A time series model for cohort data

A univariate time-series model is presented for projecting age- or duration-specific data for recent cohorts. The model is also capable of taking period effects into account, is illustrated using Dutch data on marital fertility rates.     

Outpatient appointment scheduling problem considering patient selection behavior: data modeling and simulation optimization

Journal of Combinatorial Optimization - In medical outpatient services, due to patients’ imbalanced selection for doctors of different levels and for different visiting periods, inefficiency...     

The Seveso Directive: An Italian Pilot Study in Enabling Communication

In 1982 the Council of the European Communities issued a Directive on the Major Accident Hazards of Certain Industrial Activities, commonly known as the Seveso Directive. Besides other requirements, the Directive specifies that members of the public liable to be affected by a major accident from certain industrial activities must be informed of safety measures and how they should behave in the event of an accident. The Directive was subsequently amended in an extensive way. Upon the transposition of the Seveso Directive and its amendments into national legislations, the 12 European Member States are faced with the task of "appropriately and effectively" informing the public about major accident hazards. Delays are observed throughout the community, both in transposing the Directives and implementing public information. A pilot study on "Risk Information Needs" was commissioned and carried out at two Seveso sites in Italy in order to begin to resolve some of the problems involved in the provision of public information and to suggest appropriate guidelines. One hundred subjects answered an experimental protocol designed to assess their "information needs." This article presents the theoretical background, the pragmatic aims, and the design of the study. It also summarizes its most relevant findings and suggests some recommendations for the provision of information to the public.     

胶东半岛与辽东半岛现代植被发展趋势研究

通过胶东半岛、辽东半岛及庙岛群岛５２个样地乔木更新层情况的调查,采用主成分分析方法进行样地资料分析,指出现代植被发展趋势的两个阶段：松类—栎类混交林阶段与栎类—松类混交林阶段;生境变化趋势由庙岛群岛的温湿向辽东半岛略暖温和胶东半岛的暖干过渡．     

International and internal migration decision making: a value-expectancy based analytical framework of intentions to move from a rural Philippine province

"The study compares determinants of internal and international migration intentions, drawing upon interview data from a sample of adults in Ilocos Norte, a largely rural province in the Philippines. A regression model is applied to test the relative determinants of intentions to migrate to Manila and to Hawaii. The study is based on a value-expectancy model of migration decision making. The results document the importance of subjective expectations related to the attainment of different values and goals in Manila and Hawaii."     

曲线箱梁桥实用设计方法的研究

曲线箱梁桥目前还缺乏比较实用的设计方法．本文对曲线箱梁桥的现有设计方法作了研究，并推荐一种实用设计方法：采用空间梁单元，每个节点取六个自由度；等效梁格的模拟考虑了横向梁格附近有无横隔梁的情况．结果证明，这是一种简便、较精确的设计方法．     

Minimal Tetrahedralizations of a Class of Polyhedra

Given a simple polyhedron P in the three dimensional Euclidean space, different tetrahedralizations of P may contain different numbers of tetrahedra. The minimal tetrahedralization is a tetrahedralization with the minimum number of tetrahedra. In this paper, we present some properties of the graph of polyhedra. Then we identify a class of polyhedra and show that this kind of polyhedra can be minimally tetrahedralized in O(n ²) time.     

西方文论研究与翻译视野

近期,国内的西方文论研究开始出现反思趋势,西方文论本身也成为反思对象之一。反思过程中出现了对西方文论的一些误读,原因之一在于部分研究者可能忽略了自身研究奠基于译文之上的事实,将译文直接等同于原文,因而也可以说是翻译视野的缺失。在西方文论研究中引入翻译视野,即意味着基于译本进行的文论研究须与译本拉开一定的距离。翻译视野又包括转换意识、语境意识、差异意识三重内涵。转换意识即意识到译文是语言转换的结果,同时意识到由转换所导致的信息不对称性;语境意识是指意识到西方文论扎根的特定时空的文化形态及理论家的认知形态;差异意识是指对原作与译作所处时空差异的意识。翻译视野促使我们主动去了解西方文论在原语语境中的起源及发展,辩证地探讨其在译语语境中的适用性,有助于我们在西方文论译介热持续上升的今天,真正深入地理解与反思西方文论的内涵,更好地吸取其精华,批判其糟粕,推动中国文学与文化研究的发展,建构中国自己的理论体系。     

汉语谐音及其语篇衔接作用

首先扼要说明谐音的特征和属性;然后通过多角度分类对汉语谐音作了立体观照;继而在"独用型谐音"(不与其他辞格结合为用的)和"兼用型谐音"(与其他辞格结合为用的)分类基础上,全面考察了汉语谐音的语篇衔接作用;最后就谐音研究中本体与谐体的鉴别、谐音衔接在衔接系统中的站位、汉语谐音对于语篇衔接和话语组织的影响、汉语谐音与汉语及汉文化的关系,作了较为深入的理论探讨.