增强执政党调适性:中国政治发展的核心战略取向

政党变革是内因与外因相互作用的结果,内部因素是政党变革的直接原因,外部因素是政党变革的催化剂。改革开放以来,中国经济社会发生了整体性和结构性的转型,党的执政环境发生了革命性的历史变迁。中国共产党通过意识形态创新,在组织建设中稳步扩大执政的社会基础,不断提高党内治理的制度化水平,有效整合各种合法性资源,在渐进调适的过程中不断提高了自身的适应性,增强执政党的调适性是中国政党变革和治理转型的核心主题。社会转型进程中的中国执政党建设就是在挑战中生存,在适应中演进的,这种渐进调适过程3的根本目的就是不断巩固党的执政基础,增强党的执政能力,执政能力建设是执政党调适性的基本立足点,最终通过执政党的转型与重构引导和推动中国国家的现代转型。     

论毛泽东的马克思主义中国化启蒙思想

毛泽东在中国革命实践中,坚决反对脱离实际,抽象、空洞地来谈论马克思主义,提倡开展一场启蒙运动来抵制教条主义,倡导破除迷信解放思想有的放矢,强调理论创造,实现马克思主义理论与中国实际具体的历史的统一。他依据中国的历史和现状,主张明确革命的依靠力量,并详尽分析社会形势,树立中国革命必胜信念;根据中国革命特点,确立工农武装割据和游击战争思想,纠正党风,提倡科学的务实学习方法。     

Screening for college problem gambling in Chinese societies: psychometric properties of the Chinese version of the South Oaks Gambling Screen (C-SOGS)

A total of 979 Chinese college students were recruited in order to examine the psychometric properties of the Chinese version of the South Oaks Gambling Screen (C-SOGS). The C-SOGS was internally consistent and correlated with gambling-related problems and negative mental health status. Results of likelihood ratios (LRs) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve supported the C-SOGS as a valid screening instrument for probable pathological gambling. Using the DSM-IV criteria for pathological gambling, the conventional cut score of 5 on the C-SOGS showed satisfactory sensitivity, specificity and false negative rates. This cut score identified 85% of the true positives and 95% of the true negatives. In general, the C-SOGS overestimated the number of pathological gamblers relative to DSM-IV criteria. Future research on Chinese gambling should build on current empirical work on the SOGS to refine the C-SOGS for use with Chinese populations.     

拼凑、虚构与自相矛盾:《鄞塘楼氏宗谱》考辨

"七修本"不但在内容上多所取资于旧谱尤其是"四修本",且其立意构思亦时相效仿,并因此而有对鄞塘楼氏宗谱续修序列的虚构,以及并列共存楼氏族源相异之说的自相矛盾。也因此,该谱虽不无史料价值,却终究因其往往随意拼凑而乏善可陈。     

“一站式政府”服务范式的创新试验

以现代科学管理方法与信息技术构建起的“一站式政府”一经提出,其服务模式的构建便得到世界各国政府的响应。“一站式”服务范式下一系列有利于增加政府的回应与社会效益、减少政府与公众办事成本的理论与实践凸显了这一服务范式的重要性。与此相对应,各国政府的一系列举措,特别是为‘‘电子一站式政府’’运作所作出的努力将推进“一站式政府”服务模式的开展。“一站式政府”柔性、人性、便捷的服务模式也有利于缓和当前我国当前政府改革和社会转型方面凸显的矛盾,有利于我国既定的“服务型’’政府目标的实现。     

考问价值:礼治何以可能?——儒家礼治思想之价值合理性的三重视角

从价值观的视域回答"礼治何以可能"是儒家礼治哲学要解决的核心问题。儒家礼治思想之价值合理性,在于儒家礼治思想本质上内蕴着"让"、"名"、"和"三重价值特质,它使得儒家的礼治大厦得以建构于坚实的价值土壤之上。     

Occupational rehabilitation services provided by a community workers health centre in Hong Kong: a case study

Ergonomics is commonly known as "the scientific study of human work" [14, p. 3] and "the application of scientific information concerning human beings to the design of objects, systems, and environments" (p. 4). The American Occupational Therapy Association defines occupational therapy as "skilled treatment that helps individuals achieve independence in all facets of their lives. It gives people the 'skills for the job of living' necessary for independent and satisfying lives [1]." Both professions share common backgrounds. Occupational therapy has been involved in health care and ergonomics is looking for its place in the health care field.     

Inference of Signs of Interaction Effects in Simultaneous Games With Incomplete Information

This paper studies the inference of interaction effects in discrete simultaneous games with incomplete information. We propose a test for the signs of state‐dependent interaction effects that does not require parametric specifications of players' payoffs, the distributions of their private signals, or the equilibrium selection mechanism. The test relies on the commonly invoked assumption that players' private signals are independent conditional on observed states. The procedure is valid in (but does not rely on) the presence of multiple equilibria in the data‐generating process (DGP). As a by‐product, we propose a formal test for multiple equilibria in the DGP. We also implement the test using data on radio programming of commercial breaks in the United States, and infer stations' incentives to synchronize their commercial breaks. Our results support the earlier finding by Sweeting (2009) that stations have stronger incentives to coordinate and air commercials at the same time during rush hours and in smaller markets.     

规避通胀风险的结构性理财产品设计与定价

在资产通胀风险日益增加的背景下,如何设计出更加符合市场的结构性理财产品并给予其合理定价是目前亟待解决的问题。运用金融工程组合分解技术构建一种创新型幂式双障碍敲出期权,该期权可以作为银行结构性理财产品的内嵌期权,从而获得一种创新型幂式双障碍理财产品,运用风险中性定价理论将复平面的围道积分应用于Laplace逆变换给出期权定价模型,以中国银行HJB0903v为例,研究中国规避通胀风险的黄金挂钩双障碍理财产品定价的合理性,并分析黄金价格波动对HJB0903v触及障碍的概率和理论价格的影响。研究结果表明,产品发行价格稍高于其理论价值,隐含溢价率为0.81%;波动率的增加使触及障碍的概率增加,使理论价格先小幅增加后大幅降低,最终趋于某一稳定值。