Dependence Estimation Over a Finite Bivariate Failure Time Region

This articleconcerns nonparametric estimation of association between bivariatefailure times. In the presence of independent right censoring,the support for failure time variates may be restricted and measuresof dependence over a finite failure time region may be of particularinterest. To this end, the reciprocal cross ratio function, weightedby the bivariate failure time density, is proposed as a summarymeasure of dependence over a failure time region. This `relativerisk' estimator is shown to be consistent and asymptoticallynormally distributed, with consistent bootstrap variance estimator.A finite-region version of Kendall's tau, which is suitable forcensored failure time data, is also proposed, and correspondingasymptotic distribution theory is noted. The accuracy of theseasymptotic approximations is studied in simulations and an illustrationis provided.     

高校计算机类课程教学中发挥学生主体性的实践教学研究

伴随着社会的进步和时代的发展,高等教育的质量问题已成为高等教育改革与发展的核心问题。计算机类课程的教学具有其特点,尤其在高等教育阶段,需要突出学生的主体地位、发挥他们的主体性。本文旨在研究如何在计算机类课程教学中突出学生的主体地位、发挥他们的主体性,以教学方法为重点,以教师主导促进学生主体,研究具有实际意义和可操作性的专门针对计算机类课程教学的教学模式,并且提供教学实践中必要的细节的方法和原则,具有一定的可操作性和推广价值,使“学生主体”的理念能够在教育实践中真正落到实处。     

中国沪深股市的开盘效应与收盘效应

股票市场的日历效应历来受到学者和投资者的广泛关注,研究发现股市存在节日效应、月份效应与周内效应,但是针对日内效应的研究不多见.利用沪深股指2004年~2016年的高频数据,实证检验中国沪深股市是否存在日内效应,结果表明:中国沪深股市整体上存在开盘效应与收盘效应,但在牛市、熊市期间的表现形式存在差异,股指收益在牛市期间表现出正向开盘效应,在熊市期间表现出负向开盘效应,股指波动在熊市期间的开盘效应更为明显.基于滚动窗口法的进一步研究发现:股指收益开盘效应和收盘效应的变化领先于股指走势的变化,股指收益和波动的开盘效应或收盘效应存在一定程度的替代现象.研究有助于投资者合理地制定投资策略,对监管部门维护市场秩序具有一定的参考价值.     

A surplus process involving a compound Poisson counting process and applications

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a surplus process involving a compound Poisson counting process, which is a generalization of the classical ruin model where the claim-counting process is a homogeneous Poisson process. The incentive is to model batch arrival of claims using a counting process that is based on a compound distribution. This reduces the difficulty of modeling claim amounts and is consistent with industrial data. Recursive formula, some properties and relevant main ruin theory results are provided. Further, we consider applications involving zero-truncated negative binomial and zero-truncated binomial batch arrivals when the claim amounts follow exponential or Erlang distribution.     

机器学习视角下中国去产能产业的识别

随着中国环境压力的增加,政府提出了供给侧改革,去产能是改革的主要内容,但是由于产业特征的实时演变,需要对政策进行完善。文章运用模糊C均值算法和支持向量机算法分析现阶段需要进行去产能的产业,结果发现在现行去产能政策中大部分行业是需要去产能的,但煤炭开采和洗选业以及铁路、船舶、航空航天和其他运输设备制造业已不适合继续去产能,同时将化学原料和化学制品制造业加入去产能行列中。     

中国都市密集区市际关系中存在的问题及其应对

当前，中国都市密集区市际关系中存在的问题包括产业结构趋同、恶性竞争、城市定位重复混乱、地方保护主义以及基础设施重复建设等。都市密集区市际关系中存在的复杂问题，与市际关系协调机制不成熟、不完善密切相关。创新都市密集区市际关系协调的制度和机制，实现协调主体的多元化、方式多样化、目标长期化，是当前都市密集区发展中殊为迫切的任务。     

加强和改进师德建设是教育之根本

本文以崭新的视角与多种途径论述加强和改进师德建设的相关问题，树立与时俱进的育人为本和德育为先的教育思想至关重要。     

论美国高等教育评价的由来与发展

美国高等教育评价源远流长，大致经历了七个时期。研究美国高等教育评价的发展过程及其每个时期各自的特点，对于发展我国高等教育评价的理论与实践有重要的借鉴意义。     

域外检察改革趋势比较研究

上个世纪七八十年代以来，西方各国相继进行一系列的司法改革，取得了显著成效。当前我国也处于司法改革的关键时期，作为司法改革组成部分的检察制度的改革自然也是重中之重。检察改革的目标是实现公正和效率。但应当改革哪些内容，除以目标为导向外，适当地借鉴其他国家检察改革合理的经验对中国检察改革将大有裨益。文章首先考察了当今世界几个主要国家检察制度改革的新动向，试图从中发现域外检察制度发展的趋势；并结合中国现行检察制度中存在的主要问题，尝试性地提出了一些检察改革的建议。     

Maternal Autonomy- and Connectedness-oriented Parenting Behaviors as Predictors of Children's Social Behaviors in China

The purpose of the study was to examine the contributions of maternal encouragement of autonomy and maternal encouragement of connectedness to the prediction of children's social behaviors. A sample of children (N  =  94), initially aged two years, and their mothers in China participated in the two-year longitudinal study. Child autonomy and connectedness and maternal goal-oriented behaviors were assessed at two years of age through the observation of mother–child interactions. Data on children's social participation, prosocial behavior, aggression, and organization/leadership in peer interactions were collected in a follow-up study when the children were four years of age. It was found that maternal encouragement of connectedness significantly predicted children's sociability and organization/leadership behavior, especially for children who were relatively high on autonomy. The results indicated the developmental significance of socialization goal-oriented behaviors in cultural context.