中国数字金融发展提升路径分析——基于模糊集定性比较分析的研究

以2018年我国288个城市为研究案例,运用模糊集定性比较分析的方法,探讨了技术创新投入、经济发展水平、产业结构、消费水平、人力资源5个因素对我国数字金融发展的联合效应。研究表明(1)高效的数字金融发展具有“多重并发”的特点,即需要多个因素的共同作用而非单一因素的作用;(2)5个因素相互搭配组合的4条路径均能提升数字金融发展水平,这4条路径可以进一步划分为人力资本驱动型、综合驱动型与技术创新驱动型三种类型。     

道歉承诺类管理反馈策略对顾客二次满意度的影响——基于顾客多样情绪调节效应

O2O模式下,众多学者和商家都关注何种在线管理反馈策略能提升顾客满意度,然而多数研究仅针对顾客负向情绪,忽略了顾客多样情绪对在线管理反馈策略影响的调节作用。实际上顾客在接受在线管理反馈时带有矛盾情绪,表现为多种情绪。因此本文针对消费者多样情绪,研究不同情绪调节下道歉承诺类管理反馈策略与顾客满意度之间的关系。通过梳理在线管理反馈策略、顾客满意度、顾客多样情绪等相关研究,提出代表顾客多样情绪的在线评论类型包括：积极评论、偏积极评论、消极评论、偏消极评论,研究不同类型评论（顾客多样情绪）对顾客满意度有不同影响;道歉承诺类管理反馈策略对顾客二次满意度有积极影响;不同类型在线评论（消费者多样情绪）对道歉承诺类管理反馈策略的积极影响有调节作用等假设。本文以国内某旅行网站99027名顾客二次入住酒店数据为样本,用机器学习的方法对顾客评论和管理反馈策略进行分类,通过多元线性回归模型进行实证分析,结果表明：（1）偏积极评论、偏消极评论、消极评论对顾客二次满意度有负向影响;（2）道歉承诺类管理反馈策略对顾客二次满意度有积极作用;（3）顾客偏消极、消极情绪能够加强道歉承诺类管理反馈策略对顾客二次满意度的正向影响,即道歉承诺在调节顾客的消极情绪方面具有一定的积极作用。研究结果丰富了在线管理反馈策略理论和方法,为服务商进行在线管理反馈时应采取的措施提供了一些参考,对服务商通过第三方平台加强顾客关系管理具有一定的指导意义。     

中国居民代际收入流动性的变化趋势及影响机制研究

基于1989~2015年共计10轮CHNS数据,本文采用代际收入弹性和代际收入秩关联系数双重测度指标对我国居民代际收入流动性进行了测算,发现代际收入流动性在1991~2004年期间基本保持稳定,2004年以后呈现出不断上升的变化趋势。基于收入分组视角的研究发现,各收入组2004年以后代际收入阶层固化程度均有所降低,但高收入组和低收入组的固化程度远高于其他各组,中等收入群体是目前我国保持较高代际收入流动性的主要动力来源。从城乡差异视角看,受大规模农村劳动力向城镇流动的影响,2000年后农村家庭的代际流动性显著提升,且持续高于城市居民的代际流动性。进一步,基于人力资本分析框架对我国代际收入传递机制进行了探究,发现父亲的非教育因素在代际收入传递中起到主导作用。受整体社会制度环境不断改善的积极影响,2004年以后非教育传递机制不断减弱,对代际收入流动性的提升起到较大助推作用;而受高等教育扩张政策的影响,教育因素在2004年左右一定程度上削弱了代际收入流动性。     

先进文化:全面建设小康社会的引导力量

文化是人类的精神活动及其产品的总称,是一个民族和国家赖以生存发展的重要根基;先进文化是人类文明进步的结晶,它在本质上是一定社会先进的经济和政治在观念形态上的反映,是推动人类社会前进的精神动力;大力发展社会主义文化,是贯彻落实“三个代表”重要思想的必然要求,也是全面建设小康社会的必然要求。     

Maternity and child health care in urban China

In China the effort to develop maternal and child health (MCH) care has been ongoing. Initially, attention was directed primarily to promulgating a modern method of delivery in an effort neonatal tetanus and puerperal fever. The next stage was the systematic management of MCH care. Pregnant women and puerperants were given a series of checkups and guidance from conception until the 42nd day after delivery. The purpose was to prevent and treat complications. In some cities, perinatal care has developed to the point of health care management of the health of both mother and child. This extensive health care system includes preconception and pregnancy care, puerperant care, and neonatal care. Premarital checks have become the rule in the urban areas. MCH care organizations at the grassroots level and community health workers take responsibility for advising newly married couples about health care. In addition, some medical colleges and their affiliated hospitals provide consultation services for these couples. The Shanghai Railway Medical College uses a computer to make projections on multigenic genetic diseases. It provides information on incidence risk of the next generation to help couples make their childbearing decisions. The majority of pregnant women get their 1st prenatal check prior to the 12th week of pregnancy, followed by 9 re-examinations to screen out high risk factors. Difficult labor, infections, obstetric trauma, postpartum hemorrhage, and fetal distress are prevented at childbirth. Newborns are scored with Apgar comments; those with low marks are specially protected. In some cities, an investigation system has been established to deal with perinatal deaths. Perinatal care is managed at 3 levels: community MCH centers and MCH departments of hospitals, clinics, and industrial enterprises form the 1st level of care; MCH centers of city districts and hospitals at the district level make up the 2nd level of care; and MCH institutes or hospitals at provincial or city levels, hospitals attached to medical colleges, and hospitals under government ministries form the 3rd level of care.     

钱钟书与卡夫卡的精神对话——从《围城》与《城堡》看中西文化精神之差异

钱钟书的《围城》与卡夫卡的《城堡》 ,是具有可比性的两部文学名著。采用比较文学的研究方法 ,以中西文化的对比作为思维的切入点 ,通过钱钟书与卡夫卡的“精神对话” ,来思考中西文化精神的差异性 ,进而引起人们对现代文化建设问题的思考与关注     

Tibetan Population in China: Myths and Facts Re-examined

China is not only the most populous country in the world, but also a multinational country with 56 ethnic groups. Tibetans (4.6 million in 1990) ranked in number as the ninth largest minority group. The Tibet question has attracted wide publicity in the Western media in recent years. The Chinese government is frequently criticised for political oppression and human rights violation in Tibet, particularly in three population-related areas: genocide, forced birth control programmes and population transfer. Surprisingly, international demographic circles show little interest in these controversies. This paper aims to re-examine the myths and facts about the Tibetan population in China, in an attempt to achieve a better understanding of the Tibet question as a whole. This paper is organised roughly into four parts: introduction, including the definition of Tibet, total Tibetan population in China, an examination of the 'genocide' myth, and a review of family planning programmes and population transfer in Tibetan inhabited areas. Government data used in this paper come primarily from various publications of the 1990 National Census results. Information compiled by the Tibetan Government-in-Exile (TGIE), is used as a comparison, in addition to some other Western sources. Analyses show that the 'genocide' myth is not supported by indirect estimates on Tibetan mortality, and the 'forced birth control' allegation lacks solid demographic foundation. On the contrary, Tibetan population has experienced an unprecedented growth since the early 1960s. Still dominant in the Tibet Autonomous Region (TAR), Tibetans were only slightly outnumbered by non-Tibetans in other Tibetan prefectures in neighbouring provinces. However, the number of non-Tibetans transferring into ethnographic Tibet is on the rise. Instead of explicit resettlement programmes, the migration flow is triggered primarily by structural transformation and the Government's modernisation policy. It is historic coincidence if the current policies run counter to the interest of Tibetan nationalists. However, under no circumstances should one believe that time is running out for a political solution of the Tibet question.     

论荀子“隆礼至法”的礼法观及其现实意义

本文认为荀子的人性论是其礼法观的理论基础 ,其礼法观的主要内容和基本特点就是在强调“礼”在治国安邦中的重要作用的同时 ,也不忽略“法”的作用 ,即其主张礼法并重———“隆礼至法” ,荀子的这种礼法并重的礼法观在新的历史条件下对于我们正确处理社会主义现代化建设过程中的若干重要关系 ,特别是道德建设和法制建设的关系 ,有着直接的借鉴意义和启发作用     

略论科技因素对服装艺术的影响

科技因素对服装的起源、服装材料、制衣设备的发展、服装辅料的开发以及服装款式的形成 ,服装的流行等方面起着重要的作用 ,科学因素与艺术因素在服装中的共存是永恒的     

东西方礼仪的伦理基础比较

东西方礼仪的不同,其中一个重要因素是其伦理基础的差异。文章着重对其伦理基础相似、形式特征各异,以及伦理基础各异、形式特征异同的部分进行比较,从而使我们了解那些礼仅从其伦理基础和实践形式,是值得今天借鉴和有利于促进国际交往的,而有些礼仪形式,我们却是不能苟同,并且要明确加以反对的。