Intellectual Narration:Restoration of the Emotional Criticism“Paradigm”and the Artistic Media“Style”

Intellectual narration has long been the emotional proposition of the traditional Chinese literature,and it is also the basis of the western rational narration.With the tendency of the artistic media,the absence of identity of the intellectual has already become a new problem for the restoration of the narratology research.This paper attempts to interpret the restoration routes such as subject,aesthetics,transmission,society and so on,and discuss the modern Chinese emotional history and the ancient Chinese emotional history,the historical value and popularization function of the artistic media style,based on which it puts forward the intellectual narrative art criticism.     

Cramér Asymptotic Efficiency in a Semiparametric Model

This article is concerned with efficient estimation in a semiparametric model. We consider pseudo maximum likelihood estimation and prove that the proposed estimator is asymptotically efficient in the sense of Cramér; that is, the estimator has the smallest mean squared error.     

Spatial Differentiation and Driving Forces of Migrants’ Socio-Economic Integration in Urban China: Evidence from CMDS

Migrants’ socio-economic integration is a major theme in migration research, which can provide economic and cultural benefits. And it will contribute to social stability. The investigation from the spatial perspective should also be considered. This paper aims to examine the spatial differentiation of the socio-economic integration of migrants and identify its driving forces to provide crucial evidence and policy recommendations to urban policymakers and further improve migrants’ socio-economic integration. Based on the latest China Migrants Dynamic Survey, this paper uses global Moran’s I index, hot spot analysis and GWR model to explore spatial differentiation and driving forces of the socio-economic integration of 155,789 migrants in 291 cities at prefecture level and above in China. The results show that: (1) The socio-economic integration of migrants consists of five dimensions, which are economic integration, cultural integration, social security, social relation and psychological integration. Among them, psychological integration is the highest (73.16) and economic integration is the lowest (13.38). (2) The socio-economic integration of migrants is mainly influenced by their own characteristics instead of the destination characteristics. Four factors (age, education, length of stay and population growth rate) positively affect migrants’ socio-economic integration, while three factors (inter-provincial mobility, proportion of tertiary industry in GDP, and ratio of teacher to student in middle school) negatively impact the socio-economic integration of migrants. (3) The socio-economic integration of migrants shows the distribution pattern of agglomeration. And the integration also presents a significant spatial heterogeneity. The driving forces of the socio-economic integration exhibit various zonal spatial differentiation patterns, including “E–W”, “SE–NW”, “NE–SW”, and “S–N”. Finally, some useful recommendations are given for improving migrants’ socio-economic integration.

     

景气指标分类方法的理论研究与实证

景气指标分类是景气预测法中至关重要的环节.在以往的文献中,一般采用一种方法对备选指标进行景气分类,但其结果还存在优化的空间.文章采用四种典型的景气指标分类方法:峰谷对应法、时差相关分析法、K-L信息量法、灰色关联度指标分类法对同样的多个指标进行分类.按照初定方案对四种方法的结果进行综合分析,对结果进行优化调整,应用实例表明:四种方法的优化调整结果比单一方法的结果更合理、更有效、更具有科学性.     

Optimal financing and dividend policy with Markovian switching regimes

This work investigates an optimal financing and dividend problem for an insurer whose surplus process is modulated by an observable continuous-time and finite-state Markov chain. We assume that the insurer should never go bankrupt by issuing new equity. The goal of the insurer is to maximize the expected present value of the dividends payout minus the discounted cost of equity issuance. We obtain the optimal policies and explicit expressions for the value functions when the risk reserve process is modeled by both upward jump model and its diffusion approximation. Numerical illustrations of the sensitivities of the model parameters are provided.     

重大公共卫生安全事件的消极社会情绪及其治理

近年来,全球范围内的重大公共卫生安全事件频发,考验着各个国家的治理水平和治理能力。重大公共卫生安全事件易引发各种消极社会情绪,不仅影响社会成员的心理健康,还在一定程度上消解人民群众的美好生活感受。以新冠疫情为例,群体恐慌、群体焦虑、群体愤怒、群体冷漠等消极社会情绪在较长的一段时间内普遍存在,成为影响社会和谐稳定的不利因素。积极调控重大公共卫生事件的消极社会情绪、加强社会心理服务体系建设是缓解社会矛盾的迫切需要,是创新社会治理的重要手段,也是满足国民对美好生活追求的必然要求。重大公共卫生安全事件所诱发的消极社会情绪具有普遍性、具体性、暴发性、感染性等基本特征,是在内部因素和外部环境的双重作用下,经历情绪生成、情绪发展、情绪暴发和情绪传染等几个重要的演变阶段后所形成的规模化、持续性情绪氛围。重大公共卫生安全事件中消极情绪生成的内部动因表现在四个层面:社会需要激发消极社会情绪唤醒;风险认知催生消极社会情绪分化;心理预期促进消极社会情绪强化;从众心理引发消极社会情绪传染。重大公共卫生安全事件中消极情绪生成的外部效应体现在四个方面:利益冲突催生消极社会情绪的极化效应;社会公义引发消极社会情绪的汇聚效应;社会偏见强化消极社会情绪的期望效应;媒介传播引发消极社会情绪的扩散效应。科学把握重大公共卫生安全事件中消极社会情绪生成机制和规律,加强重大公共卫生安全事件中的社会心理疏导与人文关怀,切实做好重大公共卫生安全事件消极社会情绪的调控,才能培育理性平和的社会心态,确保国家社会政治经济的良性有序发展。重大公共卫生安全事件中消极社会情绪的治理对策包括:密切关注民众现实需求,阻断消极社会情绪源头;及时调整民众风险认知,实施消极社会情绪隔离;合理引导网络情绪互动,增进积极社会情绪趋同;充分保障情感支持系统,营造积极社会情绪氛围。     

试析塞尚绘画中的"观看"

研究表明,人类的"观看"存在着差异,塞尚通过他在绘画中所表现出来的一种独特的观看,打破了自文艺复兴以来400年艺术传统规则的束缚,通过自己的视觉思维方式来实现画面,最终取得了卓越艺术成果,被公认为是二十世纪立体主义和抽象绘画之父。