广州市妇联推动妇女维权的实践探索与启示

新中国成立以来,广州市妇联在推动妇女维权工作中,注重加强组织建设、渠道建设、法治建设、民生建设,体现出全面性、创新性和公益性的制度特点,并形成了党委领导、政府支持、妇联牵头、社会协同、公众参与的维权工作格局,为维护妇女权益做出了特殊贡献。     

在华日资企业经营管理者当地化分析

本文通过对在华日资企业的问卷调查,研究分析了日资企业在华经营管理者当地化的现状以及阻碍其进程的因素。中国籍员工已经成为日资企业经营管理的中坚力量,越来越多的中国人开始在日资企业担任重要职务,推进经营管理者的当地化进程已成为几乎所有日资企业的共识。同时也发现,部分日资企业在华投资时间的长短与经营管理者当地化程度的高低并不完全成正相关关系。     

日本的经济发展与金融制度变迁

金融制度主要分为市场主导型和银行主导型两种类型。后发展国家日本实行的是典型的银行主导型金融制度,这一制度安排对于有效配置稀缺金融资源、促进战后日本工业化赶超发挥了巨大作用。但是,随着日本由后发展经济向工业化经济转变的完成,其金融制度也面临着由银行主导型向市场主导型转变的问题。因为在经济赶超阶段有发达国家为样板,政府在制定引导经济符合政府战略意图的特定政策方面,拥有信息上的比较优势。通过对金融业的一系列管制,使以银行为中心的金融制度能够比市场更高效率地配置金融资源。而在实现经济赶超后,政府虽然逐渐丧失了这种比较信息优势,但通过市场配置资源拥有更高的效率,由此引致日本金融制度的变迁。     

日美韩合作与朝核问题

冷战后围绕朝核问题的日美韩合作逐渐发展起来。它是美国主导的多边主义的产物。由于其建立在日美同盟和韩美同盟的基础上,对立面存在于合作框架外,因而具有排他性和冷战倾向。日美韩合作在1993年至1999年形成机制化,主要作为高压装置而存在,对朝鲜是一种威慑。日美韩合作于2003年被纳入六方会谈框架后,逐渐显露出弱化的迹象。这主要表现为两个趋势同时发展:在日美加强合作的同时,韩国的离心倾向增强。     

The Ecology of Activism: Professional Mobilization as a Spatial Process

This article develops an ecological theory that shifts the paradigm of professional mobilization from causes to relational spaces. It analyzes different species of activist professionals by locating them in an ecology of activism and examining how collective action emerges from their boundary work with the ecology's increasing density and consolidation. It empirically grounds the theory by explaining the political activism of Chinese lawyers in the early twenty‐first century and how it led to a government crackdown in 2015. Using interviews, online ethnography, and archival data collected from 2005 to 2017, the research demonstrates that Chinese lawyers’ political mobilization has experienced three stages: (1) vacancy and isolation (2000–2007), (2) spatial consolidation (2008–2011), and (3) boundary work (2011–2015). The study has implications for theories of social space and for understanding professional mobilization in authoritarian contexts and beyond.     

初冬小游凤凰山

初冬,中国东北大部分地区已感到寒意。可是,当我们置身在位于大凌河畔的辽宁省朝阳市却全没了寒冷的感觉。11月8日的朝阳,天空湛蓝湛蓝的,大大的太阳照得人格外惬意。“这的天儿真是太好啦!”我们不时地赞叹着。听到我们的感叹,市旅游局小潘说,朝阳这地方日照充足,常年少雨,阳光总是毫无遮挡地洒落在朝阳大地,不然怎么叫朝阳呢!他还认真地补充到,朝阳的气候在全省总是特别的,如果全省阴,俺朝阳这地方准晴;如果说全省有雨,咱这儿顶多是阴天。换个说法,如果朝阳这地方下小雨,那全省大部分地区就得大雨或暴雨了。说话间,我们已来到了号称东北佛…     

Classification with minimum ambiguity under distribution heterogeneity

The traditional classification is based on the assumption that distribution of indicator variable X in one class is homogeneous. However, when data in one class comes from heterogeneous distribution, the likelihood ratio of two classes is not unique. In this paper, we construct the classification via an ambiguity criterion for the case of distribution heterogeneity of X in a single class. The separated historical data in each situation are used to estimate the thresholds respectively. The final boundary is chosen as the maximum and minimum thresholds from all situations. Our approach obtains the minimum ambiguity with a high classification accuracy allowing for a precise decision. In addition, nonparametric estimation of the classification region and theoretical properties are derived. Simulation study and real data analysis are reported to demonstrate the effectiveness of our method.     

Cox regression of clustered event times with covariates missing not at random

Motivated by a recent tuberculosis (TB) study, this paper is concerned with covariates missing not at random (MNAR) and models the potential intracluster correlation by a frailty. We consider the regression analysis of right‐censored event times from clustered subjects under a Cox proportional hazards frailty model and present the semiparametric maximum likelihood estimator (SPMLE) of the model parameters. An easy‐to‐implement pseudo‐SPMLE is then proposed to accommodate more realistic situations using readily available supplementary information on the missing covariates. Algorithms are provided to compute the estimators and their consistent variance estimators. We demonstrate that both the SPMLE and the pseudo‐SPMLE are consistent and asymptotically normal by the arguments based on the theory of modern empirical processes. The proposed approach is examined numerically via simulation and illustrated with an analysis of the motivating TB study data.     

中国货币当局资产负债表结构与货币政策调控方式转变

货币当局资产负债表是分析央行行为与货币政策执行情况的一个重要报表。我国货币当局资产负债表科目随着经济金融结构的演变经历了多次调整,本文梳理了我国货币当局资产负债表结构及其演变过程,重新编制1999-2018年的年度可比货币当局资产负债表,通过解析各科目余额及其结构的动态变化特征,揭示统计数据背后的经济逻辑与政策实践、以及重要资产负债科目间的勾稽关系。研究发现：外汇占款和对其他存款性公司的债权是我国货币当局投放基础货币的主要渠道。过去20年中,两种渠道此消彼长反映出我国基础货币投放方式和货币政策调控方式的两次重要转变与创新。在外汇占款大幅增长时期,货币当局曾通过频繁提高法定存款准备金率和发行央行票据回笼过剩流动性。随着国际收支顺差收窄和国内经济由高速增长向高质量发展转变,公开市场操作和创新型再贷款工具将成为货币当局主动投放基础货币的重要渠道。