首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   17801篇
  免费   604篇
  国内免费   169篇
管理学   962篇
劳动科学   60篇
民族学   576篇
人才学   15篇
人口学   313篇
丛书文集   5230篇
理论方法论   943篇
综合类   7931篇
社会学   1043篇
统计学   1501篇
  2024年   9篇
  2023年   86篇
  2022年   239篇
  2021年   224篇
  2020年   226篇
  2019年   192篇
  2018年   241篇
  2017年   408篇
  2016年   278篇
  2015年   553篇
  2014年   682篇
  2013年   1006篇
  2012年   910篇
  2011年   1312篇
  2010年   1354篇
  2009年   1439篇
  2008年   1244篇
  2007年   1512篇
  2006年   1528篇
  2005年   1215篇
  2004年   649篇
  2003年   512篇
  2002年   549篇
  2001年   471篇
  2000年   328篇
  1999年   280篇
  1998年   159篇
  1997年   170篇
  1996年   174篇
  1995年   126篇
  1994年   105篇
  1993年   85篇
  1992年   83篇
  1991年   55篇
  1990年   39篇
  1989年   30篇
  1988年   37篇
  1987年   22篇
  1986年   8篇
  1985年   12篇
  1984年   7篇
  1983年   4篇
  1982年   1篇
  1981年   5篇
  1980年   5篇
排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
81.
We investigate certain objective priors for the parameters in a normal linear regression models with one of the explanatory variables subject to measurement error. We first show that the use of the standard non informative prior for normal linear regression without measurement error leads to an improper posterior in the measurement error model. We then derive the Jeffreys prior and reference priors, and show that they lead to proper posteriors. We use simulation study to compare the frequentist performance of the estimates derived using these priors, and the MLE.  相似文献   
82.
An important contribution to the literature on frequentist model averaging (FMA) is the work of Hjort and Claeskens (2003 Hjort , N. L. , Claeskens , G. ( 2003 ). Frequestist model average estimators . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 98 : 879899 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]), who developed an asymptotic theory for frequentist model averaging in parametric models based on a local mis-specification framework. They also proposed a simple method for constructing confidence intervals of the unknown parameters. This article shows that the confidence intervals based on the FMA estimator suggested by Hjort and Claeskens (2003 Hjort , N. L. , Claeskens , G. ( 2003 ). Frequestist model average estimators . J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 98 : 879899 .[Taylor & Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar]) are asymptotically equivalent to that obtained from the full model under both parametric and the varying-coefficient partially linear models. Thus, as long as interval estimation rather than point estimation is concerned, the confidence interval based on the full model already fulfills the objective and model averaging provides no additional useful information.  相似文献   
83.
In this article, we investigate the limitations of traditional quantile function estimators and introduce a new class of quantile function estimators, namely, the semi-parametric tail-extrapolated quantile estimators, which has excellent performance for estimating the extreme tails with finite sample sizes. The smoothed bootstrap and direct density estimation via the characteristic function methods are developed for the estimation of confidence intervals. Through a comprehensive simulation study to compare the confidence interval estimations of various quantile estimators, we discuss the preferred quantile estimator in conjunction with the confidence interval estimation method to use under different circumstances. Data examples are given to illustrate the superiority of the semi-parametric tail-extrapolated quantile estimators. The new class of quantile estimators is obtained by slight modification of traditional quantile estimators, and therefore, should be specifically appealing to researchers in estimating the extreme tails.  相似文献   
84.
ABSTRACT

In this article, we study complete convergence of the nonidentically distributed pairwise negatively quadrant dependent (NQD) random sequences by the moment inequality and terminating random variables,which extend and improve the previous relevant results.  相似文献   
85.
ABSTRACT

Non parametric regression estimation with measurement errors data has received great attention, and deconvolution local polynomial estimators can be used to deal with the problem that the errors are independent of other variables in the literature. In this article, the copula method is applied to tackle the case that the errors may depend on covariates, and the asymptotic properties of the resulting estimators are derived. Two simulations are conducted to illustrate the performance of the proposed estimators.  相似文献   
86.
In recent years the analysis of interval-censored failure time data has attracted a great deal of attention and such data arise in many fields including demographical studies, economic and financial studies, epidemiological studies, social sciences, and tumorigenicity experiments. This is especially the case in medical studies such as clinical trials. In this article, we discuss regression analysis of one type of such data, Case I interval-censored data, in the presence of left-truncation. For the problem, the additive hazards model is employed and the maximum likelihood method is applied for estimations of unknown parameters. In particular, we adopt the sieve estimation approach that approximates the baseline cumulative hazard function by linear functions. The resulting estimates of regression parameters are shown to be consistent and efficient and have an asymptotic normal distribution. An illustrative example is provided.  相似文献   
87.
ABSTRACT

This paper presents a closed-form likelihood approximation for one type of affine point processes widely used in financial credit risk models. We proceed by first conjecturing the concrete series form of the transition density, verifying our postulation and then establishing the related coefficients by means of Kolmogorov equations. The asymptotic properties of the maximum-likelihood estimators (MLEs) are given in the end.  相似文献   
88.
Abstract

This paper is devoted to the study of a risk-based optimal investment and proportional reinsurance problem. The surplus process of the insurer and the risky asset process in the financial market are assumed to be general jump-diffusion processes. We use a convex risk measure generated by g-expectation to describe the risk of the terminal wealth with investment and reinsurance. Under the aim of minimizing the risk, the problem is solved by using techniques of stochastic maximum principles. Two interesting special cases are studied and the explicit expressions for optimal strategies and corresponding minimal risks are derived.  相似文献   
89.
Although there exists an ample literature on the tests of univariate symmetry, each article provides comparison of few selected competitors only. We are comparing the performance of 15 tests recommended in the literature and two new methods introduced by Auda (2006 Auda (Ouda), H. 2006. New Tests of Univariate Symmetry Based on the Gini Mean Difference, Kalamazoo, MI: Western Michigan University. Ph.D. thesis [Google Scholar]). One of them, rank-based test RS, compares favorably with several existing procedures in controlling the Type I error as well as in power as shown in our comprehensive simulation study. An important novelty in the article are Figs. 13 enabling comparison of Type I error probabilities and power of the 16 tests for 17 null and 19 alternative distributions.  相似文献   
90.
ABSTRACT

In high-dimensional regression, the presence of influential observations may lead to inaccurate analysis results so that it is a prime and important issue to detect these unusual points before statistical regression analysis. Most of the traditional approaches are, however, based on single-case diagnostics, and they may fail due to the presence of multiple influential observations that suffer from masking effects. In this paper, an adaptive multiple-case deletion approach is proposed for detecting multiple influential observations in the presence of masking effects in high-dimensional regression. The procedure contains two stages. Firstly, we propose a multiple-case deletion technique, and obtain an approximate clean subset of the data that is presumably free of influential observations. To enhance efficiency, in the second stage, we refine the detection rule. Monte Carlo simulation studies and a real-life data analysis investigate the effective performance of the proposed procedure.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号