International Trade and the Urbanization of Developing Countries: Evidence from Asia

Abstract

A grain surplus and the grain trade are closely related to the urbanization of developing countries. However, existing literature has not given adequate attention to this issue. Our paper develops a theoretical model to explain the mechanisms whereby changes in the grain surplus constrain the level of urbanization in a closed economy context and the grain trade affects the level of urbanization by acting on the grain surplus in an open economy context. A test of the theoretical model applied to some developing countries in Asia during the period 1993-2010 shows that international trade is generally negatively correlated with level of urbanization. However, cereal and non-cereal trade vary in terms of their relation to urbanization: whereas the former is positively correlated with level of urbanization, the latter is negatively correlated with it. Since the net import of cereals relaxes the constraint imposed on the level of urbanization by the domestic grain surplus, it can have a marked positive effect on the course of urbanization. Our research findings show that provided grain production or grain security is guaranteed, developing countries may adopt a policy of importing an appropriate amount of grain to increase their level of urbanization.     

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80后农民工的城市就业现状与对策建议

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大型会展场馆建设的市场影响与管理对策研究——以上海两大会展中心为例

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An International Comparative Study on Women's Pension Rights and Their Economic Risks

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上海CBD建设及陆家嘴——外滩核心CBD发展构想

CBD是城市的核心和灵魂,也是城市经济功能重要的载体。本文从现代CBD发展的国际趋势入手,对上海城市CBD建设过程的发展状况和存在问题两个方面进行了分析,提出了上海未来CBD的建设思路。在此基础上,对上海陆家嘴一外滩核心CBD区域功能规划进行了深入具体的研究,指出了陆家嘴一外滩核心CBD发展的不足,提出了未来发展的规划目标和功能设想,并在政策和制度上提出了保障措施。     

房屋之外：嘉绒藏区房名制度背后的政治逻辑与社会生活

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A note on nonlinear regression for the autoregressive moving average with non-hd errors

Estimation by nonlinear regression of the parameters for the stationary and invertible autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model with mixing or martingale difference errors is considered. Simple proofs of consistency and asymptotic normality for the nonlinear least squares estimator are given by exploiting results from nonlinear estimation theory and mixing and mixingale theory.