昌北高校图书馆联盟虚拟参考咨询服务现状分析

高校图书馆联合虚拟参考咨询服务是一种全新的信息服务形式,深受广大用户的喜爱和欢迎。该文通过对江西省昌北高校图书馆联盟2011年1至6月份虚拟参考咨询的服务人员、服务形式、服务内容、服务效率及存在问题进行调查分析研究,提出提升该联盟虚拟参考咨询服务质量的积极建议及对策。     

State of the Art in Risk Analysis of Workforce Criticality Influencing Disaster Preparedness for Interdependent Systems

The objective of this article is to discuss a needed paradigm shift in disaster risk analysis to emphasize the role of the workforce in managing the recovery of interdependent infrastructure and economic systems. Much of the work that has been done on disaster risk analysis has focused primarily on preparedness and recovery strategies for disrupted infrastructure systems. The reliability of systems such as transportation, electric power, and telecommunications is crucial in sustaining business processes, supply chains, and regional livelihoods, as well as ensuring the availability of vital services in the aftermath of disasters. There has been a growing momentum in recognizing workforce criticality in the aftermath of disasters; nevertheless, significant gaps still remain in modeling, assessing, and managing workforce disruptions and their associated ripple effects to other interdependent systems. The workforce plays a pivotal role in ensuring that a disrupted region continues to function and subsequently recover from the adverse effects of disasters. With this in mind, this article presents a review of recent studies that have underscored the criticality of workforce sectors in formulating synergistic preparedness and recovery policies for interdependent infrastructure and regional economic systems.     

An Integrated Risk Assessment Model of Township‐Scaled Land Subsidence Based on an Evidential Reasoning Algorithm and Fuzzy Set Theory

Land subsidence risk assessment (LSRA) is a multi‐attribute decision analysis (MADA) problem and is often characterized by both quantitative and qualitative attributes with various types of uncertainty. Therefore, the problem needs to be modeled and analyzed using methods that can handle uncertainty. In this article, we propose an integrated assessment model based on the evidential reasoning (ER) algorithm and fuzzy set theory. The assessment model is structured as a hierarchical framework that regards land subsidence risk as a composite of two key factors: hazard and vulnerability. These factors can be described by a set of basic indicators defined by assessment grades with attributes for transforming both numerical data and subjective judgments into a belief structure. The factor‐level attributes of hazard and vulnerability are combined using the ER algorithm, which is based on the information from a belief structure calculated by the Dempster‐Shafer (D‐S) theory, and a distributed fuzzy belief structure calculated by fuzzy set theory. The results from the combined algorithms yield distributed assessment grade matrices. The application of the model to the Xixi‐Chengnan area, China, illustrates its usefulness and validity for LSRA. The model utilizes a combination of all types of evidence, including all assessment information—quantitative or qualitative, complete or incomplete, and precise or imprecise—to provide assessment grades that define risk assessment on the basis of hazard and vulnerability. The results will enable risk managers to apply different risk prevention measures and mitigation planning based on the calculated risk states.     

《鹿特丹规则》中“门到门”运输及其影响

《鹿特丹规则》的立法宗旨在于实现海上货物运输法律的统一。它对海上货物运输中相关主体的权利义务进行了重新分配,尤其是其中的"门到门"运输,加重了承运人的义务,这种权利义务的再分配,对海上保险法律制度必然会造成一定的影响。文章从《鹿特丹规则》"门到门"运输的基本内涵的研究出发,探讨了"门到门"运输下承运人义务的变化,分析了该规则的主要影响尤其是对海上保险可能造成的影响,以及海上保险法律制度的完善路径。     

类文明:全球化时代中国式民主的应然走向

中国式民主是人类民主类型中的一支新秀。如同任何类型的民主一样,中国式民主包含着内在精神和外在形式两个主要方面。就其内在精神来看,中国式民主以其创新的理论体系演绎着民主的普遍精神;就其外在形式来看,中国式民主又以其独特的实现形式丰富了人类民主的具体形式。因此,中国式民主是中国的,但又是人类的。在全球化时代,发展中国式民主必须具有开放的胸襟和广纳的气魄——即具有类文明的自觉。只有准确地把握中国式民主的精神实质和具体实现形式,在坚持中国特色的同时,不断增强"类文明"的成分,才能发展好中国式民主,建设社会主义政治文明。从一定意义上讲,不断走向"类文明",正是中国式民主的基本走向和最终归宿。     

汉语同源字考

本文旨在为王力著的《同源字典》拾遗补阙。有些字王力的著作虽已收录、考释，但这些字还有别的意义，尚可与另一些字构成另一对（或一组）同源字（即“同源词”）。本文依照“音近义通”的原则考释同源字。     

大城市边缘区人居环境问题及其优化调控研究——以广州市为例

以广州市边缘区为典型案例,深入剖析了大城市边缘区人居环境问题,包括过度依赖外资、生态环境隐患、建设用地无序扩张、违章建筑、房地产开发失衡与基础设施配套滞后、传统文化衰落等,并针对性地提出优化调控措施:促进产业结构改造与升级,完善基础设施和公共服务设施配套,实施生态环境保护与综合整治,加强房地产开发的政府引导,推进边缘区管理体制改革;完善边缘区规划体系。     

A discrete-time risk model with Poisson ARCH claim-number process

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a discrete-time risk model with the claim number following an integer-valued autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) process with Poisson deviates. In this model, the current claim number depends on the previous observations. Within this framework, the equation for finding the adjustment coefficient is derived. Numerical studies are also carried out to examine the impact of the Poisson ARCH dependence structure on the ruin probability.     

日本漫画翻译技法初探——以特殊表记为中心

如所周知，特殊表记如今已经成为漫画不可或缺的部分。在创作漫画时加入英文表记和外来语表记能够丰富故事内容，使人物形象更为丰满，同时适当使用这些表记能够使漫画更加贴近年轻受众群体。但是在实际翻译漫画时，这些特殊的表记却极易被漫画的译者所忽视。通过从人物对白、特殊用语以及人名三方面入手，从实用角度结合具体案例探讨了日本漫画中英文表记、外来语表记的处理策略，认为应根据特殊表记出现的位置及作用来具体选择翻译方式，不应一概而论。     

构建舟山群岛新区水资源安全保障体系研究

"新区发展水为先",这是舟山发展一贯经验的科学总结。水资源直接影响着舟山群岛新区建设的速度和质量,关系到人民生活水平的提高,对新区发展具有特殊重要的意义。文章在分析舟山群岛新区水源地环境基本状况的基础上,对水资源供求趋势进行了预测和分析,并从完善有偿使用和取水许可制度、建立水资源统一管理体制,完善增加蓄水资源的引导性政策、健全可持续开发利用的激励配套措施,强化水源与供水工程网络建设、优先开发利用好当地水资源阐释了构建舟山群岛新区水资源安全保障体系的对策。