文化自觉:校园文化建设的新维度

伴随全球化和现代性的进一步扩展,世界呈现的不是启蒙以来西方文化普世化导致的一致性,而是文明多样性的延续。实践证明,背离了传统,文化将难以有真正意义上的自我反省、自我觉醒和自我创建。中国传统文化不是历史真空瓶子里让人顶礼膜拜就可以自我发展的神器,没有适合当下生活的现代解释,人们对她只能是有客观需求、缺学习方法和无研习动力。实现中国文化继承和创新,必须要有传统文化适应当下历史条件的客观认知和诠释,并在此基础上丰富传统文化教育。     

Study on Time Expectancy of Care for Daily Living of Chinese Elderly

According to the data of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey(CLHLS)and applyin g methods of Sullivan and multistate life table,this paper examines the time expectancy of care for daily living of Chinese elderly and its proportion in their elderly life.The results find that there exists a signifi cant gender gap of the expectancy,which the male at 65averagely are expected to have four to five care years while the female at 65averagely are expected to have seven to eight care years.The time expectancy for slight care of daily living is longer than that for sever care.Additionally,there is no significant difference between urban elderly and rural elderly.However,as age increases,the time expectancy for slight care goes down while that for sever care stabilities at a constant at different ages.The time expectancy for different types of care and its proportion in the rest of life are significantly various.The study points out that the establishment and improvement of care insurance system and the elderly care service are very necessary.     

高校学术行政化的危害及其对策

学术行政化是当前高校管理体制的特点之一。学术行政化曾经一段时间顺应了时代发展的要求,但其弊端已经慢慢暴露出来。学术行政化违背了学术发展的规律,制约了创新型人才的培养,产生了不正确的行为导引,引发了学校不同群体之间的隐性对抗。要破解学术行政化的困局,就要遵循学术发展的规律,优化学术资源的配置,构建学术治理新模式,成立学术共同体。     

外来青年在苏南农村婚姻市场中的地位——文化分析的视角

以苏南农村的并家婚姻和招赘婚为切入点,分析了外来青年在苏南农村婚姻市场中不受欢迎的原因,其中一个重要的文化原因在于双方具有不同的惯习,传统父权制的变迁以文化冲突的方式发生在本地人与外来人之间,试图招赘或并家的本地人作为文化革新者,需要面对的是传统嫁娶婚的父系制力量,因而本地人与外地人之间冲突的真正原因乃是并家婚姻对父权制文化的更改所带来的矛盾。     

大学生弱势群体自我认知研究

本文从心理学视角,采用调查法,探讨大学生弱势群体自我认知为弱势的原因及弱势类型,结果表明经济因素、学习因素和学校关系因素是引起大学生自我认知为弱势的重要原因;经过聚类分析发现,大学生弱势群体可分为家庭——经济弱势、人际——心理弱势、学校认可弱势和经济——学习弱势四种类型。     

On generalised estimating equations for vector regression

Generalised estimating equations (GEE) for regression problems with vector‐valued responses are examined. When the response vectors are of mixed type (e.g. continuous–binary response pairs), the GEE approach is a semiparametric alternative to full‐likelihood copula methods, and is closely related to Prentice & Zhao's mean‐covariance estimation equations approach. When the response vectors are of the same type (e.g. measurements on left and right eyes), the GEE approach can be viewed as a ‘plug‐in’ to existing methods, such as the vglm function from the state‐of‐the‐art VGAM package in R. In either scenario, the GEE approach offers asymptotically correct inferences on model parameters regardless of whether the working variance–covariance model is correctly or incorrectly specified. The finite‐sample performance of the method is assessed using simulation studies based on a burn injury dataset and a sorbinil eye trial dataset. The method is applied to data analysis examples using the same two datasets, as well as to a trivariate binary dataset on three plant species in the Hunua ranges of Auckland.     

Semi-non parametric smooth isotonic regression

We propose a new method for smooth isotonic regression analysis. Unlike most existing methods for isotonic regression, the proposed method is akin to parametric regression without order restriction. To account for smoothness and isotonicity simultaneously, we exploit the flexible class of semi-non parametric densities to model isotonic regression functions. Under this framework, the full range of inference techniques for parametric regression models become applicable for model estimation and model validation in isotonic regression.     

中国家庭部门能源回弹效应及其福利影响

能源回弹效应的大小影响到能源效率的提高能否实现预期的能源消费量的减少.目前文献上对回弹效应的研究大多是对生产部门回弹效应的研究,文章采用投入产出表的数据模拟研究了中国家庭部门能源使用效率提高所引起的能源回弹效应.研究表明,长期家庭部门回弹效应为83％,长期总回弹效应为58％.并对家庭部门回弹效应的福利影响进行了分析.     

Calculable Power: A Case Study of IMF Quotas and Voting Rights Reform*

Voting procedure is an important mechanism for public choice in collective bodies such as international organizations. This paper measures and compares IMF member countries’ voting power before the 2008 reform and after the 2010 reform on the basis of datasets on IMF quotas and voting rights distribution provided by IMF. Our study verifies that IMF’s quotas and voting rights reforms do help to reduce the voting power gap among member countries. The 2008 and 2010 reforms produce a greater improvement in emerging members’ voting power under the 70 percent majority rule than the 85 percent rule; the 70 percent majority rule means the United States would lose its absolute veto. Moreover, the paper disproves the underlying assumption that regards a member’s voting power as proportional to its voting rights. Countries with different amounts of voting rights can still have the same voting power.