首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   7583篇
  免费   113篇
  国内免费   1篇
管理学   1063篇
民族学   44篇
人口学   644篇
丛书文集   22篇
理论方法论   636篇
综合类   70篇
社会学   3218篇
统计学   2000篇
  2023年   44篇
  2021年   49篇
  2020年   108篇
  2019年   171篇
  2018年   187篇
  2017年   275篇
  2016年   194篇
  2015年   126篇
  2014年   200篇
  2013年   1432篇
  2012年   225篇
  2011年   229篇
  2010年   171篇
  2009年   181篇
  2008年   192篇
  2007年   175篇
  2006年   194篇
  2005年   177篇
  2004年   151篇
  2003年   135篇
  2002年   164篇
  2001年   199篇
  2000年   199篇
  1999年   183篇
  1998年   135篇
  1997年   123篇
  1996年   104篇
  1995年   92篇
  1994年   137篇
  1993年   97篇
  1992年   124篇
  1991年   128篇
  1990年   115篇
  1989年   102篇
  1988年   88篇
  1987年   89篇
  1986年   90篇
  1985年   87篇
  1984年   91篇
  1983年   68篇
  1982年   70篇
  1981年   48篇
  1980年   59篇
  1979年   62篇
  1978年   48篇
  1977年   48篇
  1976年   38篇
  1975年   47篇
  1974年   40篇
  1971年   25篇
排序方式: 共有7697条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
801.
802.
The uniformly mimimum variance unbiased estimators and their variances from independent samples of lognormal distributions are concisely expressed using the hypergeometric functions  相似文献   
803.
In an earlier article Mathai (1980) has given compact representations for the moments and cumulants of the trace of a noncentral Wishart matrix. He has also shown that (trA-ntr;∑)/(2ntri∑2)172. is asymptotically standard normal where A is a noncentral wishart matrix with n degrees of freedom and covariance matrix [0, In the present article explicit expressions for the exact density of the trace are given in terms of confluent hypergeometric functions and in terms of zonal polynomials for the general case and as finite sums when the sample size is odd. As a consequence of some of these representations some summation formulae for zonal polynomials are also given  相似文献   
804.
In this paper, a new five-parameter lifetime distribution called beta generalized linear exponential distribution (BGLED) is introduced. It includes at least 17 popular sub-models as special cases such as the beta linear exponential, the beta generalized exponential, and the exponentiated generalized linear distributions. Mathematical and statistical properties of the proposed distribution are discussed in details. In particular, explicit expression for the density function, moments, asymptotics distributions for sample extreme statistics, and other statistical measures are obtained. The estimation of the parameters by the method of maximum-likelihood is discussed and the finite sample properties of the maximum-likelihood estimators (MLEs) are investigated numerically. A real data set is used to demonstrate its superior performance fit over several existing popular lifetime models.  相似文献   
805.
Seasonal fractional ARIMA (ARFISMA) model with infinite variance innovations is used in the analysis of seasonal long-memory time series with large fluctuations (heavy-tailed distributions). Two methods, which are the empirical characteristic function (ECF) procedure developed by Knight and Yu [The empirical characteristic function in time series estimation. Econometric Theory. 2002;18:691–721] and the Two-Step method (TSM) are proposed to estimate the parameters of stable ARFISMA model. The ECF method estimates simultaneously all the parameters, while the TSM considers in the first step the Markov Chains Monte Carlo–Whittle approach introduced by Ndongo et al. [Estimation of long-memory parameters for seasonal fractional ARIMA with stable innovations. Stat Methodol. 2010;7:141–151], combined with the maximum likelihood estimation method developed by Alvarez and Olivares [Méthodes d'estimation pour des lois stables avec des applications en finance. Journal de la Société Française de Statistique. 2005;1(4):23–54] in the second step. Monte Carlo simulations are also used to evaluate the finite sample performance of these estimation techniques.  相似文献   
806.
The objective of this study based on Swedish registers is to examine the influence of socioeconomic position on poststroke divorce and separation using education as a marker. People aged 18 to 64 who suffered a first stroke between 1992 and 2005 were included if they were married or cohabiting and had mutual children. The material included 42,026 first stroke cases and 424,281 nonexposed persons, both populations divided into three different educational groups. Results show that the risk of separation is much higher in the incident year and in the first poststroke year, above all among people with only compulsory (elementary) education.  相似文献   
807.
808.
This article considers a nonparametric additive seemingly unrelated regression model with autoregressive errors, and develops estimation and inference procedures for this model. Our proposed method first estimates the unknown functions by combining polynomial spline series approximations with least squares, and then uses the fitted residuals together with the smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) penalty to identify the error structure and estimate the unknown autoregressive coefficients. Based on the polynomial spline series estimator and the fitted error structure, a two-stage local polynomial improved estimator for the unknown functions of the mean is further developed. Our procedure applies a prewhitening transformation of the dependent variable, and also takes into account the contemporaneous correlations across equations. We show that the resulting estimator possesses an oracle property, and is asymptotically more efficient than estimators that neglect the autocorrelation and/or contemporaneous correlations of errors. We investigate the small sample properties of the proposed procedure in a simulation study.  相似文献   
809.
It is important in computing science to estimate the number of data blocks needed to answer a query. Three different answers to this problem emerged respectively in 1975, 1977, and 1982. This article investigates the basic differences of the three models and observes that the same differences were shared a long time ago by the physicists who used different models for the behavior of elementary particles to obtain the Maxwell-Boltzmann statistics, the Bose-Einstein statistics, and the Fermi-Dirac statistics.  相似文献   
810.
Uniform order statistics generated by two simulation methods are compared by means of Pitman’s measure of closeness. This measure, as a probability, is shown to be asymptotically 1/2. Some results are also established for fixed points of the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for a uniform order statistic. These fixed points are important for calculations involving the joint distribution of these order statistics.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号