全文获取类型
收费全文 | 19600篇 |
免费 | 607篇 |
国内免费 | 1篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 2609篇 |
民族学 | 117篇 |
人口学 | 1733篇 |
丛书文集 | 74篇 |
教育普及 | 1篇 |
理论方法论 | 1765篇 |
综合类 | 181篇 |
社会学 | 9972篇 |
统计学 | 3756篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 132篇 |
2022年 | 80篇 |
2021年 | 133篇 |
2020年 | 354篇 |
2019年 | 523篇 |
2018年 | 612篇 |
2017年 | 800篇 |
2016年 | 621篇 |
2015年 | 411篇 |
2014年 | 576篇 |
2013年 | 3536篇 |
2012年 | 733篇 |
2011年 | 682篇 |
2010年 | 509篇 |
2009年 | 409篇 |
2008年 | 535篇 |
2007年 | 489篇 |
2006年 | 521篇 |
2005年 | 410篇 |
2004年 | 418篇 |
2003年 | 350篇 |
2002年 | 363篇 |
2001年 | 469篇 |
2000年 | 413篇 |
1999年 | 403篇 |
1998年 | 312篇 |
1997年 | 262篇 |
1996年 | 279篇 |
1995年 | 289篇 |
1994年 | 247篇 |
1993年 | 256篇 |
1992年 | 299篇 |
1991年 | 294篇 |
1990年 | 288篇 |
1989年 | 253篇 |
1988年 | 239篇 |
1987年 | 201篇 |
1986年 | 229篇 |
1985年 | 249篇 |
1984年 | 217篇 |
1983年 | 191篇 |
1982年 | 159篇 |
1981年 | 130篇 |
1980年 | 155篇 |
1979年 | 170篇 |
1978年 | 133篇 |
1977年 | 114篇 |
1976年 | 87篇 |
1975年 | 91篇 |
1974年 | 93篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
951.
ABSTRACTThe Washington State Legislature created the Parenting Sentencing Alternative in 2010, authorizing a substitute to total confinement for parents of minor children. The Alternative is designed to strengthen family bonds and improve parenting skills to encourage successful reintegration. An overview of the Alternative’s history, design, and implementation is presented, followed by preliminary results from an impact evaluation. A case study of a successful participant is presented, and implications for the findings are discussed. 相似文献
952.
953.
Jennifer M. Geiger Justine R. Cheung Jeanne E. Hanrahan Cynthia A. Lietz Breanna M. Carpenter 《Journal of social service research》2017,43(5):566-579
Research shows that few foster care alumni enroll and complete post-secondary education. For those who do enroll, many experience challenges associated with academic and social adjustment and are at risk of dropping out. Many college-based programs are being developed and are available to foster care alumni to support them during their post-secondary education. This study used pre-tests, post-tests, and journal entries of seventeen participants to evaluate a strengths-based, resilience-oriented early-start program for newly enrolled students at a large public university that provides knowledge about the institution, resources (e.g., tutoring), and social support necessary for foster care alumni to make a smooth transition into college life and to increase short and long-term student success. Quantitative and qualitative findings indicate that students who participated in the early-start program showed increased confidence and competency in academic and social adjustment. Findings also showed personal growth (e.g., building resiliency) and an increased connectedness among students who participated in the program. Study findings can inform the development of new on-campus support programs and help enhance existing programming. Future research should address short and long-term outcomes and experiences of students who are former foster youth who have participated in on-campus support programs. 相似文献
954.
The drivers of public support for redistributive policy have stimulated academic debate around the world. The majority of studies use cross‐country surveys conducted in the Organisation for Economic Co‐operation and Development countries to contribute to the debate on whether self‐interest or social values have more influence on public attitudes towards redistribution. Drawing on a phone survey conducted in 2013, this study advances the discussion by investigating public attitudes towards redistribution and social policy changes against the backdrop of buoyant government revenues in Hong Kong. The Hong Kong welfare model, best seen as a parallel to the liberal welfare state, is selective and residual. Contrary to the usual assumption, the social values hypothesis, viewing poverty as societal problems instead of individual reasons, has been supported in the Hong Kong context. It lends support to greater redistribution in a residual welfare state. The policy implications of the findings are also discussed. 相似文献
955.
Liu CA Braun TM 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2009,58(2):225-236
We propose a phase I clinical trial design that seeks to determine the cumulative safety of a series of administrations of a fixed dose of an investigational agent. In contrast with traditional phase I trials that are designed solely to find the maximum tolerated dose of the agent, our design instead identifies a maximum tolerated schedule that includes a maximum tolerated dose as well as a vector of recommended administration times. Our model is based on a non-mixture cure model that constrains the probability of dose limiting toxicity for all patients to increase monotonically with both dose and the number of administrations received. We assume a specific parametric hazard function for each administration and compute the total hazard of dose limiting toxicity for a schedule as a sum of individual administration hazards. Throughout a variety of settings motivated by an actual study in allogeneic bone marrow transplant recipients, we demonstrate that our approach has excellent operating characteristics and performs as well as the only other currently published design for schedule finding studies. We also present arguments for the preference of our non-mixture cure model over the existing model. 相似文献
956.
B. J. Gajewski R. Lee M. Bott U. Piamjariyakul R. L. Taunton 《Journal of applied statistics》2009,36(9):933-944
Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a deterministic econometric model for calculating efficiency by using data from an observed set of decision-making units (DMUs). We propose a method for calculating the distribution of efficiency scores. Our framework relies on estimating data from an unobserved set of DMUs. The model provides posterior predictive data for the unobserved DMUs to augment the frontier in the DEA that provides a posterior predictive distribution for the efficiency scores. We explore the method on a multiple-input and multiple-output DEA model. The data for the example are from a comprehensive examination of how nursing homes complete a standardized mandatory assessment of residents. 相似文献
957.
Robust tests for the common principal components model 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Graciela Boente Ana M. Pires Isabel M. Rodrigues 《Journal of statistical planning and inference》2009
When dealing with several populations, the common principal components (CPC) model assumes equal principal axes but different variances along them. In this paper, a robust log-likelihood ratio statistic allowing to test the null hypothesis of a CPC model versus no restrictions on the scatter matrices is introduced. The proposal plugs into the classical log-likelihood ratio statistic robust scatter estimators. Using the same idea, a robust log-likelihood ratio and a robust Wald-type statistic for testing proportionality against a CPC model are considered. Their asymptotic distributions under the null hypothesis and their partial influence functions are derived. A small simulation study allows to compare the behavior of the classical and robust tests, under normal and contaminated data. 相似文献
958.
959.
D. James Greiner Kevin M. Quinn 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society)》2009,172(1):67-81
Summary. Despite its potential pitfalls, ecological inference is an unavoidable part of some quantitative settings, including US voting rights litigation. In such applications, the analyst will typically encounter two-way tables with more than two rows and columns. Although several ecological inference methods are currently available for 2×2 tables, there are fewer options for analysing general R × C tables, and virtually none that model counts as opposed to fractions. We propose a count R × C method that respects the bounds deterministically, that allows for complex relationships between internal cell quantities, that is easily extensible and that results from transparent assumptions. We study the method via simulation, and then apply it to an example that is drawn from the state of Texas relevant to recent redistricting litigation there. 相似文献
960.
The estimation of data transformation is very useful to yield response variables satisfying closely a normal linear model. Generalized linear models enable the fitting of models to a wide range of data types. These models are based on exponential dispersion models. We propose a new class of transformed generalized linear models to extend the Box and Cox models and the generalized linear models. We use the generalized linear model framework to fit these models and discuss maximum likelihood estimation and inference. We give a simple formula to estimate the parameter that index the transformation of the response variable for a subclass of models. We also give a simple formula to estimate the rth moment of the original dependent variable. We explore the possibility of using these models to time series data to extend the generalized autoregressive moving average models discussed by Benjamin et al. [Generalized autoregressive moving average models. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 98, 214–223]. The usefulness of these models is illustrated in a simulation study and in applications to three real data sets. 相似文献