“风险”中的男客:关于风险感知与行动的多维度理解

将社会学、心理学、人类学视角应用到对性产业中男客风险感知与应对的研究中。在其风险感知中,对家的秩序的维护,推动男客主动选择和建构性病的风险;在风险管理中,直观思维、时空脱域和对本土医疗资源的熟悉,构成个体层面对风险的心理解读。而宏观上,有限的抽象思维能力、快速的社会变迁、生涩的本土健康服务,将这一群体置于风险的社会结构之中。     

Uniform Test for Predictive Regression With AR Errors

Testing predictability is of importance in economics and finance. Based on a predictive regression model with independent and identically distributed errors, some uniform tests have been proposed in the literature without distinguishing whether the predicting variable is stationary or nearly integrated. In this article, we extend the empirical likelihood methods of Zhu, Cai, and Peng with independent errors to the case of an AR error process. Again, the proposed new tests do not need to know whether the predicting variable is stationary or nearly integrated, and whether it has a finite variance or an infinite variance. A simulation study shows the new methodologies perform well in finite sample.     

空气雾化钻井试验架研制剖析

解决空气雾化钻井井眼净化问题,试验架是关键装置、基础设备和必要手段。对空气雾化钻井试验架的研制过程进行了深入剖析,介绍了在试验架研制中应遵循的一些基本原则,试验架基本结构,试验架主要参数,试验结果可靠性分析,试验研究进行情况,以及研制过程中的经验教训等内容,体现了空气雾化钻井试验架研制工作的特点与特色。     

木偶戏剧在幼儿园活动中运用存在的问题与对策——以山西孝义木偶戏剧为例

木偶戏剧既是我国优秀的非物质文化遗产，同时也是丰富幼儿认知、开阔幼儿眼界的重要教育资源。当前运用木偶戏剧资源开展相关活动的幼儿园数量相对较少，在有限的应用当中也存在教师自身对利用木偶戏剧资源认识不足，木偶戏剧资源利用表面化及形式化等一系列问题。本文根据孝义木偶戏剧独有的艺术特点，从木偶戏剧的欣赏活动、表演活动与制作活动三方面，对如何将孝义木偶戏剧应用到幼儿园活动进行了探讨，为幼儿园运用孝义木偶戏剧这一文化资源组织相关活动提出具体建议。     

大学英语教学中中国文化缺失问题研究

当前,大学英语教学中的中国文化缺失问题日益严重,大多数英语学习者不能使用英语恰当地表述中国特色文化.研究在大学英语教学中融入中国文化的必要性,寻求大学英语教学与中国文化相结合的路径,有助于实现大学英语教学的最终目标,提高学生的英语综合应用能力和跨文化交际能力,进而提高国家的文化实力和世界影响力.     

A new confidence interval in errors-in-variables model with known error variance

This paper considers constructing a new confidence interval for the slope parameter in the structural errors-in-variables model with known error variance associated with the regressors. Existing confidence intervals are so severely affected by Gleser–Hwang effect that they are subject to have poor empirical coverage probabilities and unsatisfactory lengths. Moreover, these problems get worse with decreasing reliability ratio which also result in more frequent absence of some existing intervals. To ease these issues, this paper presents a fiducial generalized confidence interval which maintains the correct asymptotic coverage. Simulation results show that this fiducial interval is slightly conservative while often having average length comparable or shorter than the other methods. Finally, we illustrate these confidence intervals with two real data examples, and in the second example some existing intervals do not exist.     

反腐倡廉效率评估:方法选择与指标构建

对反腐倡廉建设开展效率评估,不仅有利于改进和提升反腐倡廉的效率,推进反腐倡廉建设科学化的进程,还能为反腐倡廉形势评估开辟一个独特的视角。文章在综述国内反腐倡廉建设评估研究的基础上,提出了反腐倡廉效率评估的必要性;并基于反腐倡廉建设目标与特点分析,论证了数据包络分析方法对反腐倡廉效率评估的适用性;参照学术界已有的成果,结合实践逻辑构建了反腐倡廉效率评估指标体系;阐述了数据包络分析的模型选择及运算过程。     

感性消费时代的广告受众心理分析

通过对广告受众心理进行分析,总结出新形势下广告受众心理的主要特点。具体受众心理分析是：一、感性心理：情趣情调;自我比拟;理想向往;流行时尚;交流互动;品牌偏好。二、理性——感性心理：实用价值观念变异;自我价值中的理性与感性;体现个性。     

Composite quantile regression for massive datasets

Analysis of massive datasets is challenging owing to limitations of computer primary memory. Composite quantile regression (CQR) is a robust and efficient estimation method. In this paper, we extend CQR to massive datasets and propose a divide-and-conquer CQR method. The basic idea is to split the entire dataset into several blocks, applying the CQR method for data in each block, and finally combining these regression results via weighted average. The proposed approach significantly reduces the required amount of primary memory, and the resulting estimate will be as efficient as if the entire data set is analysed simultaneously. Moreover, to improve the efficiency of CQR, we propose a weighted CQR estimation approach. To achieve sparsity with high-dimensional covariates, we develop a variable selection procedure to select significant parametric components and prove the method possessing the oracle property. Both simulations and data analysis are conducted to illustrate the finite sample performance of the proposed methods.     

《泰王国民商法典》制定的历史背景

《泰王国民商法典》是在近代泰国法制改革的大背景下产生的，有着复杂的社会历史背景。曼谷王朝拉玛四世以前，泰国历经素可泰王朝、大城王朝和曼谷王朝的一部分，朝代更迭，历时漫长但在法制上却保持了相对稳定。1851年，曼谷王朝四世王拉玛四世（1851-1868）登基，拉开了泰国近代史的序幕。1852年1月，英国在第二次英缅战争之后，占领了缅甸，并觊觎泰国。1855年，英国派其驻香港的总督鲍林率使团到泰国与拉玛四世谈判，威逼泰国于1855年4月18日签订了《英暹条约》（史称《鲍林条约》）。这一个不平等条约彻底打开了泰国闭关自守的大门，欧洲列强以该条约为蓝本，威逼泰国签订了类似条约。泰国自此成为一个半殖民地国家，其法制也逐步西化，泰国的法制也这一时期完成了从古代法制向现代法制的转型。事实上，泰国法制现代化的过程，就是一个从理论到制度逐步西化的过程。《泰王国民商法典》就是在这样一个大的背景下产生的。