Significant Factors of Aviation Insurance and Risk Management Strategy: An Empirical Study of Taiwanese Airline Carriers

Aviation insurance premiums have become a heavy burden for the airline industry since September 11, 2001. Although the industry must constantly balance its operations between profitability and safety, the reality is that airlines are in the business of making money. Therefore, their ability to reduce cost and manage risk is a key factor for success. Unlike past research, which used subjective judgment methods, this study applied quantitative historical data (1999–2000) and gray relation analysis to identify the primary factors influencing ratemaking for aviation insurance premiums. An empirical study of six airlines in Taiwan was conducted to determine these factors and to analyze the management strategies used to deal with them. Results showed that the loss experience and performance of individual airlines were the key elements associated with aviation insurance premiums paid by each airline. By identifying and understanding the primary factors influencing ratemaking for aviation insurance, airlines will better understand their relative operational strengths and weaknesses, and further help top management identify areas for further improvement. Knowledge of these factors combined with effective risk management strategies, may result in lower premiums and operating costs for airline companies.     

依法治国视野下政协“参政”问题刍议

政协作为多党合作和政治协商的组织形式和组织机构，“参政”是其核心职能：目前在参政中出现的种种问题，其症结还是在于法治建设的缺失和滞后。解决这一问题，要进一步探索和提升多党合作与政治协商的制度化、规范化、程序化水平，不断准备实践条件，将政策性制度逐步上升为法律性制度，最终步入法治的轨道。     

Efficient designs based on orthogonal arrays of type I and type II for experiments using units ordered over time or space

For a wide variety of applications, experiments are based on units ordered over time or space. Models for these experiments generally may include one or more of: correlations, systematic trends, carryover effects and interference effects. Since the standard optimal block designs may not be efficient in these situations, orthogonal arrays of type I and type II, which were introduced in 1961 by C.R. Rao [Combinatorial arrangements analogous to orthogonal arrays, Sankhya A 23 (1961) 283–286], have been recently used to construct optimal and efficient designs for many of these experiments. Results in this area are unified and the salient features are outlined.     

职业地位取得的社会性别差异

本文从描述被调查夫妇之间职业流动的性别差异出发，分别勾画出他们的地位实现模型。首先验证了不论性别，教育地位都是决定职业地位实现的首要变量；但也正是在教育地位的实现和向上流动(再求学)中，伴随婚姻生育等生命事件的发生，无形的结构性制度因素(意识形态层面的性别制度、性别规范和性别文化)正如后现代主义试图解构的那样依然支配着性别角色的社会化和继续社会化，使扮演双重角色的妻子或无意识地或有意识地遭遇了丈夫不为之所累的两难困境，并最终阻碍了女性的教育地位、既而是职业地位的实现。本文最后提出了三点建议和几个尚待解决的问题。     

体育场馆融资模式选择框架研究

我国传统的体育场馆建设融资模式存在建设资金有限、赛后经营困难、管理效率低等问题，已不能适应体育场馆的建设需要，迫切需要引入新的融资模式。BOT(Built-Operation-Transfer)、PPP(Public-Private-Partnership)等融资模式在国外体育场馆融资中得到了广泛应用，对我国体育场馆融资模式的更新和多样化有积极的意义。从融资难度、风险分配等方面比较各种融资模式的特点，分析了体育场馆准公共产品特点对融资模式选择的影响，提出了基于场馆类型、场馆重要程度、融资和经营难度与期望目标四维的体育场馆融资模式选择框架模型。     

谈汉语诗词中的叠词英译

叠词是汉语的一种修辞格,能带来特殊的语言表达效果。叠词形式多样、功能不一,在传达情感、强调意义和创造意境等方面颇具功效,其使用可促进语言形式和内容达到艺术统一。在结构工整严谨、对字词精炼传神、美学效果要求较高的汉语古诗词中,叠词起着不可忽视的作用。聚焦汉语古诗词中叠词的常见类型、特殊功能,关注其英译的策略原则是必要的。     

论增强党的阶级基础和扩大党的群众基础

论述了坚持党的阶级基础和扩大党的群众基础是马克思主义建党学说十分注重的问题 ,阐明了不断增强党的阶级基础和不断扩大党的群众基础是中国共产党发展建设的成功经验 ,分析了新时期不断增强党的阶级基础和不断扩大党的群众基础是时代和形势发展变化的客观要求 ,提出了新世纪不断增强党的阶级基础和不断扩大党的群众基础应该注意把握的两个基本问题。     

A class of count models and a new consistent test for the Poisson distribution

We define a class of count distributions which includes the Poisson as well as many alternative count models. Then the empirical probability generating function is utilized to construct a test for the Poisson distribution, which is consistent against this class of alternatives. The limit distribution of the test statistic is derived in case of a general underlying distribution, and efficiency considerations are addressed. A simulation study indicates that the new test is comparable in performance to more complicated omnibus tests.     

进攻——俄罗斯军事思想的主要特色

进攻与防御是军事上的两个基本方面,是矛盾的对立统一体.通常,弱者防御,强者进攻.但是,俄罗斯在自己并非始终强大的情况下,把进攻作为主要军事思想,获得最大利益,则是例外.沙皇时期军事进攻是侵略扩张和寻找出海口的需要,苏联时期军事进攻是巩固国防和追求霸权主义的需要,当代俄罗斯军事进攻则是实现强国梦和重登国际舞台的需要.     

“在人际关系中创造性转换的自我”何以可能？——评杜维明对儒家“哲学人类学”的“创造性阐释”

杜维明以哲学人类学的视角对儒学作出“创造性阐释”，把儒家哲学阐释为一种哲学的人类学。认为儒家的人性自我的实现除了需要内在主体在自我修养中不断深化外，还需要在外在人际关系的层层拓展与交互作用中进行创造性转换。但这种“创造性阐释”方法仅仅是观念的诠释，既不符合儒家思想的本意，也缺乏历史条件的支撑，更不可能在现代社会中实现创造性的转换。