广西新闻教育办学模式的发展创新及新闻教育前景展望

当前广西的新闻教育遇到了良好的发展契机,如何抓住有利时机,不断创新发展是广西新闻院系面临的普遍问题。对此,本文认为新闻院校要培养出适应广西经济社会发展和传媒发展的新闻类人才,就应该在办学模式上有所创新与发展。本文从办学模式的概念入手,对当前广西新闻院系的办学模式以及存在的问题作了分析,在此基础上进一步分析了广西新闻教育在新闻人才培育目标、培育内容、培育方法三个方面该如何实现创新与发展,使培育出的新闻人才适应广西经济社会的发展。     

《老舍五则》之缘起

我曾经多次向影视工作者和戏剧工作者推荐过老舍的短篇小说。我认为,这是一块肥沃的土壤,是未被开恳垦的处女地,是大有可为的,可以改编出很好看的影视作品和戏剧作品来,很有潜力。     

汲取地域音乐文化精髓 培养特色音乐人才

＂坚持以地域文化为基础,推进地方高师音乐教育课程建设＂是教育部对高师音乐教育本科课程建设提出的要求。本文以地方高师音乐专业特色人才培养模式为论题,阐述利用地域音乐文化资源,改革课程设置,培养特色音乐人才,为基础教育输送特色音乐师资,为地域音乐文化的传承培养接班人。     

An Integrated Risk Assessment Model of Township‐Scaled Land Subsidence Based on an Evidential Reasoning Algorithm and Fuzzy Set Theory

Land subsidence risk assessment (LSRA) is a multi‐attribute decision analysis (MADA) problem and is often characterized by both quantitative and qualitative attributes with various types of uncertainty. Therefore, the problem needs to be modeled and analyzed using methods that can handle uncertainty. In this article, we propose an integrated assessment model based on the evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm and fuzzy set theory. The assessment model is structured as a hierarchical framework that regards land subsidence risk as a composite of two key factors: hazard and vulnerability. These factors can be described by a set of basic indicators defined by assessment grades with attributes for transforming both numerical data and subjective judgments into a belief structure. The factor‐level attributes of hazard and vulnerability are combined using the ER algorithm, which is based on the information from a belief structure calculated by the Dempster‐Shafer (D‐S) theory, and a distributed fuzzy belief structure calculated by fuzzy set theory. The results from the combined algorithms yield distributed assessment grade matrices. The application of the model to the Xixi‐Chengnan area, China, illustrates its usefulness and validity for LSRA. The model utilizes a combination of all types of evidence, including all assessment information—quantitative or qualitative, complete or incomplete, and precise or imprecise—to provide assessment grades that define risk assessment on the basis of hazard and vulnerability. The results will enable risk managers to apply different risk prevention measures and mitigation planning based on the calculated risk states.     

Modeling the Adenoma and Serrated Pathway to Colorectal CAncer (ASCCA)

Several colorectal cancer (CRC) screening models have been developed describing the progression of adenomas to CRC. Currently, there is increasing evidence that serrated lesions can also develop into CRC. It is not clear whether screening tests have the same test characteristics for serrated lesions as for adenomas, but lower sensitivities have been suggested. Models that ignore this type of colorectal lesions may provide overly optimistic predictions of the screen‐induced reduction in CRC incidence. To address this issue, we have developed the Adenoma and Serrated pathway to Colorectal CAncer (ASCCA) model that includes the adenoma‐carcinoma pathway and the serrated pathway to CRC as well as characteristics of colorectal lesions. The model structure and the calibration procedure are described in detail. Calibration resulted in 19 parameter sets for the adenoma‐carcinoma pathway and 13 for the serrated pathway that match the age‐ and sex‐specific adenoma and serrated lesion prevalence in the COlonoscopy versus COlonography Screening (COCOS) trial, Dutch CRC incidence and mortality rates, and a number of other intermediate outcomes concerning characteristics of colorectal lesions. As an example, we simulated outcomes for a biennial fecal immunochemical test screening program and a hypothetical one‐time colonoscopy screening program. Inclusion of the serrated pathway influenced the predicted effectiveness of screening when serrated lesions are associated with lower screening test sensitivity or when they are not removed. To our knowledge, this is the first model that explicitly includes the serrated pathway and characteristics of colorectal lesions. It is suitable for the evaluation of the (cost)effectiveness of potential screening strategies for CRC.     

对"五四"新文学精神的继承与发展——论周文的文艺大众化思想

“大众化”思潮在中国近现代文学中是个一以贯之的潮流，虽然左翼文学界的文艺大众化是从批判“五四”文学开始的，但作为大众化运动的领导者与实践者之一的周文在文学的根本问题与原则问题上，都继承了“五四”新文学的精神。他提出文学要面向大众，要使用“活”的语言，而且还利用自身在边区政府的领导地位，完成了公文改革，实现了“五四”未竞的事业。     

地下空间开发对城市环境地质的影响及保护措施浅谈

城市地下空间作为一种资源在城市发展中扮演着重要的角色。地下空间具有恒温、恒湿、抗震、防爆、绝热、封闭和可开拓性好的特点,所以开发地下空间比建造地面工程有着独特的优势,目前开发和利用地下空间已成为我国大中城市解决人口、资源、环境危机和医治“城市综合症”的重要措施,也是实施城市可持续发展的重要途径。     

论古美关系发展历程

古巴自革命胜利之日起,即受到了美国的封锁打压.但与美国咫尺之隔的古巴,却一直不甘妥协,从而使古巴的社会主义制度得以生存,并取得了一定的进展.     

对赫哲族聚居区"十五"期间经济和社会发展的调查分析

本文作者在"十五"期间深入赫哲族聚居区,对赫哲族人民在"十五"期间经济和社会生活各方面所取得的成就进行了调查和分析,向我们展示了赫哲族在"十五"期间全面建设小康社会取得的新成就.     

浅谈伊斯兰文化的研究方法

所谓伊斯兰文化的研究方法,是指正确地进行伊斯兰文化研究所应遵循的一套原则、手段、程序和技巧。研究方法在伊斯兰文化的发展过程中承担着特别重要的职能,它在一定程度上制约、规范着伊斯兰文化发展的水平和风格。没有成熟、科学的研究方法,就不会产生成熟、发达的伊斯兰文化。就伊斯兰文化的研究方法,我们有两点拙见,把它说出来,以求教学人。 首先,摆正伊斯兰与伊斯兰文化的关系。伊斯兰文化作为一种宗教文化实体,与伊斯兰密不可分,互为依托。按照伊斯兰的基本教义,伊斯兰是安拉的意志,通过《古兰经》和圣训得以具体体现。两者是伊斯兰教的基础和最基本的经典,是伊斯兰国家信仰原则、哲学思想、政治经济、法律创制和司法实践的权威准则和第一源泉。而伊斯兰文化是由阿拉伯民族和穆斯林各民族在社会历史实践中共同参与创造