Item reliability based on a paucity of item failures

When item reliability is high, lot acceptance sampling is likely to uncover no defective units. Nevertheless, the reliability lower confidence limits are often disappointing. The use of a Bayesian procedure with certain beta priors produces tighter confidence limits. The case where one observed defective is permitted in accepting a lot is also examined. Numerical results for both cases are presented. In addition, the impact of item misclassification is addressed.     

Improved estimation of variance components in mixed models

Taking Albert's (1976) formulation of a mixed model ANOVA, we consider improved estimation of the variance components for balanced designs under squared error loss. Two approaches are presented. One extends the ideas of Stein (1964), The other is developed from the fact that variance components can be expressed as linear combinations of chi-square scale parameters. Encouraging simulation results are presented.     

A note on millers's empirical weights for heteroscedastic linear regression

For heteroscedastic simple linear regression when the variances are proportional to a power of the mean of the response variable, Miller (1986) recommends the following procedure: do a weighted least squares regression with the weights (empirical weights) estimated by the inverse of the appropriate power of the response variable. The practical appeal of this approach is its simplicity.

In this article some of the consequences of this simple procedure are considered. Specifically, the effect of this procedure on the bias of the point estimators of the regression coefficients and on the coverage probabilities of their corresponding confidence intervals is examined. It is found that the performance of the process of employing empirical weights in a weighted least squares regression depends on : (1) the particular regression parameter (slope or intercept) of interest, (2) the appropriate power of the mean of the response variable involved, and (3) the amount of variation in the data about the true regression line.     

Simple and Exact Empirical Likelihood Ratio Tests for Normality Based on Moment Relations

The empirical likelihood (EL) technique is a powerful nonparametric method with wide theoretical and practical applications. In this article, we use the EL methodology in order to develop simple and efficient goodness-of-fit tests for normality based on the dependence between moments that characterizes normal distributions. The new empirical likelihood ratio (ELR) tests are exact and are shown to be very powerful decision rules based on small to moderate sample sizes. Asymptotic results related to the Type I error rates of the proposed tests are presented. We present a broad Monte Carlo comparison between different tests for normality, confirming the preference of the proposed method from a power perspective. A real data example is provided.     

Estimating means when sampling gives probabilities as well as values or “Looking a gift horse in the mouth”

Consider the random sampling of a discrete population. The observations, as they are collected one by one, are enhanced in that the probability mass associated with each observation is also observed. The goal is to estimate the population mean. Without this extra information about probability mass, the best general purpose estimator is the arithmetic average of the observations, XBAR. The issue is whether or not the extra information can be used to improve on XBAR. This paper examines the issues and offers four new estimators, each with its own strengths and liabilities. Some comparative performances of the four with XBAR are made.The motivating application is a Monte Carlo simulation that proceeds in two stages. The first stage independently samples n characteristics to obtain a configuration of some kind, together with a configuration probability p obtained, if desired, as a product of n individual probabilities. A relatively expensive calculation then determines an output X as a function of the configuration. A random sample of X could simply be averaged to estimate the mean output, but there are possibly more efficient estimators on account of the known configuration probabilities.     

Comparison of the Stein and the usual estimators for the regression error variance under the Pitman nearness criterion when variables are omitted

This paper compares the Stein and the usual estimators of the error variance under the Pitman nearness (PN) criterion in a regression model which is mis-specified due to missing relevant explanatory variables. The exact expression of the PN-probability is derived and numerically evaluated. Contrary to the well-known result under mean squared errors (MSE), with the PN criterion the Stein variance estimator is uniformly dominated by the usual estimator when no relevant variables are excluded from the model. With an increased degree of model mis-specification, neither estimator strictly dominates the other. The authors are grateful to two anonymous referees for their valuable comments. Also, the first author is grateful to the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science for partial financial support.     

Robust permutation tests for two samples

We consider robust permutation tests for a location shift in the two sample case based on estimating equations, comparing the test statistics based on a score function and an M-estimate. First we obtain a form for both tests so that the exact tests may be carried out using the same algorithms as used for permutation tests based on the mean. Then we obtain the Bahadur slopes of the tests in these two statistics, giving numerical results for two cases equivalent to a test based on Huber scores and a particular case of this related to a median test. We show that they have different Bahadur slopes with neither exceeding the other over the whole range. Finally, we give some numerical results illustrating the robustness properties of the tests and confirming the theoretical results on Bahadur slopes.     

Financial planning using goal programming

Financial planners within industrial organizations are often given the impossible task of formulating a multi-year financial plan which is severely over-constrained. As the planner attempts to meet one objective another variable (or ratio of variables) becomes unacceptable and he is faced with the familiar ‘balloon squeezing’ effect. The problem is one of multiple conflicting objectives (goals) hence lends itself very well to a goal programming method of solution. This approach provides a powerful ‘what-if’ device for the financial planner and allows him to arrive at a satisfactory solution by examining the various trade-offs among the conflicting goals. To be an effective and usable tool, the individual goals are not assigned a priority coefficient as is typical of most goal programming applications. Rather, the planner can reflect his priorities in the manner in which he performs the subsequent what-if analyses. Also, a more flexible penalty function is introduced allowing the planner to assign a more realistic set of penalities which vary in severity over a specified range. Methods of implementing this concept are discussed which overcome the problems created by the immense storage requirements and the necessity of assigning the various penalties.