on income and education. 相似文献
84.
85.
86.
This article aims to bring gender into an even tighter transnational migration focus by broadening and deepening our original framework of “gendered geographies of power,” linking it more directly to existing and emerging scholarship. We examine and highlight previously neglected areas such as the role of the state and the social imaginary in gendering transnational processes and experiences. We identify topics that remain under‐appreciated, under‐researched, and/or under‐theorized. Finally, we initiate a discussion of how a gendered analysis of transnational migration can help bridge this particular research to other gendered transnational processes under study that do not privilege migration. 相似文献
87.
D. R. Cox Man Yu Wong 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2004,66(2):395-400
Summary. Given a large number of test statistics, a small proportion of which represent departures from the relevant null hypothesis, a simple rule is given for choosing those statistics that are indicative of departure. It is based on fitting by moments a mixture model to the set of test statistics and then deriving an estimated likelihood ratio. Simulation suggests that the procedure has good properties when the departure from an overall null hypothesis is not too small. 相似文献
88.
魏晋南北朝是中国古代动乱最多、人民生活最悲惨的时代。战争、动乱使汉王朝“独尊儒术”的旧思想体制大崩溃 ,导致魏晋南北朝时期的古代中国思想最解放、最自由。美学思想和精神的自由 ,酿就了艺术创造精神的勃发 ,因而新的艺术形式、艺术规律应运而生并相互融会贯通。此时的盆景艺术正是在绘画、园林、盆栽、赏石等艺术形式的影响下孕育了自己最初的表现形式和美学规律 ,因此可以说该时期是盆景发展史上的一个重要阶段 相似文献
89.
Asian and White middle school children were shown photographs of unknown Afro-Caribbean, Asian, and White individuals of approximately the same age as themselves, and asked which one wax most like them, which one they would prefer to be, which ones they would prefer to engage in various activities with, and finally, to allocate positive and negative traits to the three groups or to nobody. A similar majority of both Asian and While children selected an own-race photograph as being most like them, but only about a half selected the own-race photograph as the one they would most like to he. For sharing activities, children showed a strong own-tender preference, followed by an own-race preference. White children stated a greater preference for sharing activities with White children, then with Afro-Caribbean children, and least with Asian children. Asian children preferred Asian and White children the most, Afro-Caribbean the least. On a stereotypes test, similar trends were obtained; White children evaluated While children highest and Asian lowest; Asian children tended to evaluate Asian children highest but to a nonsignificant extent. The relative proportion of Asian/White children in school appeared to have little systematic influence on the results, thus arguing against the contact hypothesis of prejudice reduction in its simple form. 相似文献
90.
William R. Shadish Kevin Ragsdale Renita R. Glaser Linda M. Montgomery 《Journal of marital and family therapy》1995,21(4):345-360
This article reviews the major findings from a multiproject meta-analysis of the effects of marital and family therapy (MFT). Across 163 randomized trials, MFT demonstrates moderate, statistically significant, and often clinically significant effects. No orientation is yet demonstrably superior to any other, nor is MFT superior to individual therapy. Cost effectiveness information is scant in these 163 studies, but supportive. Randomized experiments yield very different answers from nonrandomized experimental studies of the effects of MFT, calling into question whether we should mix the two in reviews. We have also found several new differences in the ways that marital therapy (MT) and family therapy (FT) studies are conducted, making them harder to compare. Finally, important questions still exist about whether any psychotherapy, including MFT, yet has sufficient information about how well research generalizes to everyday clinical practice. 相似文献