仲裁制度优越性的比较分析

民商事仲裁是民事程序法的重要组成部分，它与调解、诉讼一起构成了民事程序法体系。作为纠纷解决的一种重要方式，仲裁的基础是当事人在程序上的合意行为和程序强制性效力的结合。二者的有机结合，仲裁制度才有独立存在的价值，有节制、有保障的程序主体性使仲裁在民商事纠纷的解决这一领域内独领风骚，相对于调解、诉讼具有独特的优越性。     

民国新疆县制变革述论

民国新疆县制改革是新疆现代行政体制建设的一次重大变革,奠定了现代新疆行政体制格局,具有其时代特点与变革意义。但同时囿于国内外政治环境及新疆内部局势演变,其在应对新疆内外部危机、矛盾中,消极作用亦日渐显露,并最终导致了新疆政治格局的变化。     

The design of a contextualized responsive evaluation framework for fishery management in Benin

The main question addressed by this article is how to adapt the responsive evaluation (RE) approach to an intervention context characterized by repetition of ineffective interventions, ambiguous intervention action theories among stakeholders, and high complexity. The context is Grand-Popo, a fishing municipality located on Benin's southwest Atlantic coast. The fishery management interventionists and the fishing communities in the municipality all espoused concern for the sustainable improvement of fishing actors' livelihood conditions, but differed about the reasons for this livelihood impairment, and about what should be done, when, where, and by whom. Given this ambiguity, we identified RE as a promising action research approach to facilitate dialogue and mutual learning, and consequently to improve stakeholders' ability to resolve problems. However, this approach seems to have some shortcomings in the Grand-Popo context, regarding the repetitive ineffectiveness of interventions, high complexity, and uncertainty. Therefore, based on our empirical study, we add three dimensions to the existing RE framework: historical analysis to deal with routine interventions, exploration and discussion of incongruities of action theories to trigger double-loop learning, and system analysis to deal with complexity and uncertainty. This article does not intend to address the implications or impact of this adapted RE framework. Instead, we suggest some criteria and indicators for evaluating whether the proposed amended RE approach has assisted in resolving the fishery problems in Grand-Popo after the approach has been applied.     

水平圆管内R410A的凝结换热特性研究

在一管内冷凝换热实验台上进行R410A流动冷凝换热实验，旨在研究水力工况、测试管管径对管内换热特性的影响进行探究。实验选用测试水雷诺数表征 水力工况，选取换热系数、压降作为管内换热特性的衡量指标；并将实验数据与经典关联式预测值进行比较，扩展关联式的适用范围。实验结果显示：换热系数 及压降均随着质量流速的增加、管径的减小逐渐增大，虽然换热系数随着测试水雷诺数的增加而减小，但测试水雷诺数对压降影响很小；Shah关联式和Thome关 联式能够较好的预测实验数据，平均预测误差分别为18.83%和6.28%，而Akers关联式的预测值的平均误差达31.04%，足以证明其并不能准确预测实验数据。     

Bayesian analysis of single-molecule experimental data

Summary.  Recent advances in experimental technologies allow scientists to follow biochemical processes on a single-molecule basis, which provides much richer information about chemical dynamics than traditional ensemble-averaged experiments but also raises many new statistical challenges. The paper provides the first likelihood-based statistical analysis of the single-molecule fluorescence lifetime experiment designed to probe the conformational dynamics of a single deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) hairpin molecule. The conformational change is initially treated as a continuous time two-state Markov chain, which is not observable and must be inferred from changes in photon emissions. This model is further complicated by unobserved molecular Brownian diffusions. Beyond the simple two-state model, a competing model that models the energy barrier between the two states of the DNA hairpin as an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process has been suggested in the literature. We first derive the likelihood function of the simple two-state model and then generalize the method to handle complications such as unobserved molecular diffusions and the fluctuating energy barrier. The data augmentation technique and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are developed to sample from the posterior distribution desired. The Bayes factor calculation and posterior estimates of relevant parameters indicate that the fluctuating barrier model fits the data better than the simple two-state model.     

Convergence of the Equi-Energy Sampler and Its Application to the Ising Model

We provide a complete proof of the convergence of a recently developed sampling algorithm called the equi-energy (EE) sampler (Kou, Zhou, and Wong, 2006) in the case that the state space is countable. We show that in a countable state space, each sampling chain in the EE sampler is strongly ergodic a.s. with the desired steady-state distribution. Furthermore, all chains satisfy the individual ergodic property. We apply the EE sampler to the Ising model to test its efficiency, comparing it with the Metropolis algorithm and the parallel tempering algorithm. We observe that the dynamic exponent of the EE sampler is significantly smaller than those of parallel tempering and the Metropolis algorithm, demonstrating the high efficiency of the EE sampler.     

树立全球化时代的健康文化心态

今天 ,世界已发展到全球化阶段 ,当代中国的建设和发展 ,已不可能离开“全球化”的总体国际背景。全球化进程呼唤文化自觉 ,新的文化论争需要文化上的自知之明。在并非由我主导的全球化进程中 ,我们必须保持清醒的头脑 ,树立适应全球化时代的健康文化心态。这种文化心态是开放的而非封闭的 ,不是狭隘的文化民族主义 ,而只能是开放的文化天下主义 ;它既不自卑 ,也不自大 ;既有忧患意识 ,又有文化自信。这是建设有中国特色的社会主义文化 ,实现中华民族伟大复兴的必要前提。     

京津冀协同发展现状、问题与对策——基于区域协调机制的视角

京津冀协同发展是我国区域协调发展的一个重要组成部分,京津冀都市圈区域规划早在2004年就已经启动,2007年已正式上报国务院,但迟迟没有批复的消息。京津冀都市圈区域规划推进不力有众多原因,其中市场经济发展不成熟、政治因素介入过多、合作的制度供给不足、合作的制度实施不力等是几个主要原因。那么,接下来就要从发挥市场的激励机制、保障制度供给充足、保障制度实施到位等几个方面做出努力。     

Wavelet estimators for the derivatives of the density function from data contaminated with heteroscedastic measurement errors

Measurement errors occur in many real data applications. In this paper, the linear and the non linear wavelet estimators of the derivatives of the density function are constructed in the case of data contaminated with heteroscedastic measurement errors. We establish L_p risk performance of the estimators and show that they achieve fast convergence rates under quite general conditions.