Mean Estimation Under Successive Sampling with Calibration Estimators

The estimation of the finite population mean in successive occasions is investigated with calibration estimators in this article. We propose several estimators based on calibration techniques with arbitrary sampling design in each of the occasions. Asymptotic variance formulaes are derived for the proposed estimators. The properties of these estimators are studied via a simulation study and using natural populations.     

On Asymptotic Normality of the Local Polynomial Regression Estimator with Stochastic Bandwidths

Nonparametric density and regression estimators commonly depend on a bandwidth. The asymptotic properties of these estimators have been widely studied when bandwidths are non stochastic. In practice, however, in order to improve finite sample performance of these estimators, bandwidths are selected by data driven methods, such as cross-validation or plug-in procedures. As a result, nonparametric estimators are usually constructed using stochastic bandwidths. In this article, we establish the asymptotic equivalence in probability of local polynomial regression estimators under stochastic and nonstochastic bandwidths. Our result extends previous work by Boente and Fraiman (1995 Boente , G. , Fraiman , R. ( 1995 ). Asymptotic distribution of data-driven smoothers in density and regression estimation under dependence . Can. J. Statist. 23 : 383 – 397 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) and Ziegler (2004 Ziegler , K. ( 2004 ). Adaptive kernel estimation of the mode in nonparametric random design regression model . Probab. Mathemat. Statist. 24 : 213 – 235 . [Google Scholar]).     

Weighting Elementary Prices in Consumer Price Index Construction Using Spatial Autocorrelation

The Consumer Price Indexes (CPI) are used in current economic systems to measure inflation. When constructing CPIs, however, official institutions have systematically overlooked the spatial dimension of elementary prices. Ignoring the fact that prices are collected at geographical locations implicitly implies considering prices as spatially independent, when in fact they are not. To solve this problem, this article proposes to weight basic price data by taking into account the spatial correlation they display. The weighted geometric and arithmetic means suggested generalize and improve the simple geometric and arithmetic means currently in use.     

On the Strong Consistency of Ridge Estimates

In this article, we establish strong consistency of the ridge estimates using extended results for the strong consistency of the least squares estimates in multiple regression models which discard the usual assumption of null mean value for the errors and only requires them to be i.i.d. with absolute moment of order r (0 < r ? 1).     

Pivotal Quantities Based on Sequential Data: A Bootstrap Approach

A bootstrap algorithm is provided for obtaining a confidence interval for the mean of a probability distribution when sequential data are considered. For this kind of data the empirical distribution can be biased but its bias is bounded by the coefficient of variation of the stopping rule associated with the sequential procedure. When using this distribution for resampling the validity of the bootstrap approach is established by means of a series expansion of the corresponding pivotal quantity. A simulation study is carried out using Wang and Tsiatis type tests and considering the normal and exponential distributions to generate the data. This study confirms that for moderate coefficients of variation of the stopping rule, the bootstrap method allows adequate confidence intervals for the parameters to be obtained, whichever is the distribution of data.     

New Bootstrap Applications in Supervised Learning

Some bootstrap and boosting methods for problems related to classification are introduced in this article. The first method chooses better boosting weights by using a bootstrap search algorithm. The second method is a good way to define a classification frontier. A new formulation for boosting in linear discriminant analysis is given. Since in this new formulation the uncertainty is represented by the weighted covariance matrix, it is more appropriate from the conceptual point of view. Simulation results show that the proposed methods perform well in data analysis.     

Records Properties of Non Stationary Time Series

This article proposes an asymptotic expansion for the Studentized linear discriminant function using two-step monotone missing samples under multivariate normality. The asymptotic expansions related to discriminant function have been obtained for complete data under multivariate normality. The result derived by Anderson (1973 Anderson , T. W. ( 1973 ). An asymptotic expansion of the distribution of the Studentized classification statistic W . The Annals of Statistics 1 : 964 – 972 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) plays an important role in deciding the cut-off point that controls the probabilities of misclassification. This article provides an extension of the result derived by Anderson (1973 Anderson , T. W. ( 1973 ). An asymptotic expansion of the distribution of the Studentized classification statistic W . The Annals of Statistics 1 : 964 – 972 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) in the case of two-step monotone missing samples under multivariate normality. Finally, numerical evaluations by Monte Carlo simulations were also presented.     

Reduced-Bias Location-Invariant Extreme Value Index Estimation: A Simulation Study

In this article, we deal with semi-parametric corrected-bias estimation of a positive extreme value index (EVI), the primary parameter in statistics of extremes. Under such a context, the classical EVI-estimators are the Hill estimators, based on any intermediate number k of top-order statistics. But these EVI-estimators are not location-invariant, contrarily to the PORT-Hill estimators, which depend on an extra tuning parameter q, with 0 ≤ q < 1, and where PORT stands for peaks over random threshold. On the basis of second-order minimum-variance reduced-bias (MVRB) EVI-estimators, we shall here consider PORT-MVRB EVI-estimators. Due to the stability on k of the MVRB EVI-estimates, we propose the use of a heuristic algorithm, for the adaptive choice of k and q, based on the bias pattern of the estimators as a function of k. Applications in the fields of insurance and finance will be provided.     

Double Generalized Spatial Econometric Models

The authors offer a unified method extending traditional spatial dependence with normally distributed error terms to a new class of spatial models based on the biparametric exponential family of distributions. Joint modeling of the mean and variance (or precision) parameters is proposed in this family of distributions, including spatial correlation. The proposed models are applied for analyzing Colombian land concentration, assuming that the variable of interest follows normal, gamma, and beta distributions. In all cases, the models were fitted using Bayesian methodology with the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for sampling from joint posterior distribution of the model parameters.     

A Simulation Study Comparing Modeling Approaches in an Illness-Death Multi-State Model

In many medical studies, there are covariates that change their values over time and their analysis is most often modeled using the Cox regression model. However, many of these time-dependent covariates can be expressed as an intermediate event, which can be modeled using a multi-state model. Using the relationship of time-dependent (discrete) covariates and multi-state models, we compare (via simulation studies) the Cox model with time-dependent covariates with the most frequently used multi-state regression models. This article also details the procedures for generating survival data arising from all approaches, including the Cox model with time-dependent covariates.