Uniform consistency rate of kNN regression estimation for functional time series data

In this paper, we investigate the k-nearest neighbours (kNN) estimation of nonparametric regression model for strong mixing functional time series data. More precisely, we establish the uniform almost complete convergence rate of the kNN estimator under some mild conditions. Furthermore, a simulation study and an empirical application to the real data analysis of sea surface temperature (SST) are carried out to illustrate the finite sample performances and the usefulness of the kNN approach.     

西方人类学发展史的再认识与中国人类学的未来——在"他者"中理解"自我"

中国人类学在重建后经过了20多年的发展,仿佛依然"孤悬"在国际人类学界之外,未能真正"与国际接轨".究其原因,主要还是由于没有抓住西方人类学的核心问题,对其认识不足、把握不透所至."自我"和"他者"问题作为人类学发展的灵魂,激励了一代代西方人类学家从不同角度对其进行探索和反思,将该学科一步步地向前推进.采用"自我"和"他者"的视角重新认识和把握西方人类学发展史,有利于更好的理解该学科的本质,从中吸取经验教训,从而为中国人类学的未来发展注入新的活力.     

探索"互联网思维+大学生正确政治态度" 新路径

互联网时代,高校思想政治教育工作更具特殊重要性及现实紧迫性,高校思想政治教育工作者要因事而化、因时而进、因势而新,借力互联网思维,以互联网时代大学生政治态度现状、高校思想政治教育工作新变化为现实基点,以各项保障措施落地实施为依托,开辟新路径,培育大学生正确的政治态度.     

改革开放以来党的知识分子理念的新变化

改革开放以来,党从提出"科学技术是第一生产力"到"建设创新型国家",实现了对知识分子定位依据的新飞跃;从明确"依靠力量"到"承担重任",实现了对知识分子社会价值认识的新强化:从制定"两个尊重"到"四个尊重", 实现了知识分子政策核心内容的新拓展;从倡导"两个结合"到树立"科学人才观",实现了知识分子成长成才理论的新跨越.     

我国现阶段社会养老保险的发展状况和问题及政策分析

社会养老保险制度是解决老年人经济保障的主要途径,但目前我国的社会养老保险制度还处于起步或初期发展的阶段,存在大量的现实问题。本文论述了我国社会养老保险发展的基本状况、我国老年人经济保障的基本状况、我国社会养老保险面临的主要问题,并提出建立和完善我国社会养老保险体系的对策思考。     

Predicting the recipients of social work support,and its impact on emotional and behavioural problems in early childhood

This paper examines the recipients of social work support in the Millennium Cohort Study. Using panel analysis and fixed effects models, it investigates the factors that lead to the receipt of any type of social work support for individuals with young children and the effects of this support on changes in the prevalence of emotional and behavioural problems in these children. We find that divorce or separation, and episodes of homelessness are two important factors that lead to the receipt of social work support. Mothers with male children are also more likely to receive social work support. However, we find no clear evidence that social work support has any effect on changes in children's emotional and behavioural problems over time. The implications of these findings for social work research and for practice and policy are discussed.     

Patriarchal capitalism with Chinese characteristics: gendered discourse of ‘Double Eleven’ shopping festival

In this article we consider the Double Eleven shopping festival as a major discursive site where the hegemony of what we call patriarchal capitalism with Chinese characteristics is articulated. The state, the market, the corporations and the media, both mainstream and social media, all played an important role in building up a national spending spree that is deeply embedded in the current class and gender structure of China. The phenomenon of Double Eleven emerged at a time when state capitalism has been overwriting socialist institutions, while patriarchal ideology being further intensified through consumerism. As a consequence, the intersectionality of class and gender becomes increasingly manifest in the Chinese society. We start with a brief overview of the trajectory of gender politics in China since 1949, with specific focus on how the socialist project of seeking gender equality was gradually replaced by the quest for ‘womanhood’ and ‘femininity’. We then discuss, using both secondary sources and our own analysis of news coverage of Double Eleven, why maintaining a high level of consumer demand is of crucial importance for the Chinese state and what the state’s role has been in configuring the hegemonic gender order. A brief section on ideology and discourse lays out the conceptual framework of our analysis. It is at the intersection of a dissipating socialist ethos, emerging economic stagnation and ascending consumerism that the sexist discourse in relation to Double Eleven proliferates, and this is the analytical focus of our empirical section. We elaborate on the theoretical implications of the empirical analysis before concluding.     

Children of Migrants: The Cumulative Impact of Parental Migration on Children’s Education and Health Outcomes in China

Since the end of 1990s, approximately 160 million Chinese rural workers migrated to cities for work. Because of restrictions on migrant access to local health and education systems, many rural children are left behind in home villages to grow up without parental care. This article examines how exposure to cumulative parental migration affects children’s health and education outcomes. Using the Rural-Urban Migration Survey in China (RUMiC) data, we measure the share of children’s lifetime during which parents were away from home. We instrument this measure of parental absence with weather changes in their home villages when parents were aged 16–25, when they were most likely to initiate migration. Results show a sizable adverse effect of exposure to parental migration on the health and education outcomes of children: in particular, boys. We also find that the use of the contemporaneous measure for parental migration in previous studies is likely to underestimate the effect of exposure to parental migration on children’s outcomes.     

城市生活垃圾计量收费模式探讨

为了实现城市生活垃圾从源头上减量化和垃圾处理产业化的目标,北京市即将逐步推行城市生活垃圾计量收费制。本文针对北京市生活垃圾及其收费的现状与问题,探讨了计量收费模式的合理性和可行性,设计了计量收费模式的定价标准方案,并提出了相关建议。     

东北朝鲜族村新农村建设中的问题与对策

东北朝鲜族村在新农村建设中取得了明显的成效,但是,也存在较大的问题。其问题不是新农村建设初级阶段的问题,是前进发展中的问题。东北朝鲜族村新农村建设中存在突出问题表现在发展不平衡问题、空巢化问题、民族自身发展问题、经济发展等问题。解决这些问题的对策是大力加强新集体经济体制的培育;以经济发展为首要任务,着力推进产业化发展;加快朝鲜族新聚居区的建设。