The empirical Bayes estimators of the parameter of the Poisson distribution with a conjugate gamma prior under Stein's loss function

For the hierarchical Poisson and gamma model, we calculate the Bayes posterior estimator of the parameter of the Poisson distribution under Stein's loss function which penalizes gross overestimation and gross underestimation equally and the corresponding Posterior Expected Stein's Loss (PESL). We also obtain the Bayes posterior estimator of the parameter under the squared error loss and the corresponding PESL. Moreover, we obtain the empirical Bayes estimators of the parameter of the Poisson distribution with a conjugate gamma prior by two methods. In numerical simulations, we have illustrated: The two inequalities of the Bayes posterior estimators and the PESLs; the moment estimators and the Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLEs) are consistent estimators of the hyperparameters; the goodness-of-fit of the model to the simulated data. The numerical results indicate that the MLEs are better than the moment estimators when estimating the hyperparameters. Finally, we exploit the attendance data on 314 high school juniors from two urban high schools to illustrate our theoretical studies.     

An Extended Single‐index Model with Missing Response at Random

An extended single‐index model is considered when responses are missing at random. A three‐step estimation procedure is developed to define an estimator for the single‐index parameter vector by a joint estimating equation. The proposed estimator is shown to be asymptotically normal. An algorithm for computing this estimator is proposed. This algorithm only involves one‐dimensional nonparametric smoothers, thereby avoiding the data sparsity problem caused by high model dimensionality. Some simulation studies are conducted to investigate the finite sample performances of the proposed estimators.     

关于高校思想政治教育与大学生就业工作的思考

艺术类院校应发挥思想政治教育的功能,帮助大学生树立正确就业观念。     

Hazard rate ordering of the second-order statistics from multiple-outlier PHR samples

In this paper, we compare the hazard rate functions of the second-order statistics arising from two sets of independent multiple-outlier proportional hazard rates (PHR) samples. It is proved that the submajorization order between the sample size vectors together with the supermajorization order between the hazard rate vectors imply the hazard rate ordering between the corresponding second-order statistics from multiple-outlier PHR random variables. The results established here provide theoretical guidance both for the winner's price for the bid in the second-price reverse auction in auction theory and fail-safe system design in reliability. Some numerical examples are also provided for illustration.     

利用微信平台开展高校就业服务指导工作的思考

随着高校就业工作信息化建设的推进，微信平台成为开展就业服务指导工作的新阵地。利用微信平台开展就业服务指导工作形式新颖、便捷且吻合“90后”大学生的特点。但目前就业指导服务微信平台的全程性存在质疑、有效性存在障碍等问题，影响了它的实际效用。应当首先对微信平台的优势进行准确定位，其次要不断拓展高校就业服务指导微信平台用户数量的广度和深度，再次要提供更优质的个性化服务，以期促进高校就业服务指导微信平台有效、优质的运营。     

Nonparametric Bayesian inference for multivariate density functions using Feller priors

Multivariate density estimation plays an important role in investigating the mechanism of high-dimensional data. This article describes a nonparametric Bayesian approach to the estimation of multivariate densities. A general procedure is proposed for constructing Feller priors for multivariate densities and their theoretical properties as nonparametric priors are established. A blocked Gibbs sampling algorithm is devised to sample from the posterior of the multivariate density. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the performance of the procedure.     

Understanding the Dynamics of the Individual Donor’s Trust Damage in the Philanthropic Sector

Although trust is long known to be critical to predict behaviors in a charitable context, little research has examined trust damage and its effects on giving behavior. Trust damage is an intermediate state between trust and distrust, rather than a simple reversal or extension, and can change over time. Our research explores individual donor’s trust damage through a dynamic evolution. Across the longitudinal survey, we conclude that the trust damage of pre-giving, giving, and post-giving stage plays different roles in the decision-making process. Trust damage does not play a direct role in the giving intention, but it can indirectly affect giving intention through its impact on perceived benefit and perceived risk. Individual donor’s satisfaction has a strong effect on post-giving trust or continual trust damage, which in turn positively affects future giving intention and behavior. Several important insights for practitioners in the nonprofit sector are also discussed.     

Brushes Move with Daring Spirit:Studying Ren Changjiu's Oil Paintings

正Looking at the paintings of Ren Changjiu painted during his one-year research and study at Beijing Fine Art Academy,we cannot help applauding for the progress and accomplishments he has made on the road of oil paintings exploration in such a short period of time.From his paintings,we can clearly find that the objects have gradually become blurred and fuzzy comparing to his early works     

辽商的财富从哪里来

关于东北商人,有一部挺经典的电视剧,就是《闯关东》.这部剧里讲,曾经参加过义和团的朱开山和家人,先后逃亡到东北,先到老金沟淘金,又到放牛沟开荒,再到哈尔滨开菜馆、货栈、跑马帮,最后开煤矿……走一步是一步,这家人的产业是越做越大.     

城市更新与遗产活化利用:旅游的角色与功能

建筑遗产的活化利用是城市历史街区更新的重要手段,而旅游利用则是建筑遗产活化利用的关键支持。本文在综述建筑遗产利用相关文献的基础上,总结了建筑遗产保护的思潮演变,并分析了旅游在其中的角色与功能。结论认为,建筑遗产保护正逐渐从单一的"原状保护"向多元化的"活化利用"转变。在这种活化利用中,旅游起着重要作用,它承担着建筑遗产空间关联、业态支撑的角色,而这种以旅游为目的的活化利用也提升了游客体验,增加了建筑遗产的吸引力,活化了城市空间结构,增加了城市竞争力。