盈余重述归因分析——资产负债表膨胀的角度

针对国内外学者对财务重述原因的争议,在借鉴已有研究成果的基础上,本文从资产负债表膨胀的角度对盈余重述进行了归因分析。以高报盈余的重述公司为对象,利用多元回归分析等方法实证后发现,与非重述公司相比,高报盈余的重述公司在财务报告发生错误的年度资产负债表膨胀水平较高,说明公司被重述期正向调整了盈余,重述归因于公司之前年度有意的盈余管理;违规公司被重述期期初的资产负债表膨胀度显著高于非违规公司,证明公司违规主要是由于会计准则弹性范围内调整盈余的机会受限。     

控股股东代理成本、纳税筹划方案抉择及其市场价值:基于J有限公司的案例研究

纳税筹划是实务界与学术界共同关心的领域,现有研究大量讨论了公司纳税筹划行为的决定因素及其经济后果,但仍存在巨大争议。一方面,纳税筹划节约了现金流,提升股东价值;另一方面,代理问题使企业的纳税筹划方案更可能有利于控股股东或管理层,而非上市公司利益最大化,从而可能降低企业价值,最终纳税筹划方案的经济后果取决于上述两方面的共同作用。本文基于某上市公司(J有限公司)收购大股东土地案例,分析了代理成本影响公司税务决策的路径及其经济后果。本文发现,控股股东构造了较为复杂的股权转移交易方式,为上市公司和控股股东节约了大量税务成本。但由于代理成本的存在,在多种纳税筹划方案中,控股股东并未选择对上市公司最为有利的方案,而选择了能够取得现金最多,控股股东利益最大化的方案。进一步的研究发现,市场非常关注该企业的纳税筹划行为,与本文搜集的对照样本相比,尽管J公司的控股股东未选择最优的方案,但投资者仍给予了该纳税筹划行为以积极反应,提升了企业价值。本文为研究代理成本影响公司税务决策的机理提供了重要参考。     

中国省区城市化水平的马尔可夫预测

首先将中国省区的城市化水平划分为四种状态,并建立一个吸收的Markov随机过程,描述中国省区城市化水平状态的变化规律;其次,利用Markov预测模型,对省区城市化水平的变动趋势进行预测;最后,通过吸收Markov链的基本矩阵,对各种"非吸收状态"进入"吸收状态"(高度城市化水平状态)所需的时间进行预测,并对其进行分析.     

基于股利变更公告的股利信号效应研究

本文根据上市公司发布的股利变更公告,提供了一个比之前文献利用年报研究股利市场反应更为干净的方法,研究上市公司股利发放的市场反应。本文进一步研究了各种股利发放变动与公司现金流、盈余之间的关系,从而对上市公司股利政策的信号传递效应进行检验。结果发现,我国上市公司的现金股利发放并没有信号传递效应;股票股利发放只是传递了关于公司当期净利润的信息,并没有传递关于公司未来盈余的信息。具体来说,市场对现金股利变更的反应不及对股票股利变更的反应敏感;同时发现,现金股利的变更与公司现金流、盈余之间并没有显著关系,而股票股利的变更则参考了当期净利润的表现。     

A global meaning of supply chain social sustainability

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to help reduce tensions in supply chain social sustainability (SCSS) decisions by providing a common global, contextual definition of social sustainability. This exploratory study utilised an inductive structured interview method to capture SCSS concept meanings. Those interviewed are from, have lived, and worked in developed economies, emerging economies and the base of the pyramid (BOP) economies. The results present a new global baseline definition of SCSS to inform theory and practice by finding that SCSS meanings differ not only between the different levels of economic development, but also within the levels as well. Culture, community and whether basic human needs are met all weigh into perspectives of what this concept is and should entail; a broad, contingent definition is most appropriate moving forward for sustainability planning and execution. Further research with stakeholders in more countries and communities is needed to validate our proposal.     

Becoming lesbian mothers

Lesbian mothering strategies are commonly theorized as instances of assimilationism or resistance. This essay critiques those approaches and presents a promising alternative using the conceptual framework of Gilles Deleuze and Felix Guattari. Their concepts of "becoming" and "rhizoming" are utilized as mechanisms for understanding the inconsistencies and contradictions that constitute the subjectivities of two lesbian co-mothers. The essay concludes with the political implications of these analyses.     

A class of weighted dependence measures for bivariate failure time data

This paper considers a class of summary measures of the dependence between a pair of failure time variables over a finite follow-up region. The class consists of measures that are weighted averages of local dependence measures, and includes the cross-ratio-measure and finite region version of Kendall's τ; recently proposed by the authors. Two new special cases are identified that can avoid the need to estimate the bivariate survivor function and that admit explicit variance estimators. Nonparametric estimators of such dependence measures are proposed and are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal with variances that can be consistently estimated. Properties of selected estimators are evaluated in a simulation study, and the method is illustrated through an analysis of Australian Twin Study data.     

Asymptotic inference for mixture models by using data-dependent priors

For certain mixture models, improper priors are undesirable because they yield improper posteriors. However, proper priors may be undesirable because they require subjective input. We propose the use of specially chosen data-dependent priors. We show that, in some cases, data-dependent priors are the only priors that produce intervals with second-order correct frequentist coverage. The resulting posterior also has another interpretation: it is the product of a fixed prior and a pseudolikelihood.     

College students’ attitudes toward abortion and commitment to the issue

Male and female participants were surveyed on abortion attitudes, commitment, and abortion experience. Results revealed a normal distribution of abortion attitudes rejecting the notion that the vast majority of the sample would have significantly pro-choice views. No significant difference was found in overall abortion attitudes of males vs. females, however, individuals with direct abortion experience were found to have significantly stronger pro-choice attitudes than individuals without direct abortion experience. Overall, college students reported a moderate degree of commitment to the issue of abortion. Females were significantly more committed than males, individuals with direct abortion experience were significantly more committed than individuals without direct abortion experience, and individuals with more extreme abortion attitudes were significantly more committed than those with weaker, more ambivalent, attitudes. No significant difference was found in level of commitment between pro-choice and pro-life individuals.