全文获取类型
收费全文 | 14807篇 |
免费 | 382篇 |
国内免费 | 1篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 2072篇 |
民族学 | 64篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 1432篇 |
丛书文集 | 62篇 |
理论方法论 | 1340篇 |
综合类 | 368篇 |
社会学 | 6749篇 |
统计学 | 3102篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 76篇 |
2021年 | 84篇 |
2020年 | 185篇 |
2019年 | 265篇 |
2018年 | 335篇 |
2017年 | 487篇 |
2016年 | 373篇 |
2015年 | 271篇 |
2014年 | 325篇 |
2013年 | 2571篇 |
2012年 | 500篇 |
2011年 | 413篇 |
2010年 | 306篇 |
2009年 | 290篇 |
2008年 | 335篇 |
2007年 | 322篇 |
2006年 | 302篇 |
2005年 | 339篇 |
2004年 | 314篇 |
2003年 | 340篇 |
2002年 | 377篇 |
2001年 | 369篇 |
2000年 | 348篇 |
1999年 | 344篇 |
1998年 | 278篇 |
1997年 | 241篇 |
1996年 | 244篇 |
1995年 | 209篇 |
1994年 | 200篇 |
1993年 | 211篇 |
1992年 | 237篇 |
1991年 | 238篇 |
1990年 | 230篇 |
1989年 | 236篇 |
1988年 | 188篇 |
1987年 | 215篇 |
1986年 | 192篇 |
1985年 | 228篇 |
1984年 | 186篇 |
1983年 | 201篇 |
1982年 | 150篇 |
1981年 | 148篇 |
1980年 | 140篇 |
1979年 | 152篇 |
1978年 | 159篇 |
1977年 | 114篇 |
1976年 | 110篇 |
1975年 | 116篇 |
1974年 | 99篇 |
1973年 | 87篇 |
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 687 毫秒
21.
森林可持续经营的政策支持体系——亚太区域示范林项目中国临安示范林实践 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
运用参与性诊断(即PRRA)方法对临安示范林地区的森林经营主要政策进行了诊断分析,找出了现行政策存在的问题,如:政策环境欠佳,产权政策不到位,税费政策不合理,林业产品生产、加工和销售脱节,森林生态效益补偿政策欠规范、不合理等.同时,运用参与性设计的方法对若干主要政策进行专项设计,并在此基础上,从优化森林可持续经营的政策环境和规范政策系统运行两方面入手,提出一套科学、合理和有效的适合当地水平的森林可持续经营综合设计方案,以促进示范林网络的发展. 相似文献
22.
A NOTE ON EVANESCENT PROCESSES 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This note examines the connection between μ-invariant measures for the transition function of a continuous-time Markov chain and those of its q-matrix, Q. The major result establishes a necessary and aufficient condition for a convergent μ-invariant measure for Q to be μ-inhant for the minimal transition function, P, under the assumption that P is honest. This corrects Theorem 6 of Vere-Jones (1969) and the first part of Corollary 1 of Pollett (1986), both of which assert that the above conclusion holds in the absence of this condition. The error was pointed out by E.A. van Doom (1991) and the counterexample which be presented provides the basis for the present arguments. In determining where the error occurred in the original proof, we are able to identify a simple sufficient condition for μ-invariance. 相似文献
23.
Fred P. Piercy Douglas H. Sprenkle Susan H. McDaniel 《Journal of marital and family therapy》1996,22(2):163-179
The authors present three educational approaches designed to demystify the writing process and to support better writing skills among family therapists. One framework is an academic course in professional writing, another is a writing seminar for family therapy and physician trainees within a medical school setting, and the third is a 2-hour continuing education writing workshop for family therapists. Each is replicable within a variety of settings. 相似文献
24.
对林业税费的经济学分析 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
田明华 《北京林业大学学报(社会科学版)》2002,(Z1)
该文运用经济学的基本工具———供给和需求曲线 ,以商品林为研究对象 ,探讨了林业税费的作用机理和内涵。该文认为商品林生产具有正的外部性 ,市场失灵使生产者将不能提供社会真正所需要的商品林数量。在封闭的市场条件下 ,林业税费会直接成为价格的一部分 ,商品林生产者应当能够获得正常利润 ,与税费高低无关 ,但会使一部分林地退出生产。林业补贴是一种负的林业税收。在开放市场经济条件下 ,国内商品林供应量低于没有林业税收时的商品林供应量 ,更低于考虑社会生态需求时的商品林供应量 ,造成巨大的社会福利损失 ,应减免林业税费、增加林业扶持、取消价格管制。该文进一步研究了与林业税费密切相关的森林采伐限额政策 ,认为对商品林应该完全取消采伐限额政策 相似文献
25.
教学管理是教学工作运转的支柱,教学管理的优劣影响着教学质量。该文介绍了外语学院教学管理工作的基本内容,包括教学任务的布置落实、教学检查、教学文件的建设、学籍管理,以及结合学院的实际情况完善考试制度、制定成绩管理细则和考试结果奖励办法等。 相似文献
26.
Michael P. Fay Ji-Hyun Lee 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society)》2006,169(1):81-96
Summary. We detail a general method for measuring agreement between two statistics. An application is two ratios of directly standardized rates which differ only by the choice of the standard. If the statistics have a high value for the coefficient of agreement then the expected squared difference between the statistics is small relative to the variance of the average of the two statistics, and inferences vary little by changing statistics. The estimation of a coefficient of agreement between two statistics is not straightforward because there is only one pair of observed values, each statistic calculated from the data. We introduce estimators of the coefficient of agreement for two statistics and discuss their use, especially as applied to functions of standardized rates. 相似文献
27.
28.
Diane Hope Weixing Zhu Corinna Gries Jacob Oleson Jason Kaye Nancy B. Grimm Lawrence A. Baker 《Urban Ecosystems》2005,8(3-4):251-273
We explored variations in inorganic soil nitrogen (N) concentrations across metropolitan Phoenix, Arizona, and the surrounding
desert using a probability-based synoptic survey. Data were examined using spatial statistics on the entire region, as well
as for the desert and urban sites separately. Concentrations of both NO3-N and NH4-N were markedly higher and more heterogeneous amongst urban compared to desert soils. Regional variation in soil NO3-N concentration was best explained by latitude, land use history, population density, along with percent cover of impervious
surfaces and lawn, whereas soil NH4-N concentrations were related to only latitude and population density. Within the urban area, patterns in both soil NO3-N and NH4-N were best predicted by elevation, population density and type of irrigation in the surrounding neighborhood. Spatial autocorrelation
of soil NO3-N concentrations explained 49% of variation among desert sites but was absent between urban sites. We suggest that inorganic
soil N concentrations are controlled by a number of ‘local’ or ‘neighborhood’ human-related drivers in the city, rather than
factors related to an urban-rural gradient. 相似文献
29.
Seismic risk can be reduced by implementing newly developed seismic provisions in design codes. Furthermore, financial protection or enhanced utility and happiness for stakeholders could be gained through the purchase of earthquake insurance. If this is not so, there would be no market for such insurance. However, perceived benefit associated with insurance is not universally shared by stakeholders partly due to their diverse risk attitudes. This study investigates the implied seismic design preference with insurance options for decisionmakers of bounded rationality whose preferences could be adequately represented by the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). The investigation is focused on assessing the sensitivity of the implied seismic design preference with insurance options to model parameters of the CPT and to fair and unfair insurance arrangements. Numerical results suggest that human cognitive limitation and risk perception can affect the implied seismic design preference by the CPT significantly. The mandatory purchase of fair insurance will lead the implied seismic design preference to the optimum design level that is dictated by the minimum expected lifecycle cost rule. Unfair insurance decreases the expected gain as well as its associated variability, which is preferred by risk-averse decisionmakers. The obtained results of the implied preference for the combination of the seismic design level and insurance option suggest that property owners, financial institutions, and municipalities can take advantage of affordable insurance to establish successful seismic risk management strategies. 相似文献
30.
Stephanie M. Pickle Timothy J. Robinson Jeffrey B. Birch Christine M. Anderson-Cook 《Journal of statistical planning and inference》2008
Parameter design or robust parameter design (RPD) is an engineering methodology intended as a cost-effective approach for improving the quality of products and processes. The goal of parameter design is to choose the levels of the control variables that optimize a defined quality characteristic. An essential component of RPD involves the assumption of well estimated models for the process mean and variance. Traditionally, the modeling of the mean and variance has been done parametrically. It is often the case, particularly when modeling the variance, that nonparametric techniques are more appropriate due to the nature of the curvature in the underlying function. Most response surface experiments involve sparse data. In sparse data situations with unusual curvature in the underlying function, nonparametric techniques often result in estimates with problematic variation whereas their parametric counterparts may result in estimates with problematic bias. We propose the use of semi-parametric modeling within the robust design setting, combining parametric and nonparametric functions to improve the quality of both mean and variance model estimation. The proposed method will be illustrated with an example and simulations. 相似文献