左江花山岩画铜鼓考

左江花山岩画文化景观成功入选世界遗产名录后,依然有未解的千年之谜。经对左江花山岩画中铜鼓的族属、类型、传承发展、文化功能等进行多角度考证,确认左江花山岩画所绘铜鼓为骆越人所有,其类型为万家坝型、石寨山型和东山型早期铜鼓;岩画中的铜鼓不仅是部族首领权力的象征,还是通天礼神、汇聚人心、指挥军阵、人神共娱的重要礼器、响器及乐器;东汉马援缴骆越铜鼓后,左江流域骆越后裔仍有用鼓、尚鼓的习俗,这是对左江花山岩画铜鼓的一种继承与发展。与此同时,骆越人先进的青铜铸造技术亦为铜鼓在这一地区的传承与发展提供了物质基础。     

行政赔偿制度缺陷及完善——以归责原则和赔偿程序为切入点

2012年最新修订的《国家赔偿法》在诸多制度构建上向前迈进了一大步,但是关于行政赔偿制度采用的归责原则仍有争议,对行政赔偿程序的规定仍存在不明确处,导致实践中行政赔偿漏洞百出。完善行政赔偿制度,应从以下问题入手:明确行政赔偿法律规定中“违法”的本意,并以过错责任原则替代违法责任原则,修正行政赔偿程序规定,包括行政赔偿程序的启动、行政赔偿决定的效力两个方面。     

耕地红线的话语之争--可持续发展背后的争论及其思考

可持续发展已成为一种被普遍接纳的发展模式,但在具体的公共政策制定过程中,人们对于如何调整经济、社会、环境等各方面的关系、如何权衡不同目标的看法却强烈地受到认知框架和价值立场的影响,进而带来了可持续发展目标背后尖锐对立的政策争论。近年来引发社会热议的耕地红线问题就是一个典型的例子。从政策话语的视角,对耕地红线“存”“废”两派的观点进行分析,讨论了政策争论背后关于证据、故事诠释和认知图景上的分歧,进而认为,在可持续发展的宗旨背后,政策制定者面临着来自社会价值多元化以及人类认知复杂性的挑战,而打破话语霸权、促进不同话语之间平等、理性的审议协商是弥合分歧、构建共识的重要途径。     

中美快消品行业企业简介体裁对比分析

文章根据专门用途英语学派的体裁分析理论,构建了商务体裁研究理论框架,对30篇中美快消品行业企业简介进行了体裁对比分析。结果表明,中美快消品行业企业简介语步结构基本一致,但二者在语步和步骤的选择频率、介绍性语步和劝说性语步的实现形式上存在差异。      

A Seemingly Unrelated Nonparametric Additive Model with Autoregressive Errors

This article considers a nonparametric additive seemingly unrelated regression model with autoregressive errors, and develops estimation and inference procedures for this model. Our proposed method first estimates the unknown functions by combining polynomial spline series approximations with least squares, and then uses the fitted residuals together with the smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalty to identify the error structure and estimate the unknown autoregressive coefficients. Based on the polynomial spline series estimator and the fitted error structure, a two-stage local polynomial improved estimator for the unknown functions of the mean is further developed. Our procedure applies a prewhitening transformation of the dependent variable, and also takes into account the contemporaneous correlations across equations. We show that the resulting estimator possesses an oracle property, and is asymptotically more efficient than estimators that neglect the autocorrelation and/or contemporaneous correlations of errors. We investigate the small sample properties of the proposed procedure in a simulation study.     

生命的力度与抗争的激情--论七月诗派的硬汉子品格

七月诗派是20世纪40年代最大的诗歌流派之一。他们奉行胡风的主观战斗精神理论,与时代、与现实紧密配合,作品全都表现出昂扬厚重的战斗风格。七月诗派主张作品的内容和形式的统一、诗品和人品的一致,他们的作品充满着阳刚之气,表现出生命的力度和抗争的激情。七月诗人的这种硬汉子品格值得我们当代作家很好地学习。     

律师论辩逻辑——律师逻辑论辩的四要素

从“律师、论辩、逻辑”三位一体的角度阐释律师逻辑论辩的四要素。一是律师论辩应具有严密的逻辑思维。二是律师论辩应具有熟练的逻辑思维技法,它包括归纳思维法、演绎思维法、辐射思维法、收敛思维法。三是律师论辩应具有灵活的逻辑论证技巧。逻辑论证技巧是指律师把形式逻辑的基本规律运用到律师论辩中去的具体方法,其主要论证方法有因果互证法、三段论论证法、类比论证法。四是律师论辩应运用机智的逻辑辩驳方法,即直言辩驳法、假言辩驳法、二难辩驳法、归谬辩驳法。     

Social investment effects of public education,health care,and welfare service expenditures on economic growth

The purpose of this study is to theoretically and empirically examine whether public spending in education, health care, and welfare service operates as a fruitful investment in welfare states, which has been implied in the literature of social investment arguments. Based on comprehensive review of existing literature, this study suggested a tripartite mechanism of social investment effect of such spending, that is “enhancement of human capital,” “support for labor force participation,” and “job creation.” To find the empirical evidence, a pooled time‐series cross‐section analysis was conducted with the data of 15 advanced welfare states from 1980 to 2015 using estimation technique of fixed‐effect model. The results confirmed that public spending in education, health care, and welfare service had a positive medium‐term as well as long‐term effect on economic performance, while cash‐type welfare spending had an obscure or no visible effect on economy. Government consumption that is a proxy and control variable of size of the welfare state showed a positive effect on real GDP in the medium term but a negative effect in the long run. In conclusion, this study suggests that reinforcing social services should be recognized and dealt with as essence of social investment strategy.     

新时代深化改革的风险与应对

全面深化改革是推动当今之世社会发展的巨大动力。但改革的全面深化也出现各种深层次的矛盾,加剧了各种风险的产生。横向风险、纵向风险、操作风险、外来风险交融共生,贯穿于改革全过程和各领域。有效应对改革风险,既要有敢做敢当、积极主动的态度,更要注重科学管理。应不断强化风险意识,增强风险识别能力;科学分析风险存在机制,准确评估风险承受能力;加快立法进程,依法管理风险;注重各机构协调运作,加强统筹管理。唯有如此,才能真正做到破浪前行,勇立潮头,为世界各国防范和化解改革风险提供有益借鉴。