1991年诺贝尔经济学奖得主的理论贡献

学术贡献 科斯由于“发现和澄清了交易费用和产权对经济制度结构和运行的意义”而荣获诺贝尔经济学奖。科斯对于经济学的主要学术贡献包括三个方面:一是他提出了交易费用概念的雏形,并把交易费用引入经济学的分析框架之中;二是强调了交易费用、产权与经济效率的关系,构筑了产权理论的框架;三是以“科斯定理”为核心开创性地将经济理论应用到法学问题上,形成了一门新的经济学分支—法律经济学。 科斯认为市场运行是有成本的,且主要是“发现相对价格”的成本。为了进行市场交易,有必要发现准希望进行交易,有必要告诉人们交易的     

集体记忆与民族认同——以新疆青河县哈萨克族克烈部分支阿巴克克烈部落为例

基于集体记忆所形成的共同祖先观念是强化民族认同的重要因素之一,它象征着族群社会结构的永久连续性。通过共同祖先意识把民族不同支派成员连接在一起,促使成员对本民族产生归属感和凝聚感,并借此不断强化民族认同,使其社会得以延续。本文以新疆青河县哈萨克族阿巴克克烈部落成员的集体记忆为例,结合相关文史资料,从共同祖先追溯、氏族部落社会组织传承记忆等视角探讨了哈萨克族基于集体记忆的社会延续与民族认同之关系。     

Physiological Responses to Near-Miss Outcomes and Personal Control During Simulated Gambling

Near-miss outcomes during gambling are non-win outcomes that fall close to a pay-out. While objectively equivalent to an outright miss, near-misses motivate ongoing play and may therefore be implicated in the development of disordered gambling. Given naturalistic data showing increases in heart rate (HR) and electrodermal activity (EDA) during periods of real gambling play, we sought to explore the phasic impact of win, near-miss and full-miss outcomes on physiological arousal in a controlled laboratory environment. EDA and HR were monitored as healthy, student participants (n = 33) played a simulated slot-machine task involving unpredictable monetary wins. A second gambling distortion, perceived personal control, was manipulated within the same task by allowing the participant to select the play icon on some trials, and having the computer automatically select the play icon on other trials. Near-misses were rated as less pleasant than full-misses. However, on trials that involved personal choice, near-misses produced higher ratings of ‘continue to play’ than full-misses. Winning outcomes were associated with phasic EDA responses that did not vary with personal choice. Compared to full-misses, near-miss outcomes also elicited an EDA increase, which was greater on personal choice trials. Near-misses were also associated with greater HR acceleration than other outcomes. Near-miss outcomes are capable of eliciting phasic changes in physiological arousal consistent with a state of subjective excitement, despite their objective non-win status.     

人口稀疏地区的环境保护问题

目前,环境保护成为全球亟待解决的问题.由于越来越多的地区参与到经济活动中,因而环境保护涉及包括人口稀疏地区在内的各个地区.在多数情况下,人为因素给环境带来了许多负面的影响. 环境问题不仅与整个国家相关,也与各个地区相关,包括俄罗斯的沃洛格达地区.     

Modelling human immunodeficiency virus ribonucleic acid levels with finite mixtures for censored longitudinal data

The measurement of human immunodeficiency virus ribonucleic acid levels over time leads to censored longitudinal data. Suitable models for dynamic modelling of these levels need to take this data characteristic into account. If groups of patients with different developments of the levels over time are suspected the model class of finite mixtures of mixed effects models with censored data is required. We describe the model specification and derive the estimation with a suitable expectation-maximization algorithm. We propose a convenient implementation using closed form formulae for the expected mean and variance of the truncated multivariate distribution. Only efficient evaluation of the cumulative multivariate normal distribution function is required. Model selection as well as methods for inference are discussed. The application is demonstrated on the clinical trial ACTG 315 data.     

区域经济现代化问题

20年前,俄罗斯向市场型社会经济生活组织的转型是复杂而充满矛盾的,原因之一是市场改革的战略和决策,原因之二是世界经济快速全球化背景下危机的表现方式. 在俄罗斯联邦第一任总统叶利钦执政时期,俄罗斯创建了大型民营企业、商业环境和市场基础设施.新社会秩序的基本步骤是建立在"休克疗法"基础之上,国家工业产值减少一半,固定资产投资减少五倍,就业率急剧下降,人民生活水平降低,国家的完整性也受到威胁.