论终身教育体系:构架、实现方式及功能

终身教育体系具有比传统教育体系更优越的教育功能,不但因为具有更齐全的要素与合理的结构,而且更重要的是具有更科学、更合理的实现方式。本文对终身教育体系的构架、实现方式以及功能进行系统的研究与探讨。     

论全球化背景下的中国非物质文化遗产保护

我国非物质文化遗产保护问题,有其历史的和社会的、国际的和国内的背景,是回应历史发展的要求而提出的。非物质文化遗产既是建设现代民族文化的基础,也是每个民族对世界文化的丰富和贡献。因此必然要从全人类的视角来看待非物质文化遗产保护问题。从古今文化关系的角度说,非物质文化遗产在多数情况下,既是昨天的实录、今天的现实,同时也是明天的预示;从东西方文化关系的角度看,吸纳外来文化和继承原有传统并不是矛盾的,二者所形成的张力对于创造新的文化起着非常重要的作用。然而,由于非物质遗产大都是农业社会条件下的产物,所以今天对它的保护便包含着许多悖论。例如,保护和发展的关系,结构性对象的解构性保护,对传承人的态度,市场经济体制和非物质文化遗产保护等,都隐含着诸多两难的问题,期待着文化行政部门、学术界以及整个社会给出两全的解决方案。因此,对于非物质文化遗产的保护应该贯彻整体性的原则,从整体上加以认识,进行整体性的保护。从根本意义上说,非物质文化遗产的保护,首先应该是对创造、享有和传承该文化遗产的人的保护;同时,对这一遗产的切实有效的保护,也特别依赖于创造、享有和传承这一遗产的群体。促进和保护文化的多样性发展,才是我们努力追求的目标。     

As low birth weight babies grow,can well-educated parents buffer this adverse factor? A research note

This research note combines two national Taiwanese data sets to investigate the relationships among low birth weight (LBW) babies, their parents' educational levels, and their future academic outcomes. We find that LBW is negatively correlated with the probability of such children attending college at age 18; however, when both parents are college or high school graduates, such negative effects may be partially offset. We also show that discrimination against daughters occurs, but only for daughters who were LBW babies. Moreover high parental education can buffer the LBW shock only among moderately LBW children (as compared with very LBW children) and full-term LBW children (as compared with preterm LBW children).     

如何实现西部大开发宁夏优先发展的调查分析

面对在西部大开发中所处的劣势地位,宁夏首先要更新观念,创造新优势,解决好人才问题、资金问题、体制创新和科技创新,并重点抓好事关全局的核心问题,以实现“西部大开发,宁夏要争先”的战略目标。     

文官政治·书卷风流·人文气象--宋代文学存在的社会文化背景分析

有宋一代 ,文化大昌 ,文学也出现繁荣气象 ,这同宋代的社会环境及文化背景密切相关。宋型文化 ,有着向内收敛及注重人文涵养的倾向 ,这也深深影响了宋代文学及文学思想。简言之 ,宋代社会的基础是文官政治 ,内在精神是注重品性涵养 ,外在的表现是书卷风流。它们三位一体 ,构成了宋人所处的富于浓郁人文气息的氛围 ,其审美情趣也从外在的羁旅漫游、征戍迁谪、行旅离别 ,逐渐转向丰富多彩的心智活动 ,于是构成宋代文学及文学思想中博大精深的人文气象     

岩石夫人与风信子女郎--论<荒原>女性形象与西方文化传统之关系

西方文化传统对女性与文明之间关系的定位是将女性之精神性宏扬为拯救文明的“天使”,同时将她的肉体性贬低为导致文明堕落的“魔鬼”。英国诗人艾略特借用这一传统中的典型意象符码 ,在长诗《荒原》中构建“岩石夫人”与“风信子女郎”两组女性人物 ,表达“天使”理想在现代社会的失落和由此造成的精神贫瘠、“荒原”般的生存状态。艾略特对传统的借鉴是由诗人的创作观、个人生活和社会现实三方面决定的     

Bayesian analysis of a general growth curve model with predictions using power transformations and AR(1) autoregressive dependence

In this paper, we consider a Bayesian analysis of the unbalanced (general) growth curve model with AR(1) autoregressive dependence, while applying the Box-Cox power transformations. We propose exact, simple and Markov chain Monte Carlo approximate parameter estimation and prediction of future values. Numerical results are illustrated with real and simulated data.     

Cox regression of clustered event times with covariates missing not at random

Motivated by a recent tuberculosis (TB) study, this paper is concerned with covariates missing not at random (MNAR) and models the potential intracluster correlation by a frailty. We consider the regression analysis of right‐censored event times from clustered subjects under a Cox proportional hazards frailty model and present the semiparametric maximum likelihood estimator (SPMLE) of the model parameters. An easy‐to‐implement pseudo‐SPMLE is then proposed to accommodate more realistic situations using readily available supplementary information on the missing covariates. Algorithms are provided to compute the estimators and their consistent variance estimators. We demonstrate that both the SPMLE and the pseudo‐SPMLE are consistent and asymptotically normal by the arguments based on the theory of modern empirical processes. The proposed approach is examined numerically via simulation and illustrated with an analysis of the motivating TB study data.     

The Ecology of Activism: Professional Mobilization as a Spatial Process

This article develops an ecological theory that shifts the paradigm of professional mobilization from causes to relational spaces. It analyzes different species of activist professionals by locating them in an ecology of activism and examining how collective action emerges from their boundary work with the ecology's increasing density and consolidation. It empirically grounds the theory by explaining the political activism of Chinese lawyers in the early twenty‐first century and how it led to a government crackdown in 2015. Using interviews, online ethnography, and archival data collected from 2005 to 2017, the research demonstrates that Chinese lawyers’ political mobilization has experienced three stages: (1) vacancy and isolation (2000–2007), (2) spatial consolidation (2008–2011), and (3) boundary work (2011–2015). The study has implications for theories of social space and for understanding professional mobilization in authoritarian contexts and beyond.     

Semiparametric Bayesian analysis for longitudinal mixed effects models with non-normal AR(1) errors

Statistics and Computing - This paper studies Bayesian inference on longitudinal mixed effects models with non-normal AR(1) errors. We model the nonparametric zero-mean noise in the autoregression...