An Adaptive Functional Autoregressive Forecast Model to Predict Electricity Price Curves

We propose an adaptive functional autoregressive (AFAR) forecast model to predict electricity price curves. With time-varying operators, the AFAR model can be safely used in both stationary and nonstationary situations. A closed-form maximum likelihood (ML) estimator is derived under stationarity. The result is further extended for nonstationarity, where the time-dependent operators are adaptively estimated under local homogeneity. We provide theoretical results of the ML estimator and the adaptive estimator. Simulation study illustrates nice finite sample performance of the AFAR modeling. The AFAR model also exhibits a superior accuracy in the forecast exercise of the California electricity daily price curves compared to several alternatives.     

Racial/Ethnic Minority Vocational Research Trends: An 11‐Year Update

This study extends Flores et al.'s ( 2006 ) 36‐year analysis of racial/ethnic minority (REM) career research to identify recent trends in choice of topics and leading individual and institutional contributors. The authors identified 166 articles on REM career research published from 2005 to 2015 in the Journal of Vocational Behavior, The Career Development Quarterly, the Journal of Career Assessment, and the Journal of Career Development. Of these studies, 92% were empirical, with more than three quarters of these using quantitative rather than qualitative methodology. Most frequently, the empirical studies (n = 153) were based on samples of high school (30.7%) or undergraduate (34.6%) students. The authors discuss the implications of their findings and suggest ways to expand REM career research in the future.     

浅谈当代藏族新诗的创作与批评

本文从诗歌批评的角度来研究当代藏族诗歌的创作和发展.鉴于藏族当代诗歌创作与批评相脱节的态势,有必要将创作与批评相结合,创作主体与批评主体相互对话,双向互动进行论述,通过优秀的创作来吸引批评聚焦,通过多元化批评来激励和鞭笞创作,并在文本阐释的基础上突出批评的主体性.     

The classing gaze and its gendering effects: (dis)‐respectability,emotional (in)‐competency,and the counselling experiences of domestically violent Taiwanese men

Research on domestically violent men typically takes an oppositional logic of gender. While the significance of class in researching domestically violent men is identified, class and gender are often treated as separate entities that do not complicate each other. Drawing upon group observations and in‐depth interviews, this paper identifies how intersections of class and gender manifest in the counselling experiences of domestically violent Taiwanese men. From a Bourdieusian feminist analysis, the authors analyse (1) how class distinctions serve to (re)produce gendered hierarchy; (2) how contradictory experiences of gender reveal a relational understanding of class; and (3) how the gendered nature of domestically violent men is inscribed with a meaning of (working) class specificity for maintaining middle‐class ‘purity’. In analysing men's multiple and conflicting experiences, this paper contributes to research on domestically violent men by showing how class and gender are actively constructed and not produced in a monolithic/invariant way.     

西方马克思主义知识分子理论的学理演绎

知识分子理论是西方马克思主义整体研究的重要组成部分.早期西方马克思主义者葛兰西提出了有机知识分子理论.法兰克福学派的学者就知识分子问题提出了各自的见解,霍克海默分析了批判知识分子的作用;马尔库塞探索了新阶层知识分子的出现及其意义;哈贝马斯则指出了公共知识分子的身份担当.     

中国房地产税制:存在问题与改革设想

在现代市场经济条件下,房地产税制具有十分重要的功能。现阶段中国房地产税制存在房地产税收功能分散,房地产税种设置交叉重叠现象突出,计税依据不符合国际惯例,房地产保有环节税负偏轻和房地产税权分布结构不合理等问题。中国房地产税制改革已进入基础性制度建设阶段,必须按照"宽税基、简税种、低税率"的原则,实现房地产开发流转环节税收为主向房地产保有环节税收为主的房地产税制转型,去土地财政化,这就要适时开征房产税。开征房产税可以分两步走,近期对居民新购商品房超免税标准部分征收房产税,中长期覆盖到居民已购存量房地产。     

吐鲁番阿斯塔那—哈拉和卓古墓群出土古纸研究

为研究新疆古代的纸和造纸工艺,本文采用外观观察和纤维分析等方法,鉴定了一批吐鲁番哈拉和卓古墓群出土的古纸,其年代处于东晋到唐代之间。分析表明,这些纸张的原料主要是苎麻、大麻和构皮,纸张的生产方法有浇纸法造纸和抄纸法造纸两种,加工方法有单面施胶、双面施胶、浆内施胶加填、染色技艺等多种方法,说明当时加工纸技术已普遍应用于新疆的各种纸张。本文对研究纸和造纸法在新疆地区的流传有一定的意义。     

将审计风险理论引入内部审计实践

审计风险 ,是指会计报表存在重大错报或漏报 ,而注册会计师审计后发表不恰当审计意见的可能性。在审计界审计风险日益得到认识和重视 ,内部审计人员有责任探究审计风险理论 ,充分认识审计风险的概念、特征及其产生的原因 ,探索审计风险的防范措施 ,并将其运用到内部审计实践当中 ,建立控制审计风险体系 ,从而达到规避审计风险 ,提高审计工作质量 ,巩固内审部门地位的目的     

城市化进程中失地农民就业保障的政策选择

解决失地农民的就业问题是我国现阶段新农村建设中的一个重要内容。近年来失地农民的就业基本情况有转移就业压力大,无就业和隐性失业等工作不稳定的状态,因土地征用而产生收入下降、生活得不到保障、助长社会不良现象的问题。影响失地农民实现就业的因素有土地征用制度、再就业安置措施、失地农民自身素质、就业歧视。今后必须重视失地农民的就业问题,完善土地征用补偿机制和就业安置方式,完善法律保障和社会保障体系,加强就业培训,转变就业观念等方面完善失地农民就业保障的政策。     

归化、异化翻译策略与翻译伦理

归化与异化的翻译策略是翻译伦理讨论的重点。归化与异化之间不应是简单的二元对立的关系,归化／异化的翻译策略与道德／不道德的翻译之间不存在必然联系。在不同的翻译背景下,二者的伦理性质可能会相互转化。只有在这两种翻译策略相结合时才能产生真正道德的翻译。