Bayesian expectile regression with asymmetric normal distribution

In this paper, we adopt the Bayesian approach to expectile regression employing a likelihood function that is based on an asymmetric normal distribution. We demonstrate that improper uniform priors for the unknown model parameters yield a proper joint posterior. Three simulated data sets were generated to evaluate the proposed method which show that Bayesian expectile regression performs well and has different characteristics comparing with Bayesian quantile regression. We also apply this approach into two real data analysis.     

Objective Bayesian inference for the ratio of the scale parameters of two Weibull distributions

The Weibull distribution is widely used due to its versatility and relative simplicity. In our paper, the non informative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters of two Weibull models are provided. The asymptotic matching of coverage probabilities of Bayesian credible intervals is considered, with the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities. We developed the various priors for the ratio of two scale parameters using the following matching criteria: quantile matching, matching of distribution function, highest posterior density matching, and inversion of test statistics. One particular prior, which meets all the matching criteria, is found. Next, we derive the reference priors for groups of ordering. We see that all the reference priors satisfy a first-order matching criterion and that the one-at-a-time reference prior is a second-order matching prior. A simulation study is performed and an example given.     

Gender differences in the experience of loneliness in U.S. Chinese older adults

This study aimed to explore the gender differences in the experiences of loneliness in the U.S. Chinese older population. The data were drawn from the PINE study, a population-based study of U.S. Chinese adults aged 60 years and older. The Revised–University of California at Los Angeles Loneliness Scale (R-UCLA) was used to measure loneliness. Overall, older Chinese women (28.3%) had a higher rate of loneliness than older men (23.3%, p < .001). In particular, women were more likely to sometimes or often experience a lack of companionship than men (22.9% vs. 17.3%, p < .001). Older women living with fewer people, with lower health status, poorer quality of life, and worsening health changes over the past year were more likely than men to experience any loneliness. This study indicates that gender differences exist in the prevalence, symptoms, and correlates of loneliness. Longitudinal studies should be undertaken to understand gender differences in risk factors and outcomes of loneliness.     

新型城镇化背景下产城人融合的模式探索——以佛山为例

本文从国内外新型城镇化发展趋势及背景着手,以制造业名城佛山为例,分析历年来佛山城市定位和产城人融合战略的演进,并在实践中探索"1+2+5+X"城市组团模式下人与自然生态、文化科技和谐酿成的三湖模式、佛山新城模式等成功做法,揭示了产城人融合的科学选择。     

抓住国际边境合作中心成立机遇加快区域经济发展

霍尔果斯口岸是我国向第三国开放的六大一类口岸,口岸两侧的中国新疆伊犁哈萨克自治州和哈萨克斯坦阿拉木图市在经济发展上有许多互补性,霍尔果斯国际边境合作中心的建立,将进一步深化上海合作组织的经贸合作,进一步促进新疆的大开发、大发展.     

合理性与合法性:现代化的两块基石

在实现经济现代化方面,起至关重要作用的两大决定性因素就是市场和企业组织。但是,市场和企业的正常运作却离不开公共行政的相对独立及其作用。实际上,现代市场、现代企业组织、相对独立于政治的公共行政这三者之间,不仅存在着产生和发展上的共时性,而且在相互关系上也存在着内在的和必然的逻辑联系,从而推动了现代经济的迅速发展。这种内在联系来自三者的共同基础,这就是合理性和合法性。因此,合理性和合法性是现代化的逻辑基础,也可以把合理性和合法性看成是衡量现代化程度的两项主要尺度。     

试论宗教存在的原因和信仰宗教的原因

宗教存在的原因是宇宙本体的无限性以及由此引起的探索领域的无限性和个体生命的有限性以及由此引起的认知能力的有限性。而信仰宗教的原因很多,且带有偶然性。     

21世纪的社会老年学学科走向

21世纪是全球人口老龄化的世纪,社会老年学作为新兴学科方兴未艾,大有可为。这门学科在汲取古今中外的一切文明成果营养基础上,其学科领域的范围、特点和方法将会得到更为科学的界定,学科的专业研究队伍将有较大发展,学术规范将进一步强化,学科的研究成果将大大丰富。不论是从社会老年学的理论和方法研究,还是应用和对策研究,都会走向更加成熟。     

晚清时期日文史书译介活动及其特点

晚清时期,日文史书的译介是中日文化交流的主要内容之一。在译介过程中,众多知识分子、文化刊物与机构参与其中,并形成四个特点：翻译活动的独立性与自主性;地域上呈现两个活动中心;译者在译介过程中的慎重选择性;翻译活动的繁荣呈现短暂性。同时,译介活动还存在两点不足：译介活动的地域发展不均衡、史学理论书籍的翻译数量较少。尽管如此,日文史书的译介依然起到了开拓国民视野、启迪民众思想、振奋民族精神的作用。     

秉人民之夙愿彰民族之气节——盘锦市重修清军墓记

千年更迭,百岁易逝;硝烟渐远,犹然神气.甲午战争之末役--田庄台防御战,两万清军,奋勇抗寇;两千壮士,血祭辽河.舍生忘死之气节,慷慨悲歌之大义,乃一页侵略与反侵略的战争史.建墓追昔,醒民庥国;重忆历史,以表铭记.