Predicted risk perception and risk-taking behavior: The case of impaired driving

Research suggests an association between risk perception and risk-taking behavior in a variety of contexts. There is empirical evidence that perceived risk is generally biased and that perception of risk influences behavior. Perception of risk can be endogenous. It is therefore more appropriate to instrument risk perception. This article studies the perception of the risks associated with impaired driving and the relation between predicted risk perception and driving behavior. We survey a sample of license-holders, half of whom are drivers with a past conviction for impaired driving, the other half or control group without such conviction. Predicted perceptual biases are shown to influence actual driving behavior.

A GOAL PROGRAMMING MODEL FOR INSURANCE AGENCY MANAGEMENT

Rapid changes in the business environment have forced property and casualty insurance agencies to re-examine their objectives. The need to maintain contact with a large number of insurers in order to place business, efforts to reduce cost by utilizing company services, and the expanding demand for commercial lines have all had major impacts on these agencies. In this paper, a goal-programming model is developed for use in insurance agency decision-making involving multiple and often conflicting goals. An example is presented.     

EDUCATION

The power of an integer programming approach—and more particularly a 0,1 programming approach—to resource allocation problems is not widely appreciated. Recent developments in mathematical programming and in problem formulation enable decision makers to deal explicitly with the special conditions which characterize real world problems in capital budgeting, scheduling, and facilities planning. In this paper, somewhat tutorial in nature, we seek to demonstrate formulation and solution of an equipment selection resource allocation problem with several special conditions. The problem can be solved on any reasonably equipped computer system. Sensitivity studies are also performed and discussed.