1904年西藏抗英斗争与《申报》史料研究

1904年,英国侵略者为了将中国西藏纳入英国的势力范围,悍然发动了侵略中国西藏的战争.这次战争对于当时的西藏来说,是一件大事.西藏人民对英国侵略者的入侵进行了不屈不挠的反抗,而江孜抗英斗争就是这诸多反抗斗争中重要的组成部分.历史已越百年,但是这场战争折射出藏族同胞深沉的爱国情怀却不应被时间所遗忘.《申报》中有关英国第二次入侵西藏前后的相关报道及时而详尽,是研究1904年西藏抗英斗争重要的史料.     

世界体系与中国文明复兴

自20世纪70年代以来，全球化的历史语境推动了四次大的文明复兴运动，其中中国文明的复兴是极为重要而独特的。中国文明是人文文明，其基本特征是以辩证理性为指导，与多元文明相融合的创新精神。中国文明的复兴将对世界产生重要作用。     

深圳城市治理的三种模式研究

城市社区治理体系改革是基层党和政府与社区各类组织之间权力职能关系的一种多方位调整,居民自治、党建引领与企业参与分别代表着目前实践中的三种不同改革思路,其内在逻辑折射出改革者对于解决社区现实问题的区别性研判,以及对社区治理体制改革内容的差异化理解,并将深刻影响城市治理的发展向度.在住房商品化改革深入推进,社区形态经历复杂转型,社区利益主体日渐多元,居民的民主法治观念逐渐觉醒,基层群众自治需求增长的现实背景下,以深圳在居民自治、社区党建、社区服务等方面探索出的"盐田模式""南山模式""桃源居模式"为例,阐释三者之间的关系并分析其中的优缺点,对于研判城市社区治理体系改革的趋向和特征有启迪作用.     

话题结构中ATB移位现象的最简探索

在英语并列疑问句中，存在着ATB(Across the Board)移位现象。汉语作为Wh in situ的语言，不允许疑问词提升。但是通过对实际的语料分析发现，在汉语某些宾语前置的话题结构中，同样存在着ATB式移位。文章通过分析这些结构的句法特征和生成机制，证明了在汉语中同样存在着ATB移位现象，并通过对比不同语言中话题化结构的特点，进而证明了ATB移位具有跨语言的普遍特性。     

党政机构微博在突发事件中传播效果的影响因素及策略

在分析铁路货运量预测方法的基础上，针对标准BP神经网络的不足，提出改进的BP神经网络预测模型。首先,利用动态陡度因子来改变激励函数的陡峭程度，以此来得到更好的激励函数响应特征以及更好的非线性表达能力；其次，利用附加动量因子，通过对以前经验的积累，既降低了神经网络对误差曲面的局部细节敏感特性，又较好的遏制了神经网络易于限于局部最小的缺陷；最后，采取改变学习率的方法，给定一个较大的学习率初始值，在学习的过程中学习率不断减小，网络最终趋于稳定。改进BP算法既可以得到更优的解，还能够缩短训练时间。利用全国铁路货运     

吉伯德-萨特思韦特防策略不可能性定理的逻辑初探

自20世纪70年代吉伯德-萨特思韦特防策略不可能性定理确立后，引起了数学、经济学、计算机科学和哲学等诸多领域中学者的广泛关注。然而，在国内外文献中，对吉伯德-萨特思韦特防策略不可能性定理的逻辑研究还比较少。基于此，借助公理化的方法探讨吉伯德-萨特思韦特防策略不可能性定理，并形式化地给出定理的内容和证明，力图把精细的逻辑推理应用于复杂的过程分析中，使防策略投票这一过程形式化、清晰化，以期能指导人们进行合理、有效的决策活动。     

The turn to optional familialism through the market: Long‐term care,cash‐for‐care,and caregiving policies in Europe

Cash‐for‐care (CfC) schemes are monetary transfers to people in need of care who can use them to organize their own care arrangements. Mostly introduced in the 1990s, these schemes combine different policy objectives, as they can aim at (implicitly or explicitly) supporting informal caregivers as well as increasing user choice in long‐term care or even foster the formalization of care relations and the creation of care markets. This article explores from a comparative perspective, how CfC schemes, within broader long‐term care policies, envision, frame, and aim to condition informal care, if different models of relationships between CfC and informal care exist and how these have persisted or changed over time and into which directions. Building on the scholarly debate on familialization vs. defamilialization policies, the paper proposes an analytical framework to investigate the trajectories of seven European countries over a period of 20 years. The results show that, far from being simply instruments of supported familialism, CfC schemes have contributed to a turn towards “optional familialism through the market,” according to which families are encouraged to provide family care and are (directly or indirectly) given alternatives through the provision of market care.     

Perception of Earthquake Risk in Taiwan: Effects of Gender and Past Earthquake Experience

This study explored how individuals in Taiwan perceive the risk of earthquake and the relationship of past earthquake experience and gender to risk perception. Participants (n= 1,405), including earthquake survivors and those in the general population without prior direct earthquake exposure, were selected and interviewed through a computer‐assisted telephone interviewing procedure using a random sampling and stratification method covering all 24 regions of Taiwan. A factor analysis of the interview data yielded a two‐factor structure of risk perception in regard to earthquake. The first factor, “personal impact,” encompassed perception of threat and fear related to earthquakes. The second factor, “controllability,” encompassed a sense of efficacy of self‐protection in regard to earthquakes. The findings indicated prior earthquake survivors and females reported higher scores on the personal impact factor than males and those with no prior direct earthquake experience, although there were no group differences on the controllability factor. The findings support that risk perception has multiple components, and suggest that past experience (survivor status) and gender (female) affect the perception of risk. Exploration of potential contributions of other demographic factors such as age, education, and marital status to personal impact, especially for females and survivors, is discussed. Future research on and intervention program with regard to risk perception are suggested accordingly.     

中华民族传统音乐理性刍议

音乐是人类最古老的艺术形式之一,也是最具感染力的艺术形式。中华民族传统音乐侧重于个体性和生命性,注重感悟性和体验性,也注重在现实层面关注于对社会的教化作用,实际上是实用理性指导下的音乐。在社会主义文化建设背景下,努力发掘中华民族传统音乐理性的优良特质,对于当前社会主义文化建设有着积极的意义。     

A multiple warm standby δ-shock system with a repairman having multiple vacations

In this article, a warm standby n-unit system is studied. The system is operational as long as there is one unit normal. The unit online, which has a lifetime distribution governed by a phase-type distribution, is also attacked by a shock from some external causes. Assume that shocks arrive according to a Poisson process. Whenever an interarrival time of shock is less than a threshold, the unit online fails. The lifetimes of the units in warm standby is exponentially distributed. A repairman who can take multiple vacations repairs the failed units based on the “first-in-first-out” rule. The repair times and the vacation times of repairman are governed by different phase-type distributions. For this system, the Markov process governing the system is constructed. The system is studied in a transient and stationary regime; the availability, the reliability, the rates of occurrence of the different types of failures, and the working probability of the repairman are calculated. A numerical application is performed to illustrate the calculations.