毛泽东的社会主义改造理论及其意义

从新民主主义到社会主义的过渡时期,中国共产党在领导对生产资料私有制进行社会主义改造过程中积累了极其丰富的经验。毛泽东在总结和概括这些经验的基础上,创立的具有中国特色的马克思主义的社会主义改造理论,是对马克思列宁主义和国际共产主义运动的重大贡献。对毛泽东的这个重大贡献,今天我们也还需要从理论上加以阐述,阐述其内容和意义。     

民营企业投资风险的统计度量与分析

中国民营企业普遍存在着寿命短暂、难以长大等问题,一个重要的原因在于民营企业投资失误较多,决策不科学,在投资风险的预测、度量、分析、控制上出了问题.因此,在传统的统计学方法计量投资项目的风险大小的基础上,指出了传统净现值法的一些缺陷,给出了较为科学的风险调整贴现率法和肯定当量法,从而使企业能作出更加合理的投资决策.     

On construction of asymptotically correct confidence intervals

In this paper we discuss constructing confidence intervals based on asymptotic generalized pivotal quantities (AGPQs). An AGPQ associates a distribution with the corresponding parameter, and then an asymptotically correct confidence interval can be derived directly from this distribution like Bayesian or fiducial interval estimates. We provide two general procedures for constructing AGPQs. We also present several examples to show that AGPQs can yield new confidence intervals with better finite-sample behaviors than traditional methods.     

工业经济增长集聚弹性研究——对中国三大经济圈的实证分析

产业集群理论正在继梯度转移理论、增长极发展理论后成为主导区域经济发展新型区域发展理论。在中国的工业化过程中，珠三角、长三角和环渤海地区随着其地区一体化水平的不断提高制造业都表现为不同程度的产业集聚，其制造业集聚程度与地域经济发展特别是工业经济增长都具有较强的相关性。因此，结合面板数据（panel data）模型的计量方法对中国三大经济圈的工业增长集聚弹性进行估计并就三大经济圈的增长集聚弹性差异的成因进行了分析是十分必要的。     

影响两系籼粳杂交水稻籽粒增重的因素分析

以19个两系籼梗杂交水稻组合为试验材料,应用通径分析法从形态学和生理学的角度分析了影响籼梗杂交水稻籽粒增重的因素。结果表明稻穗上、中、下部籽粒表现强、中、弱势粒灌浆生长特点。单株颖花数目与总干物重的相对比例、收获指数对稻穗不同粒位的籽粒增重产生较大的直接效应。单株总干物重对不同粒位千粒重的影响产生较大的间接效应。单株枝梗总干重对中、上部籽粒增重产生较大的直接效应,但对下部籽粒增重产生较大的直接负效应。此外,中、上部一次枝梗干重与其着生的颖花数目的相对比例,下部一次枝梗干重相应对其籽粒增重产生较大的直接效应。对提高两系籼梗杂交水稻籽粒增重进行了讨论。     

论我国高等教育运行机制的过渡与转换

本文认为,我国现阶段的高教运行机制正处于过渡与转换的初始阶段,机制转换的完成需要经历一个较长的过渡时期.为了顺利平稳地完成机制转换,必须构建相应的过渡性目标模式,以此作为从适应产品经济到适应有计划的商品经济的高教运行机制模式转换的中介。因此,今后—个时期高教改革的基本思路就不应只朝一个方向努力,而应以国家职能转变为契机,在国家、社会和学校三方面同时展开,并辅之于教育市场的不断培育和竞争机制的逐步加强。     

The elites’ collective subjectivities of the history of ethnic politics in Malaysia

ABSTRACT

Malaysia is one of the multi-ethnic, multi-cultural and multi-religious countries in Southeast Asia. Due to the pluralistic nature of Malaysia, it has a political structure based on ethnic politics. The ethnic preferential policies affected most domains of this country. The objective of this article is to examine the origin and background of ethnic politics in Malaysia. Findings of this study indicate that, ethnic politics originated during the British colonial period, it became a tool used by the Barisan Nasional for the legitimacy of regime. Moreover, ethnic politics in Malaysia today is intertwined with religion. Besides, there is the dilemma of the choice between the interest of certain ethnic group and national interests. However, with the opposition coalition Pakatan Harapan won the election in 9th May, UMNO-led BN lost power and interrupted its 61 years control, which leaves us an interesting topic to think about the future of Malaysian ethnic politics.     

我国民族素质研究的标志性成果--读都永浩新著《民族素质论》

本文认为,<民族素质论>的出版,既是对中国民族理论学科研究领域的拓展和深化,又是民族素质研究的标志性成果.它的学术贡献主要有深度探讨了民族素质的概念;全面论述了研究民族素质的意义和其所能发挥的作用;科学地分析了民族素质的形成与发展过程;辩证地阐述了现代民族素质诸结构及其相互关系等.     

试论西域文化对入驻西域蒙古人的影响

本文运用文化人类学理论 ,在简要论述蒙古社会传统状况的基础上 ,从政治、经济、文化等三个方面探讨蒙古人入驻西域后所受的西域文化影响。蒙古人在入驻西域时是以统治民族自居并希冀以本族文化影响当地诸族文化的 ,但在漫长的风雨沧桑中经几百年多民族交流、合作与互动以及西来伊斯兰文化的强烈影响 ,自己自觉或不自觉地受到当地文化影响而最终成为维吾尔民族的成员。这是文化互动、民族互动的结果。     

Inference in Semi‐Parametric Dynamic Models for Repeated Count Data

This paper deals with a longitudinal semi‐parametric regression model in a generalised linear model setup for repeated count data collected from a large number of independent individuals. To accommodate the longitudinal correlations, we consider a dynamic model for repeated counts which has decaying auto‐correlations as the time lag increases between the repeated responses. The semi‐parametric regression function involved in the model contains a specified regression function in some suitable time‐dependent covariates and a non‐parametric function in some other time‐dependent covariates. As far as the inference is concerned, because the non‐parametric function is of secondary interest, we estimate this function consistently using the independence assumption‐based well‐known quasi‐likelihood approach. Next, the proposed longitudinal correlation structure and the estimate of the non‐parametric function are used to develop a semi‐parametric generalised quasi‐likelihood approach for consistent and efficient estimation of the regression effects in the parametric regression function. The finite sample performance of the proposed estimation approach is examined through an intensive simulation study based on both large and small samples. Both balanced and unbalanced cluster sizes are incorporated in the simulation study. The asymptotic performances of the estimators are given. The estimation methodology is illustrated by reanalysing the well‐known health care utilisation data consisting of counts of yearly visits to a physician by 180 individuals for four years and several important primary and secondary covariates.