首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   23824篇
  免费   731篇
  国内免费   209篇
管理学   1167篇
劳动科学   55篇
民族学   654篇
人才学   22篇
人口学   408篇
丛书文集   5689篇
理论方法论   1138篇
综合类   13321篇
社会学   973篇
统计学   1337篇
  2024年   16篇
  2023年   88篇
  2022年   318篇
  2021年   364篇
  2020年   292篇
  2019年   225篇
  2018年   310篇
  2017年   492篇
  2016年   377篇
  2015年   685篇
  2014年   883篇
  2013年   1190篇
  2012年   1353篇
  2011年   1698篇
  2010年   1766篇
  2009年   1832篇
  2008年   1782篇
  2007年   1924篇
  2006年   1904篇
  2005年   1617篇
  2004年   977篇
  2003年   824篇
  2002年   1053篇
  2001年   841篇
  2000年   524篇
  1999年   343篇
  1998年   177篇
  1997年   160篇
  1996年   177篇
  1995年   124篇
  1994年   101篇
  1993年   75篇
  1992年   82篇
  1991年   43篇
  1990年   34篇
  1989年   25篇
  1988年   32篇
  1987年   9篇
  1986年   9篇
  1985年   7篇
  1984年   3篇
  1983年   6篇
  1982年   5篇
  1981年   4篇
  1980年   4篇
  1976年   1篇
  1974年   1篇
  1973年   2篇
  1972年   3篇
  1970年   1篇
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
61.
We investigate the effect of unobserved heterogeneity in the context of the linear transformation model for censored survival data in the clinical trials setting. The unobserved heterogeneity is represented by a frailty term, with unknown distribution, in the linear transformation model. The bias of the estimate under the assumption of no unobserved heterogeneity when it truly is present is obtained. We also derive the asymptotic relative efficiency of the estimate of treatment effect under the incorrect assumption of no unobserved heterogeneity. Additionally we investigate the loss of power for clinical trials that are designed assuming the model without frailty when, in fact, the model with frailty is true. Numerical studies under a proportional odds model show that the loss of efficiency and the loss of power can be substantial when the heterogeneity, as embodied by a frailty, is ignored. An erratum to this article can be found at  相似文献   
62.
Suppose that when a unit operatesin a certain environment, its lifetime has distribution G,and when the unit operates in another environment, its lifetimehas a different distribution, say F. Moreover, supposethe unit is operated for a certain period of time in the firstenvironment and is then transferred to the second environment.Thus we observe a censored lifetime in the first environmentand a failure time of a ``used' unit in the second environment.We propose an EM algorithm approach for obtaining a self-consistentestimator of F. Moreover, suppose using observations from both environments.The case where failure times are subject to right censoring isconsidered as well. We also establish the maximum likelihoodestimator of F. Moreover, suppose when the unit is repairable. Applicationand simulation studies are presented to illustrate the methodsderived.  相似文献   
63.
This articleconcerns nonparametric estimation of association between bivariatefailure times. In the presence of independent right censoring,the support for failure time variates may be restricted and measuresof dependence over a finite failure time region may be of particularinterest. To this end, the reciprocal cross ratio function, weightedby the bivariate failure time density, is proposed as a summarymeasure of dependence over a failure time region. This `relativerisk' estimator is shown to be consistent and asymptoticallynormally distributed, with consistent bootstrap variance estimator.A finite-region version of Kendall's tau, which is suitable forcensored failure time data, is also proposed, and correspondingasymptotic distribution theory is noted. The accuracy of theseasymptotic approximations is studied in simulations and an illustrationis provided.  相似文献   
64.
本文先介绍跳马步系列的有关概念及性质,然后用跳马步系列研究奇素数阶规则完美幻 方的个数。  相似文献   
65.
本文利用王氏代数对用初等树变换生成树的方法进行了改造,提出了一种新的初等树变换的算法。新算法较之原法简洁、直观、运算方便、概念清楚,并保留了原法的所有优点。  相似文献   
66.
本工作用悬汞电极—示波极谱仪研究了Se(Ⅳ)在HClO_4—KI—EDTA底液中的阴极溶出测定的。在选定条件下,Se(Ⅳ)于—0.5V左右产生一灵敏的导数波,灵敏度为5×10~(-10)M(0.04ppb)。Se(Ⅳ)件浓度在1×10~(-7)M~5×10~(-9)M间与峰电流呈良好线性关系。本法用于人发中痕量硒的测定,结果满意。  相似文献   
67.
统计数据、统计安全与统计法治   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
李金昌 《统计研究》2009,26(8):45-49
 本文以《统计违法违纪行为处分规定》的施行为背景,以统计数据质量为切入点,讨论了统计法治问题。文章阐述了统计数据质量与国家统计安全、统计本质与统计法治的关系,并对实现统计法治的途径进行了探讨。  相似文献   
68.
Non-central chi-squared distribution plays a vital role in statistical testing procedures. Estimation of the non-centrality parameter provides valuable information for the power calculation of the associated test. We are interested in the statistical inference property of the non-centrality parameter estimate based on one observation (usually a summary statistic) from a truncated chi-squared distribution. This work is motivated by the application of the flexible two-stage design in case–control studies, where the sample size needed for the second stage of a two-stage study can be determined adaptively by the results of the first stage. We first study the moment estimate for the truncated distribution and prove its existence, uniqueness, and inadmissibility and convergence properties. We then define a new class of estimates that includes the moment estimate as a special case. Among this class of estimates, we recommend to use one member that outperforms the moment estimate in a wide range of scenarios. We also present two methods for constructing confidence intervals. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed point and interval estimates.  相似文献   
69.
The data collection process and the inherent population structure are the main causes for clustered data. The observations in a given cluster are correlated, and the magnitude of such correlation is often measured by the intra-cluster correlation coefficient. The intra-cluster correlation can lead to an inflated size of the standard F test in a linear model. In this paper, we propose a solution to this problem. Unlike previous adjustments, our method does not require estimation of the intra-class correlation, which is problematic especially when the number of clusters is small. Our simulation results show that the new method outperforms the existing methods.  相似文献   
70.
In many diagnostic studies, multiple diagnostic tests are performed on each subject or multiple disease markers are available. Commonly, the information should be combined to improve the diagnostic accuracy. We consider the problem of comparing the discriminatory abilities between two groups of biomarkers. Specifically, this article focuses on confidence interval estimation of the difference between paired AUCs based on optimally combined markers under the assumption of multivariate normality. Simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed generalized variable approach provides confidence intervals with satisfying coverage probabilities at finite sample sizes. The proposed method can also easily provide P-values for hypothesis testing. Application to analysis of a subset of data from a study on coronary heart disease illustrates the utility of the method in practice.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号