体育场馆融资模式选择框架研究

我国传统的体育场馆建设融资模式存在建设资金有限、赛后经营困难、管理效率低等问题，已不能适应体育场馆的建设需要，迫切需要引入新的融资模式。BOT(Built-Operation-Transfer)、PPP(Public-Private-Partnership)等融资模式在国外体育场馆融资中得到了广泛应用，对我国体育场馆融资模式的更新和多样化有积极的意义。从融资难度、风险分配等方面比较各种融资模式的特点，分析了体育场馆准公共产品特点对融资模式选择的影响，提出了基于场馆类型、场馆重要程度、融资和经营难度与期望目标四维的体育场馆融资模式选择框架模型。     

“在人际关系中创造性转换的自我”何以可能？——评杜维明对儒家“哲学人类学”的“创造性阐释”

杜维明以哲学人类学的视角对儒学作出“创造性阐释”，把儒家哲学阐释为一种哲学的人类学。认为儒家的人性自我的实现除了需要内在主体在自我修养中不断深化外，还需要在外在人际关系的层层拓展与交互作用中进行创造性转换。但这种“创造性阐释”方法仅仅是观念的诠释，既不符合儒家思想的本意，也缺乏历史条件的支撑，更不可能在现代社会中实现创造性的转换。     

Kurtosis modelling by means of the J-transformation

Summary: The H–family of distributions or H–distributions, introduced by Tukey (1960; 1977), are generated by a single transformation of the standard normal distribution and allow for leptokurtosis represented by the parameter h. Alternatively, Haynes et al. (1997) generated leptokurtic distributions by applying the K–transformation to the normal distribution. In this study we propose a third transformation, the so–called J–transformation, and derive some properties of this transformation. Moreover, so-called elongation generating functions (EGFs) are introduced. By means of EGFs we are able to visualize the strength of tail elongation and to construct new transformations. Finally, we compare the three transformations towards their goodness–of–fit in the context of financial return data.     

Unequal at the Starting Line: Creating Participatory Inequalities across Generations and among Groups

We investigate how inequalities in political participation are shaped across generations by considering the influence of family background--in particular, parents' education and political involvement--on political participation. We pursue this issue, first, for individuals, investigating the effects of parental characteristics on the participatory profile of their offspring. Then, we use what we have learned to understand how group differences in political participation--between women and men and among Latinos, African Americans, and Anglo Whites--are rooted in the legacy of class and political background and in experiences throughout the life cycle.     

普通野生稻和药用野生稻种子休眠性的研究

对普通野生稻和药用野生稻种子休眠的原因进行了探讨,表明野生稻种的遗传特性、形态性状、颖壳的透性和种子的生理特性与种子休眠有关。研究结果为打破野生稻种子休眠、提高其发茅力提供了依据和适宜的方法。     

草原牧区生态移民及其对策

随着我国草原的日益退化，牧民的生存和发展形势严峻，牧区的生态移民问题已经提到议事日程，并在我国许多牧区开始实践。该文对牧区生态移民的成因和途径做了初步的探索。我国牧区人口已超出了生态环境的承受力，许多牧民已经丧失了基本生产生活资料——草原。草原封育需要牧区进行生态移民，要用科学的发展观指导牧区生态移民；政府要用宏观、开放的视野指导牧区生态移民，不能局限在一时一地解决这一问题；向牧区未利用草原移民；改革牧区的第一产业，发展牧区的第二、三产业，为牧民创造更多的就业岗位以减轻向系统外移民的压力；向农村和城镇转移，实现从草原生态经济系统向系统外移民。     

中美国家应急管理机制比较研究

针对学术界在国家应急管理机制研究方面缺乏全面比较分析的问题,文章运用比较分析方法研究了中美两国国家应急管理机制在组织机构、行动程序与法律保障三个方面的差异。通过研究提出,中国国家应急管理机制应在“设立应急管理协调机构”、“提高应急管理行动的计划性”、“制定应急管理纲领性法律”三个方面加以改进的建议。     

德国应用技术大学的教学体系及其借鉴意义

德国应用技术大学(Fachhochscule)具有专业性、应用性、地域性等特征。文章研究了德国应用技术大学的学制、教学目标、课程体系及其实践教学的特点，并从教学安排、课程体系及实践教学三个方面与我国的情况进行了对比，在此基础上分析总结了其成功的经验及对我国普通高等工科院校教学改革的借鉴意义。     

HEAVY-TAILED-DISTRIBUTED THRESHOLD STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS IN FINANCIAL TIME SERIES

To capture mean and variance asymmetries and time‐varying volatility in financial time series, we generalize the threshold stochastic volatility (THSV) model and incorporate a heavy‐tailed error distribution. Unlike existing stochastic volatility models, this model simultaneously accounts for uncertainty in the unobserved threshold value and in the time‐delay parameter. Self‐exciting and exogenous threshold variables are considered to investigate the impact of a number of market news variables on volatility changes. Adopting a Bayesian approach, we use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to estimate all unknown parameters and latent variables. A simulation experiment demonstrates good estimation performance for reasonable sample sizes. In a study of two international financial market indices, we consider two variants of the generalized THSV model, with US market news as the threshold variable. Finally, we compare models using Bayesian forecasting in a value‐at‐risk (VaR) study. The results show that our proposed model can generate more accurate VaR forecasts than can standard models.     

论公司价值的创造

公司价值最大化已经成为公司管理的终极目标,如何实现价值创造便成为公司管理的现实目标。公司战略、公司治理和公司理财对公司价值的三个价值推动要素都有很大的影响,因此,需要融合公司战略、公司治理和公司理财来实现价值创造。