古代新疆经济文化区的划分——兼论维吾尔族经济文化类型的演变

现代维吾尔族主要是一个农业民族,其经济文化类型属于绿洲灌溉农业。历史上维吾尔族曾经历了狩猎、游牧等经济模式,9世纪中叶以后,逐渐改变为定居的农业民族。在边疆地区全面建设小康社会进程中,民族地区的现代化发展道路选择应保持民族文化的传承性。     

一基于SEM的经济发展与社会发展关系——以济南市为例

利用济南市2001—2013年的数据,构建济南市经济与社会发展关系的结构方程模型(SEM),考量经济发展的4个潜变量(经济水平、经济结构、经济增速、经济物耗)与社会发展的4个潜变量(居民的生活质量、社会稳定、人口素质、生态环境)间的相互影响,结果表明,居民生活质量正相关于人口素质和经济水平,人口素质正相关于经济水平;居民生活质量作用于社会稳定,而社会稳定是生活质量的固有要求;生态环境负相关于经济增速和经济物耗。     

王世贞“格调”早晚两期比较研究

王世贞早年对格调的产生原因、“情、格、调”内涵都有清晰阐释。诗应抒写物理人情与君子性情、创建明朝盛世文学的高格正调,这一格调论主张,王世贞终生都未改变。但晚年又确有转变,追求“格降而博求其变”的平和老成风调。“变”与“不变”性质,是本质坚守格调不变,方法上变为深化与完善。王世贞重要问题的早晚年比较,为解决钱谦益“弇州晚年定论”,提供了研究方法与实证内容。     

服刑人员的家庭教养方式和冲动特质水平关系的调查分析

采用问卷调查法探讨服刑人员家庭教养方式与冲动特质水平的关系,结果表明:服刑人员的父母的教养方式主要偏向于拒绝、否认,过分干涉、过分保护以及惩罚、严厉等,而给予的温暖和理解不够;从冲动特质水平来看,男性服刑人员高于女性服刑人员,非独生子女家庭出身的服刑人员高于独生子女家庭出身的服刑人员;服刑人员的家庭教养方式和冲动性人格特质间存在显著相关。     

领导风格与组织创新氛围关系的实证研究——基于军工科研院所的调查数据

以军工科研院所的92个团队、1014名团队成员为样本,探索领导风格对组织创新氛围的影响.研究发现,六种领导风格对组织创新氛围的每一个维度都会产生影响;愿景型、亲和型、民主型和教练型领导风格对组织创新氛围产生积极影响,命令型和表率型领导风格对组织创新氛固有显著负面影响.研究成果进一步丰富了领导风格与组织创新氛围关系的实证研究,并对军工企业的管理者灵活转换领导风格、创造积极的组织创新氛围具有指导意义.     

Robust Smoothed Rank Estimation Methods for Accelerated Failure Time Model Allowing Clusters

Smoothed Gehan rank estimation methods are widely used in accelerated failure time (AFT) models with/without clusters. However, most methods are sensitive to outliers in the covariates. In order to solve this problem, we propose robust approaches based on the smoothed Gehan rank estimation methods for the AFT model, allowing for clusters by employing two different weight functions. Simulation studies show that the proposed methods outperform existing smoothed rank estimation methods regarding their biases and standard deviations when there are outliers in the covariates. The proposed methods are also applied to a real dataset from the “Major cardiovascular interventions” study.     

Symmetrical Design of Experiment in Global Sensitivity Analysis Based on ANOVA High-dimensional Model Representation

This article reviews symmetrical global sensitivity analysis based on the analysis of variance of high-dimensional model representation. To overcome the computational difficulties and explore the use of symmetrical design of experiment (SDOE), two methods are presented. If the form of the objective function f is known, we use SDOE to estimate the symmetrical global sensitivity indices instead of Monte Carlo or quasi-Monte Carlo simulation. Otherwise, we use the observed values of the experiment to do symmetrical global sensitivity analysis. These methods are easy to implement and can reduce the computational cost. An example is given by symmetrical design of experiment.     

胡适与民国时期安徽大学的初创

作为一位皖籍著名学者,胡适并不仅仅关注中国和世界,他同样十分关注家乡安徽的教育文化事业.1921年8月,胡适首先发出筹建安徽大学的呼吁.之后,他对推动安徽大学的筹建起了重要和积极的作用.1928年4月安徽大学成立后,他曾是安徽大学首位校长的主要人选,并且与安徽大学最初几位校长关系密切,对他们有重要影响.     

Social inequalities in intimate partner violence: a study of women in Kenya

This study examines social inequalities in intimate partner violence (IPV) among women of reproductive age in Kenya. A sample comprising 3,696 women was retrieved from the Kenyan Demographic and Health Survey of 2003. The study design was cross-sectional. Chi-square tests and logistic regression were used to analyze the data. Results indicated that while high education among women reduced the risk of IPV exposure, both being employed and having a higher education/occupational status than her partner increased a woman's vulnerability to IPV. Age differences between the partners, illiteracy, and lack of autonomy and access to information increased the likelihood of IPV. Finally, being in polygamous relationships was associated with IPV exposure. The findings indicate demographic, social, and structural differences in exposure to IPV with important implications for interventions.     

浅谈如何做好燃气安全监管工作

随着市场经济的不断推进,行业垄断的格局被逐渐打破,多元化的经济成分融人,给燃气市场的发展带来了新的活力,同时也促进了社会各行业的经济发展,使人们的生产、生活质量得到很大提高.