人与社会的抗争——罗亭与哈姆菜特形象之比较

人与社会的抗争自古以来就是人类永存的意识.本文试图从罗亭与哈姆莱特这两个相隔近两个世纪的文学形象比较中揭示出人与社会的抗争绝非易事,但只有为真理而不屈的斗争才是人实现自身价值之途径.     

浅谈高等院校院(系)党政共同负责制

高校院(系)党政共同负责制是经过多年探索和实践形成的较为科学的体制和机制。院(系)党政共同负责制的制度优势在实践中日益显现。要加强院(系)党政共同负责建设,为高校院(系)的科学发展提供正能量。     

浅谈中小型公共图书馆新型阅读服务模式的构建——以连云港市图书馆“你读书我买单”活动为例

当前中小型公共图书馆普遍面临着购书经费匮乏、采访人员人性化服务意识淡薄、出版物良莠不齐等问题.连云港市图书馆以“你读书我买单”活动为抓手,破解难题,不断探索新的工作方式,更好地满足了读者日益增长的阅读需求.     

苏台经贸合作的内外因素探析

江苏与台湾经贸合作20余年来,两地的经济联系与产业合作日益密切。自2002年之后,台商在江苏的直接投资一直遥遥领先于在其它省份的投资,两地的贸易份额逐步扩大。苏台经贸合作发展的内在原因在于台资企业自身的发展转型,江苏良好的投资环境以及与台湾产业的优势互补;外在因素在于大陆经济的高速增长,台湾政局的乱象以及国际经济的波动等。     

带有市场交易信息和随机微观噪声下的杠杆效应研究

在风险管理中杠杆效应的现象广泛存在，也是金融计量学中的重要议题。高频金融市场中蕴含着丰富的交易信息，而这些信息并不能都看作随机噪声，因此探讨利用市场交易信息并在带有随机噪声模型下研究杠杆效应具有重要意义。本文在带有市场交易信息和随机微观噪声相结合的模型下研究了杠杆效应，提出了新的杠杆效应估计，该估计具有n^1/8的收敛速度，同时给出了估计的方差和相关的定理。通过模拟分析得出利用广泛的市场微观信息可以更有效和更精确地对杠杆效应进行估计，模拟的结果表明本文提出的杠杆效应估计具有更好的渐近正态性和更小的偏差。最后将提出的估计应用到实证分析中，发现杠杆效应对未来一天波动率的预测具有显著性影响。     

NONLINEAR TUBE-FITTING FOR THE ANALYSIS OF ANATOMICAL AND FUNCTIONAL STRUCTURES

We are concerned with the estimation of the exterior surface and interior summaries of tube-shaped anatomical structures. This interest is motivated by two distinct scientific goals, one dealing with the distribution of HIV microbicide in the colon and the other with measuring degradation in white-matter tracts in the brain. Our problem is posed as the estimation of the support of a distribution in three dimensions from a sample from that distribution, possibly measured with error. We propose a novel tube-fitting algorithm to construct such estimators. Further, we conduct a simulation study to aid in the choice of a key parameter of the algorithm, and we test our algorithm with validation study tailored to the motivating data sets. Finally, we apply the tube-fitting algorithm to a colon image produced by single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and to a white-matter tract image produced using diffusion tensor imaging (DTI).     

Regression analysis of longitudinal data with outcome‐dependent sampling and informative censoring

We consider a regression analysis of longitudinal data in the presence of outcome‐dependent observation times and informative censoring. Existing approaches commonly require a correct specification of the joint distribution of longitudinal measurements, the observation time process, and informative censoring time under the joint modeling framework and can be computationally cumbersome due to the complex form of the likelihood function. In view of these issues, we propose a semiparametric joint regression model and construct a composite likelihood function based on a conditional order statistics argument. As a major feature of our proposed methods, the aforementioned joint distribution is not required to be specified, and the random effect in the proposed joint model is treated as a nuisance parameter. Consequently, the derived composite likelihood bypasses the need to integrate over the random effect and offers the advantage of easy computation. We show that the resulting estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. We use simulation studies to evaluate the finite‐sample performance of the proposed method and apply it to a study of weight loss data that motivated our investigation.     

Joint distribution of rises,falls, and number of runs in random sequences

By using the matrix formulation of the two-step approach to the distributions of runs, a recursive relation and an explicit expression are derived for the generating function of the joint distribution of rises and falls for multivariate random sequences in terms of generating functions of individual letters, from which the generating functions of the joint distribution of rises, falls, and number of runs are obtained. An explicit formula for the joint distribution of rises and falls with arbitrary specification is also obtained.     

中国传统犯罪构成理论发展阶段初探

对于新中国犯罪构成理论发展的历史，学界主要有四种观点：两阶段说，三阶段说。四阶段说以及五阶段说。为了反映最近的理论发展，而且从较长时间内反映犯罪构成发展的阶段性规律，笔者主张新的三阶段犯罪构成理论发展史：即第一阶段、奠基阶段（1949--1982）；第二阶段、改良阶段（1983--1997）；第三阶段、改革阶段（1998-）。     

唐代行宫三题

唐代行宫按其功用大致可分为避暑宫、温泉宫、边防宫、两京道行宫四大类。唐朝置监，设有总监、副监、丞等官员管理行宫。因其功用不同，唐代行宫在选址上对自然条件的要求各有所重，尽取河山之胜、兼求自然之趣是唐代行宫选址的总则。古代交通条件落后，受其影响，唐代行宫在地域分布上呈现出密集京都周围的特点。