校企合作构建第二课堂的实施效果分析及评价——基于圣奥班(家具设计专业)毕业生跟踪问卷的调查

南京林业大学与浙江圣奥(木业)集团联合创建的“圣奥班”是校企合作联合培养创新型家具设计工程专业人才的成功平台之一.基于圣奥班毕业生的问卷调查,对学生进班动机与目标定位、比较优势、获得的帮助、专业能力提升,以及今后办班建议等方面内容进行了分析.统计结果表明,学校和企业共同搭建的圣奥班平台对学生创新意识,专业能力、就业竞争力等诸多方面都有显著的提升.     

A modified LGB method for detecting significant effects based on a half-normal probability plot

In analyzing data from unreplicated factorial designs, the half-normal probability plot is commonly used to screen for the ‘vital few’ effects. Recently, many formal methods have been proposed to overcome the subjectivity of this plot. Lawson (1998) (hereafter denoted as LGB) suggested a hybrid method based on the half-normal probability plot, which is a blend of Lenth (1989) and Loh (1992) method. The method consists of fitting a simple least squares line to the inliers, which are determined by the Lenth method. The effects exceeding the prediction limits based on the fitted line are candidates for the vital few effects. To improve the accuracy of partitioning the effects into inliers and outliers, we propose a modified LGB method (hereafter denoted as the Mod_LGB method), in which more outliers can be classified by using both the Carling’s modification of the box plot (Carling, 2000) and Lenth method. If no outlier exists or there is a wide range in the inliers as determined by the Lenth method, more outliers can be found by the Carling method. A simulation study is conducted in unreplicated $2^4$ designs with the number of active effects ranging from 1 to 6 to compare the efficiency of the Lenth method, original LGB methods, and the proposed modified version of the LGB method.     

“破冰”还是“破茧”:中国文学走出去——顾彬教授与方汉文教授的对话

中国文学走出去面临"破冰"1与"破茧"2的双重挑战。对话双方从中国现当代小说与古典小说传统之间因时代变迁所形成的非传统性、传统小说与西方小说艺术表达与再现方式的不同之处、如何从世界文学史角度来评价中国小说诗歌价值等问题交流看法。也无可避免地涉及到当代中国作家的评价,双方观点同异并存,既有交锋又有融合,体现了不同文化观念在这一话题评价的对话性,文中充满了直率的评价,目标是为了中国文学的世界化,而不是褒贬人物。     

Modeling the Adenoma and Serrated Pathway to Colorectal CAncer (ASCCA)

Several colorectal cancer (CRC) screening models have been developed describing the progression of adenomas to CRC. Currently, there is increasing evidence that serrated lesions can also develop into CRC. It is not clear whether screening tests have the same test characteristics for serrated lesions as for adenomas, but lower sensitivities have been suggested. Models that ignore this type of colorectal lesions may provide overly optimistic predictions of the screen‐induced reduction in CRC incidence. To address this issue, we have developed the Adenoma and Serrated pathway to Colorectal CAncer (ASCCA) model that includes the adenoma‐carcinoma pathway and the serrated pathway to CRC as well as characteristics of colorectal lesions. The model structure and the calibration procedure are described in detail. Calibration resulted in 19 parameter sets for the adenoma‐carcinoma pathway and 13 for the serrated pathway that match the age‐ and sex‐specific adenoma and serrated lesion prevalence in the COlonoscopy versus COlonography Screening (COCOS) trial, Dutch CRC incidence and mortality rates, and a number of other intermediate outcomes concerning characteristics of colorectal lesions. As an example, we simulated outcomes for a biennial fecal immunochemical test screening program and a hypothetical one‐time colonoscopy screening program. Inclusion of the serrated pathway influenced the predicted effectiveness of screening when serrated lesions are associated with lower screening test sensitivity or when they are not removed. To our knowledge, this is the first model that explicitly includes the serrated pathway and characteristics of colorectal lesions. It is suitable for the evaluation of the (cost)effectiveness of potential screening strategies for CRC.     

英语中汉语借词研究新探

英语词汇中存在大量源自其他语言的借词,其中也包括一定数量的汉语词。对英语外来语词典的考察及问卷调查发现,一部分汉语借词具有较高的认知度,而有一些词则不为英语母语者所熟悉。虽然对于"中国英语"是否可以看作是英语的一种变体还有争议,但在世界英语的语境下,汉语借词正在为英语词汇的扩展做出新的贡献。     

基于最近邻分析的空气质量时空数据异常点识别

空气质量数据具有在时间上连续、空间上相关的特点,这提高了异常点识别的难度.本文提出在时间维度上运用移动平均法,在空间维度上运用反距离加权法对观测值进行预测并求残差的解决思路,从而将时空数据的异常点识别问题转化为二维残差值的异常点检测问题.通过仿真验证表明新方法具有良好的检出力.最后将新方法应用于北京市实际观测数据,取得了满意的识别效果.     

“空间转向”之后“怎么办”

“空间转向”之后的空间叙事学成为了炙手可热的“显学”.但是,当前的空间叙事研究到了一个瓶颈阶段,原因多种.“空间转向”的这股后现代思潮有着不可推卸的责任.“空间转向”的叙事推力功不可没,但后现代历史碎片化、随意切割时间历史的粗暴式学术批评也是不足取的.所以,首先,必须纠正“空间转向”等同于空间叙事研究的偏向.其次,必须区分出“形式化空间叙事”和“内容性空间叙事”,并且分别加以历史化——“空间再转向”,以结束当前空间叙事研究的破碎化、非历史化倾向.     

徽州文书与清水江文书保护模式比较研究

随着清水江文书的收集、整理和出版,越来越多的文书受到各级政府部门、学术界的重视。如何有效保护、高效利用文书成为一大问题。同时,传统的文书征集方法遭遇到了越来越多的困难和问题,因此,探索建立有别于其他文书保护模式的清水江模式具有重要的现实意义。     

全球化环境中的城市营销:行为空间变化与战略转型

在全球化与分权化浪潮的共同影响下,城市营销表现出强烈的增长倾向,驱使城市之间展开以追逐资本为主要内容的竞争博弈.在我国经济转型时期,地方政府替代市场的行为助长了城市营销利益短视的经营动机.致使城市发展受到恶性竞争的困扰,并冲击着由行政区划制度建构的城市管理体系,制约了以城市区域为依托的功能型空间组织的一体化发展诉求.鉴于此,我们要密切关注由市场主导的和受到外部环境影响的城市行为空间变化,认清城市营销战略转型的价值基础,积极探索其组织管理制度的创新模式.     

论新时期以来中国基督教文学的自然书写

在20世纪的世界文坛里,伴随着都市文明缺点的日益显豁,自然与人性受到严重异化,人的完整性被无情割裂,回归自然乐园与回归本真人性已然成为一种不可阻挡的潮流.新时期以来的中国基督教文学试图通过对自然的神性解释,从神意之美中寻觅终极的源泉,架起了重返自然乐园和复归本真人性的诗意桥梁.这种神性书写暗合了世界艺术潮流的脉动,提供了某种具有未来意义的现代化文化因子.