A partial score test for difference among heterogeneous populations

In event time data analysis, comparisons between distributions are made by the logrank test. When the data appear to contain crossing hazards phenomena, nonparametric weighted logrank statistics are usually suggested to accommodate different-weighted functions to increase the power. However, the gain in power by imposing different weights has its limits since differences before and after the crossing point may balance each other out. In contrast to the weighted logrank tests, we propose a score-type statistic based on the semiparametric-, heteroscedastic-hazards regression model of Hsieh [2001. On heteroscedastic hazards regression models: theory and application. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 63, 63–79.], by which the nonproportionality is explicitly modeled. Our score test is based on estimating functions derived from partial likelihood under the heteroscedastic model considered herein. Simulation results show the benefit of modeling the heteroscedasticity and power of the proposed test to two classes of weighted logrank tests (including Fleming–Harrington's test and Moreau's locally most powerful test), a Renyi-type test, and the Breslow's test for acceleration. We also demonstrate the application of this test by analyzing actual data in clinical trials.     

走向公共治理：广东行政管理体制改革的路径

行政管理体制改革是当前深化改革的重要环节，当前行政管理体制改革还存在着一些制约因素。改革开放30年来，广东的行政管理体制改革选取了如下路径：一是从管制型政府向服务型政府转变；二是从传统治道向现代治道变革；三是从“政绩政府”向“绩效政府”转变；四是从“官僚独自”向官员互动的公共能量场转变。     

数字化媒体教学手段的发展与合理使用

合理运用多媒体教学手段,要选择恰当的多媒体教学方式,处理好与板书、多媒体课件与课程的关系,选择合理的多媒体教学时机,并要合理控制课堂容量。     

实施层级和综合教学管理的思考

加强人文基础课的教学管理,是全面提高教学质量和提升大学文化品质的关键。实行目标层级管理和系统综合管理能更有效发挥人文基础课的文化承载功能。     

战争烽火中的校园文艺社团:中国学生导报社

抗战时期,中国学生导报社是一个活跃于战时首都重庆的校园文艺社团。在战争烽火之中,中国学生导报社在校园和社会上都开展了大量的文艺活动,并且得到了文艺前辈的指导,创作了一批颇具价值的文艺作品。这些文艺创作内容上通俗晓畅,充满了战斗的时代气息,极大丰富了抗战时期的校园学生文艺。     

关于有效促进社会公正的几个问题

本文认为:(1)为了顺利地推进改革,为了中国社会经济持续、有效和健康的发展,就必须适应新的历史条件,顺应民意、顺应现代社会的基本趋势,把社会公正放到一个突出的位置。(2)在中国现阶段应当开始建立一个初级的社会公平保障体系。初级社会公平保障体系的基本特征是低水准、广覆盖、有实效。对于国家来说,近期需要做的事情可以分为两大块,一是国家的直接投入,二是国家的立法、监督、执行和引导。(3)有一些根深蒂固的观念在妨碍着我们重视社会公正问题。这些观念主要包括:“原始积累不可避免”,“国家财力不足”,“重视公正便会妨碍效率”,因此我们必须对这些观念进行一番必要的反思。(4)要想构建一个公正而和谐的社会,就必须培育一个庞大的中等收入者人群,形成一个“两头小,中间大”的橄榄型的社会结构,那么社会就会变得越来越稳定了。     

Asia's population and development in retrospect and prospect

By 1989 Asia's population will reach 3 billion. That Asia's countries can change the course of population development has been shown by China, whose population growth rate has decreased to 1.2%. 58% of the world's population in 1985 was Asian, and 53% of it was concentrated in 11 Asian countries, of which 37.6% was accounted for by India and China. Asia's population density is 3 times the world average, and the number of persons sustained by a square kilometer of land in Asia is 2.5 times the world average. Asia's population is young (median age 20.3), which means a high dependency burden, a large number of women of childbearing age, and low quality of life, as measured by infant mortality, life expectancy, and literacy. Rapid population growth ensures a low rate of development. Asia's goals are to achieve a 1% growth rate by year 2000, zero population growth and replacement level by 2015 for East Asia and 2020 for South Asia. The World Bank estimates that Asia's population will not stabilize until the end of the 21st century, by which time it will have reached 6 billion. Asia must find a way of achieving both population control and economic development. 5 recommendations are made to the Asian Forum of Parliamentarians on Population and Development (AFPPD): 1) that the AFPPD sponsor the activities of "the Day of 3 billion"; 2) that seminars and conferences on population be held among Asian nations; 3) that high-fertility countries adopt late marriages, few births, and programs for maternal and child health; 4) that organizations for family planning be strengthened and given the resources to upgrade the status of women; and 5) that international cooperation in the area of population be intensified.     

An LP-rounding based algorithm for a capacitated uniform facility location problem with penalties

Journal of Combinatorial Optimization - Facility location problem is a well established research area within Operations Research. Capacitated facility location problem is one of the most important...     

论秦汉铜器的一体化

秦汉铜器的一体化可划分为秦至汉初、西汉中期至晚期前段、西汉晚期后段至东汉三个阶段。第一阶段的一体化主要体现在打破了先秦族群铜器文化独立发展的格局,与秦汉帝国的统一和建立有关。第二阶段主要为铜礼器的一体化,与汉武帝的铜政即工官专控有关。第三阶段主要为实用器具的一体化,与铜器制作的放开、私家作坊的涌现所导致的产品商业化有关。不同阶段的铜器一体化程度不同：秦至汉初处于雏形阶段,西汉中期至晚期前段进程加速,西汉晚期后段至东汉得到进一步加强。