对GDP缩减指数中“负权数”的研究——兼与徐强同志商榷

 摘　　要:把GDP缩减指数中出现的减号称之为“负权数”是不妥的，因为这个减号在GDP缩减指数公式中的分子与分母中都有出现，它只是计算GDP的理论定义公式中规定要出现的一个计算符号，说明的只是“GDP=总产出-中间消耗（或GDP=最终消费＋资本形成总额＋出口-进口）”这样一种逻辑计算关系。它并不能说明中间消耗价格（或进口价格）的变化与GDP价格的变化是反向关系，也不能权衡中间消耗价格（或进口价格）变化对GDP价格变化的影响轻重作用。它不是GDP缩减指数扭曲真实价格变动的根源。     

《论语》之养生思想解读

本文立足于《论语》，以孔子及弟子们的言论及实践为依据，通过关注人的生命、注重道德修养、重视心理调节、讲究饮食起居、注意运动锻炼、崇尚音乐陶冶等六个方面的阐述，全面解读《论语》中所蕴含的养生思想，以期对加强我国社会主义思想道德建设和提高全民族的整体素质有一定借鉴价值。     

西方殖民侵略对近代中国的影响

外国资本主义对中国的侵略是产生近代中国社会基本矛盾和各种社会矛盾的主要根源,也是近代中国社会落后贫困的根本原因。如何看待资本—帝国主义的侵略,是学习研究中国近现代史首先遇到的问题,也是正确认识中国近代历史和国情以及进行爱国主义教育的重要内容。     

An Integrated Approach for Assessing the Impact of Large-Scale Future Floods on a Highway Transport System

The negative impact of climate change continues to escalate flood risk. Floods directly and indirectly damage highway systems and disturb the socioeconomic order. In this study, we propose an integrated approach to quantitatively assess how floods impact the functioning of a highway system. The approach has three parts: (1) a multi-agent simulation model to represent traffic, heterogeneous user demand, and route choice in a highway network; (2) a flood simulator using future runoff scenarios generated from five global climate models, three representative concentration pathways (RCPs), and the CaMa-Flood model; and (3) an impact analyzer, which superimposes the simulated floods on the highway traffic simulation system, and quantifies the flood impact on a highway system based on car following model. This approach is illustrated with a case study of the Chinese highway network. The results show that (i) for different global climate models, the associated flood damage to a highway system is not linearly correlated with the forcing levels of RCPs, or with future years; (ii) floods in different years have variable impacts on regional connectivity; and (iii) extreme flood impacts can cause huge damages in highway networks; that is, in 2030, the estimated 84.5% of routes between provinces cannot be completed when the highway system is disturbed by a future major flood. These results have critical implications for transport sector policies and can be used to guide highway design and infrastructure protection. The approach can be extended to analyze other networks with spatial vulnerability, and it is an effective quantitative tool for reducing systemic disaster risk.     

Does the Organizer Matter in Volunteer Involvement? A Cross-Sectoral Comparison of Eldercare Volunteers in Beijing

VOLUNTAS: International Journal of Voluntary and Nonprofit Organizations - While rich literature examines the relationship between volunteers and volunteer organizations, cross-sectoral difference...     

Allocation of Eldercare Responsibilities Between Children and the Government in China: Does the Sense of Injustice Matter?

China’s large aging population poses grim challenges to eldercare provision. Against the background of withering traditional kinship-based eldercare and increasing significance of government-sponsored support programs, this study draws on data from the 2013 Chinese General Social Survey to investigate not only the correlation between the sense of social injustice and the preference of allocating eldercare responsibilities between public and private agents, but also how this correlation varies between urban and rural regions. We find that perceived social injustice is significantly correlated with the odds of designating the government, instead of family members, to shoulder eldercare responsibilities. Further mediation analysis suggests that this correlation is mediated through concerns about eldercare. On average, the link between perceived social injustice and preference of eldercare duty allocation is weaker in rural than in urban China. Theoretical and policy implications are discussed.

     

Ideology and Poetics in the English Translation of Ah Q Zheng Zhuan

Translation is rewriting under the control of ideology and poetics. Patrons affect the ideology and professionals pay more attention to poetics. By a comparative study, it is discussed that translators' ideology and poetics have great influence on translation strategies in the English translation of Ah Q Zheng Zhuan. Translators can have certain impacts on their own translation activities with their personal ideology and poetics.     

中国省份消费水平指数的波动源头研究

文章通过构建基于序贯主成分方法估算的状态空间分层动态因子模型,对我国1999年1月到2015年6月31个省份的CPI即消费水平指标的三层动态因子进行估算.将CPI波动来源分解为相互独立的国家、区域和省份动态因子,进而分析其基本特征,结果表明全国动态因子和区域动态因子基本反映了各省份消费水平的波动趋势,可作为CPI波动的主要源头,然而省份动态因子差异较大,其差异性与各省份经济发展水平相关.并利用方差分解来解释CPI波动源头,其中,全国动态因子是CPI波动的主要驱动力,区域动态因子影响力最弱,省份动态因子的影响程度差异较大,在一定程度上与各区域及各省份的特殊特征有关.     

对我国近期"国进民退"争论的思考和建议——基于经济史视角的认知

"国进民退"是一个由来已久的话题.在近代经济史中,大规模的"国进民退"发生过三次,分别是:上世纪30年代的经济危机时期、二战以后的经济萧条期和上世纪60年代到70年代的经济复苏期.到20世纪80年代,"国进民退"倍受争议,私有化浪潮兴起.为了能够对"国进民退"现象有一个深入理解,并对其发展背景、运行特征和主要经验形成客观认识,特作如下分析,以期能够为政府领导及相关部门的决策所参考.     

文化财产的国际保护及国家责任研究

文化财产问题长久以来就是国际社会关注的一个焦点.文化财产是根据其内容来界定的并首先在战争法中提出的概念.从古代到二战期间,文化财产受到了空前的破坏,有被盗、被抢也有被损毁.现存于海外的被盗和被抢的我国的文化财产不计其数,但是我们的追索之路却充满了障碍和坎坷.本文欲从国家责任的角度,探究国家违背保护文化财产国际公约的义务而产生的国家责任,希冀对我国文化财产的追索有所裨益.