经济全球化的悖论:脆弱的全球经济——解读罗伯特·吉尔平的《全球资本主义的挑战》

冷战结束后,经济全球化成了国际经济事务、国际政治事务最突出的特征.一些学者对国家的作用产生怀疑,认为国家在退却,市场的作用在彰显.鉴于此,罗伯特·吉尔平详细分析了经济全球化的本质和进程,指出经济全球化具有内在的脆弱性,具体分析了导致脆弱性的原因,并且提出脆弱的全球经济的管理问题,即经济全球化和自由世界经济的顺利运行离不开政治保障,需要得到有效的领导和管理.否则,不能有序推进.     

不同时代大事件中大学生爱国行为比较

本文选择1919年五·四运动与2008年三大事件为时间切入点,研究发现五·四时期的大学生爱国行为具有政治性、组织性、宣传动员性、扩散性和妥协性五大特点;而新世纪的新一代大学生在大事件发生时的爱国行为具有主要体现出多元化和理性化的趋势,而五四运动中的五大特点在今日都有不同程度的减弱。这一变化之发生,主要原因在于信息和教育的普及化、大学生群体同质性的下降、时代赋予大学生的使命的变化。文章认为,在竞争愈益激烈的当今社会中,大学生在爱国方面的激情依然没有减退,只是在以不同于以往的形式加以表达。对此要有客观的了解,在此基础上再加以适当引导,以促进大学生群体更好地为构建和谐社会添砖加瓦。     

Generalized empirical likelihood inference in partially linear model for longitudinal data with missing response variables and error-prone covariates

In this article, we consider statistical inference for longitudinal partial linear models when the response variable is sometimes missing with missingness probability depending on the covariate that is measured with error. A generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) method is proposed by combining correction attenuation and quadratic inference functions. The method that takes into consideration the correlation within groups is used to estimate the regression coefficients. Furthermore, residual-adjusted empirical likelihood (EL) is employed for estimating the baseline function so that undersmoothing is avoided. The empirical log-likelihood ratios are proven to be asymptotically Chi-squared, and the corresponding confidence regions for the parameters of interest are then constructed. Compared with methods based on NAs, the GEL does not require consistent estimators for the asymptotic variance and bias. The numerical study is conducted to compare the performance of the EL and the normal approximation-based method, and a real example is analysed.     

浅析多媒体网络技术下高等教育发展趋势

多媒体和网络技术在教学中的广泛应用使高等教育在新的历史时期得到重大发展。从教育思想、教学走向、学科结构与人才培养模式、运行机制与办学模式等方面 ,可大致勾勒出新技术革命背景下高等教育的发展趋势     

民事检察监督若干问题的思考

我国现行民事检察监督权运作中存在的缺陷主要表现为按照审判监督程序提出抗诉的方式进行事后监督。因此。检察院即使发现了在审判乏前的民事行为和审判活动存在错误也无法及时进行监督，从而使这种监督形同虚设。为使检察机关具有广泛的法律监督权，真正发挥其监督作用，必须在检察机关提起民事诉讼的范围、方式以及检察机关在民事诉讼中的法律地位、诉讼权利义务等方面，对检察监督制度做出具体设置。     

Operational Risk in Financial Services: A Review and New Research Opportunities

We present a framework to describe and analyze operational risk in financial services from an operations management perspective, focusing in particular on process design, process management, and human behavior aspects. The financial services industry differs from other service industries in ways that affect the nature of the operational risks it is subject to. In recent decades, many books and papers have focused on operational risk in financial services; however, this literature has focused mainly on the conceptual and statistical aspects of operational risk management and not on its operational aspects. Operational risk in financial services has not received much attention from the operations management community. The framework presented here is based on the premise that operational risk in financial services can reap significant benefits from research done in the theory and practice of operations management in manufacturing industries as well as in other services industries. The objective of this study is to propose particular challenges and questions raised in the practice of operational risk management that may stimulate future research in this particular area of operations management.     

基于可拓决策的环境安全预警模型及应用——以陕西省为例

预警模型的建立是环境安全预警的核心。针对环境安全多层次、多维度、动态性的特性,基于物元分析建立环境安全物元模型,利用可拓集合和关联函数,进行安全等级划分、预警指标阈值确定、安全度计算和安全状态判定,建立基于综合决策的环境安全预警模型。通过对陕西省2010年环境安全预警的实例分析,表明其环境安全处于轻警状态,且具有向无警状态转化的趋势,与实际情况基本相符,为环境安全管理和风险控制提供了决策依据。     

常见牙膏品牌亲和力与重复购买意愿的实证研究

本文以品牌亲和力-品牌效用-重复购买意愿的品牌信息经验机制为指南,通过对常见牙膏品牌亲和力的比较研究,探寻牙膏品牌亲和力与消费者重复购买意愿的关系,具有为商家提供品牌经营决策信息的现实意义。     

董事会战略参与效应及其影响因素研究

本研究从董事会职能角度考察了董事会战略参与的经济效应,并基于董事会结构探讨了董事会监督治理职能与战略服务职能间的兼容性对战略参与效应的影响。实证结果表明,董事会参与公司战略管理并没有实现预期的业绩改善,两职合一、独立董事比例对董事会战略参与效应具有正向调节作用,而董事会规模则具有负向调节效应。研究结果总体表明,董事会监督治理职能与战略服务职能具有融合的必要性和可能性,融合两种职能更有利于董事会效能的发挥。