金融抑制、金融深化与经济增长——基于中国的经验检验

发展中国家在工业化过程中都希望采取正确的金融政策来推动经济长期增长 ,但每个发展中国家都有着自己特殊的经济发展历史轨迹 ,从而特定的金融政策不可能在世界范围内具有普遍适应性。中国虽然在较长时期内采取金融抑制政策 ,但这种政策却有着不同于其他发展中国家的本质特征和抑制程度变迁的历史过程。通过约翰逊协整检验可以说明 ,中国的金融抑制政策可以较强地正向促进金融深化 ,并以此推进经济的长期增长     

Demography,population growth,and population policy in China: a brief history from 1940 to the present

For some 3 decades after the founding of the People's Republic of China, Chinese studies have had to life with the paradoxical situation in which the abundance of population on the mainland, ever increasing in number predictably and inexorably, was couples with a scarcity of data about the nature and patterns of demographic change, ever harder to come by. As increasing amounts of new demographic data from China, sometimes produced jointly between Chinese and foreign researchers, become available, it is clear that previous methods, technics, and styles of analyses habituated by 3 decades of minimal data from China will become inadequate and obsolete. In 1957 Ma Yinchu put forth 3 main proposals for population control: 1) to conduct another national census to gain more demographic statistics, 2) to advocate widespread public education to inform people of the importance and practical knowledge of birth control combined with propaganda on the disadvantages of early marriages and the benefits of late marriage, and 3) family planning, by popular use of contraception, is the most effective method for population control. It is argued that 1) the years 1950-1958 consisted of a period of fermentation and preparation, 2) the post-leap years, 1959-1965, constituted a period of trial implementation of emerging policies, 3) 1966-1971 was an uncontrolled period, and 4) only the years after 1971 may be viewed as a period during which serious implementation took place. Overall, the selections in this volume are intended to inform both China scholars and social scientists interested in recent developments in Chinese population studies.     

上海城市精细化管理现状分析评估及发展对策

城市精细化管理是推动政府职能转变和社会治理转型的一种重要方式,深入推进城市精细化管理是城市追求高质量发展的新方向.目前上海城市精细化管理技术和手段下沉力度不足,对基层工作者的激励机制尚不完善,社会协同动员效果尚不明显.上海须进一步完善城市顶层设计,坚持多元主体合作共治,加快城市管理精细化的进程.     

论大陆法系民法之权利失效制度

权利失效制度是大陆法系基于民事诚信原则,创设于权利观念和制度较发达时代的一项民事法律制度,对防止权利滥用,平衡民事主体间的利益起到调整作用.然此制度在国内尚缺专门性研究,基于此,本文分析了大陆法系权利失效制度的基本理论框架,并侧重对其适用范围、权利失效效果及与诉讼时效和除斥期间的关系作了区别与探讨,以期对我国民事立法有所借鉴.     

于省吾的皂角树

于卓越网购得<于省吾著作集>,精装16开10册.这套书收于省吾先生著作14种,另有<泽螺居学术论文集>后续出版.这次较完整地出版于先生著作,是经先生家属慨允,将其著作无价授权中华书局的.出版过程中均据初版本制版,繁体竖排,开本阔大,版面疏朗.米黄色特种布纹纸硬壳封面上的书名是于先生的书法,浑融自然而又带三分古拙的题签,素雅中藏着典丽,可谓是近几年中华书局出版物中可圈可点的善本之书.     

On selecting a subset containing the most probable multinomial event

Panchapakesan's procedure is considered for the problem of selectinga subset containing the most probable multinomial event. We use the type-2 Dirichlet integral to express the probability of a correct selection and propose a much simpler proof for the worst configuration. We also show that the supremum of the expected subset size occurs at the equal configuration.     

内蒙古鄂尔多斯市可持续发展水平的评价研究

本文以边疆少数民族地区典型的资源型城市鄂尔多斯市为研究对象，以该市社会、资源、环境和经济四个子系统的运行状况为依据，构建了可持续发展的评价指标体系，对该市的可持续发展水平进行了评价，并通过在当地问卷调查中显示的数据验证了评价的准确性。结合鄂尔多斯市已做出的相关努力，对评价结果进行了分析和讨论，力求为完善鄂尔多斯市的可持续发展战略规划和政策体系提供一些有价值的依据和信息。     

谈廉价航空公司在我国的发展

本文以国外廉价航空公司为研究对象,用建模的方法分析了廉价航空收益率的优势性,证实了廉价航空的可持续发展能力优于传统航空公司。基于国内唯一的廉价航空———春秋航空的运营实践,讨论了国内目前发展廉价航空存在的问题,并对如何加快我国廉价航空发展提出了切实可行的对策建议。     

关于陕西省推行村民自治的基本经验与政策建议

村民自治是当前我国民主政治建议的切入点,是农村各项事业全面发展的重要保障.陕西省实施村民自治取得了明显成效,但同时也确实存在着乡、村关系不顺,两委会关系不畅,选官错位等一些问题.针对上述问题,只有加强党对村民自治工作的领导,只有强化对乡、村干部和群众的教育,进一步完善有关村民自治的法规和规章,才能使陕西省的村民自治迈向更加成熟的轨道.