Regions of alternatives with high and low power for goodness-of-fit tests

In the present paper we find finite dimensional spaces W of alternatives with high power for a given class of tests and non-parametric alternatives. On the orthogonal complement of W the power function is flat. These methods can be used to reduce the dimension of interesting alternatives. We sketch a device how to calculate (approximately) an alternative with maximum power of a fixed test on a given ball of certain non-parametric alternatives.

The calculations are done within different asymptotic models specified by signal detection tests. Specific tests are Kolmogorov–Smirnov type tests, integral tests (like the Anderson and Darling test) and Rényi tests for hazard based models. The statistical meaning and interpretation of the spaces of alternatives with high power is discussed. These alternatives belong to least favorable directions of a class of statistical functionals which are linear combinations of quantile functions. For various cases their meaning is explained for parametric submodels, in particular for location alternatives.     

On nonparametric regression estimators based on regression quantiles

In the ciassical regression model Y_i=h(x_i) + ? _i, i=1,…,n, Cheng (1984) introduced linear combinations of regression quantiles as a new class of estimators for the unknown regression function h(x). The asymptotic properties studied in Cheng (1984) are reconsidered. We obtain a sharper scrong consistency rate and we improve on the conditions for asymptotic normality by proving a new result on the remainder term in the Bahadur representation for regression quantiles.     

Sexual activity and risk taking in young heterosexual men: The relevance of sexual arousability,mood, and sensation seeking

In this research we explored three aspects of personality relevant to sexual activity and sexual risk taking in heterosexual men. Men with low inhibition of sexual arousal in the face of risk (low SIS2) reported more partners with whom they use no condoms and more lifetime “one night stands.” Men who experience increased sexual interest in states of depression (MSQ) reported more partners in the past year and more one night stands. The disinhibition subscale of the Sensation Seeking Scale was predictive of whether sexual intercourse had occurred in the past 6 months, and also of the number of sexual partners in the past year. A measure of an intention to practice safer sex was strongly related to measures of sexual arousability and inhibition (SIS/SES). We discuss some clear similarities and also some interesting differences with a parallel study of gay men. Individual differences in sexual excitation and inhibition proneness and the relation between mood and sexuality are clearly relevant to high‐risk sexual behavior and should be taken into consideration when designing behavioral interventions.     

Individual Differences in the Effects of Mood on Sexuality: The Revised Mood and Sexuality Questionnaire (MSQ-R)

Previous research using the Mood and Sexuality Questionnaire (MSQ) has revealed substantial variability in how negative mood impacts sexual response and behavior. However, the MSQ does not address differences between desire for solo or partnered sexual activity, examine the effects of sexual activity on mood, or assess the effects of positive mood. This article presents the development and factor structure of the Revised Mood and Sexuality Questionnaire (MSQ-R). An exploratory factor analysis in a sample of heterosexual men, homosexual men, and heterosexual women (N = 1,983) produced eight factors. Considerable variability was found in how moods influence sexual desire and arousal, in the effects of mood on sexual behavior, and in the reciprocal effects of sexual activity on mood. Among other findings, heterosexual women were less likely than heterosexual men and homosexual men to experience increased sexual desire and arousal when anxious or stressed, whereas homosexual men and heterosexual women were less likely than heterosexual men to experience increased desire when sad or depressed. Heterosexual men and heterosexual women were more likely than homosexual men to report increased desire when in a positive mood. Intercorrelations and correlations with various sexual behaviors varied by group. Limitations and implications of the findings are discussed.     

The Double Center of Gravity in Durkheim's Symbol Theory: Bringing the Symbolism of the Body Back In

By studying Durkheim through a Schopenhauerian lens, the one-sidedly cognitivist and functionalist reception of his social theory can be balanced. Durkheim explicitly rejected such monistic interpretations. His dialectical approach was always aimed at an essentially dualistic perception of man and society, wherein the lower pole, the individual, is central. In Durkheim's symbol theory, this position leads to two kinds of symbols: those that are bound to the human body, here called "this and that" symbols, and those people can choose freely, here called "this for that" symbols. This twofold symbol theory can already be found in medieval philosophy (e.g. Dante Alighieri) as well as in the work of Paul Ricoeur. For Durkheim the human person is the symbol par excellence. By implication the rituals in which the person is (re)constructed, that is the rites of passage, should be central. The interpretation here opens up new perspectives for a more psychological interpretation of Durkheim's sociology.     

Lifetime risk of pregnancy-related death among Zambian women: district-level estimates from the 2010 census

The aim of this study was to examine district differentials in the lifetime risk of pregnancy-related death among females aged 15–49 in Zambia. We used data on household deaths collected in the 2010 census to estimate the lifetime risk of pregnancy-related death among females in Zambia. Using all-cause age-specific death rates, we generated female life tables for 74 districts and estimated person-years of exposure to all-cause mortality at each age. We then applied age-specific pregnancy-related mortality rates to the person-years of exposure to obtain estimates of adult lifetime risk that took account of competing causes of death. We used the ArcGIS software to analyse clustering and the spatial distribution of risk. A female aged 15 in Zambia had a 3.7 % chance of dying a pregnancy-related death before the age of 50. At district level, the lifetime risk ranged from 1.7 to 7.7 %. The Global Moran’s I was 0.452 (z-score 5.8, p value <0.01), indicating clustering of districts with similar risk levels of pregnancy-related mortality. Clustering of high-risk districts was found in Western province while clustering of low risk districts was found in Lusaka and Muchinga provinces. The level of adult lifetime risk was more positively associated with pregnancy-related mortality than with fertility. Females in Zambia have a high lifetime risk of pregnancy-related death overall but this risk varies greatly across the different districts of the country. The observed diversity is larger than when merely studying differences between provinces and is only weakly linked to differences in fertility levels. The identification of districts with varying levels of risk should enable evidence-based and focused delivery of maternal health services in districts where risk of death from maternal causes is greatest.     

Resampling Plans for Frailty Models

Methods for selecting a distributional model for a random variable such as ambient air quality concentration are examined. Specific consideration is given to identification of a model from the exponential, lognormal, Weibull and gamma distributions. The performance of a likelihood ratio statistic and a Kolmogorov ratio statistic are examined by Monte Carlo simulation. On the basis of these results a procedure for increasing the probability of correct selection is proposed.     

Betriebsinterne Arbeitsmärkte, Hierarchien und Neueinstellungen: Eine empirische Untersuchung mit Personaldaten

Many empirical studies which deal with internal labour markets are related to the work of Doeringer and Piore (1971). The majority of these studies cannot find closed internal labour markets with entry positions at the lower end of a firm’s hierarchy. Most of these studies, however, use data from financial and service industries, managerial or other white-collar workers. Doeringer and Piore (1971) state that closed internal labour markets with clearly defined entry positions should be found especially for blue-collar workers in the manufacturing industry, because firm specific human capital is of large importance in these industries. In this paper, a large data set of a manufacturing company with blue-collar and white-collar workers is used. We show that the internal labour market of blue-collar workers is more closed than that of white-collar workers. Moreover, we find that firm specific human capital plays a major role in determining the hierarchical position of blue-collar workers. Entries of white-collar workers, however, appear at all hierarchical positions. Furthermore, formal education plays a major role in allocating the white-collar workers.