全文获取类型
收费全文 | 6570篇 |
免费 | 162篇 |
国内免费 | 3篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 1028篇 |
民族学 | 55篇 |
人才学 | 9篇 |
人口学 | 521篇 |
丛书文集 | 50篇 |
理论方法论 | 799篇 |
综合类 | 54篇 |
社会学 | 3395篇 |
统计学 | 824篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 40篇 |
2022年 | 30篇 |
2021年 | 46篇 |
2020年 | 116篇 |
2019年 | 165篇 |
2018年 | 201篇 |
2017年 | 205篇 |
2016年 | 211篇 |
2015年 | 146篇 |
2014年 | 170篇 |
2013年 | 1047篇 |
2012年 | 234篇 |
2011年 | 249篇 |
2010年 | 198篇 |
2009年 | 165篇 |
2008年 | 202篇 |
2007年 | 224篇 |
2006年 | 204篇 |
2005年 | 226篇 |
2004年 | 200篇 |
2003年 | 176篇 |
2002年 | 176篇 |
2001年 | 118篇 |
2000年 | 152篇 |
1999年 | 124篇 |
1998年 | 115篇 |
1997年 | 104篇 |
1996年 | 95篇 |
1995年 | 85篇 |
1994年 | 108篇 |
1993年 | 90篇 |
1992年 | 97篇 |
1991年 | 66篇 |
1990年 | 57篇 |
1989年 | 58篇 |
1988年 | 72篇 |
1987年 | 53篇 |
1986年 | 49篇 |
1985年 | 59篇 |
1984年 | 76篇 |
1983年 | 56篇 |
1982年 | 60篇 |
1981年 | 53篇 |
1980年 | 55篇 |
1979年 | 46篇 |
1978年 | 34篇 |
1977年 | 34篇 |
1976年 | 46篇 |
1975年 | 31篇 |
1974年 | 36篇 |
排序方式: 共有6735条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
41.
Michael I. Miller Sarang Joshi David R. Maffitt James G. Mcnally Ulf Grenander 《Journal of applied statistics》1994,21(1):141-163
Most real-world shapes and images are characterized by high variability- they are not rigid, like crystals, for example—but they are strongly structured. Therefore, a fundamental task in the understanding and analysis of such image ensembles is the construction of models that incorporate both variability and structure in a mathematically precise way. The global shape models introduced in Grenander's general pattern theory are intended to do this. In this paper, we describe the representation of two-dimensional mitochondria and membranes in electron microscope photographs, and three-dimensional amoebae in optical sectioning microscopy. There are three kinds of variability to all of these patterns, which these representations accommodate. The first is the variability in shape and viewing orientation. For this, the typical structure is represented via linear, circular and spherical templates, with the variability accomodated via the application of transformations applied to the templates. The transformations form groups: scale, rotation and translation. They are locally applied throughout the continuum and of high dimension. The second is the textural variability; the inside and outside of these basic shapes are subject to random variation, as well as sensor noise. For this, statistical sensor models and Markov random field texture models are used to connect the constituent structures of the shapes to the measured data. The third variability type is associated with the fact that each scene is made up of a variable number of shapes; this number is not assumed to be known a priori. Each scene has a variable number of parameters encoding the transformations of the templates appropriate for that scene. For this, a single posterior distribution is defined over the countable union of spaces representing models of varying numbers of shapes. Bayesian inference is performed via computation of the conditional expectation of the parametrically defined shapes under the posterior. These conditional mean estimates are generated using jump-diffusion processes. Results for membranes, mitochondria and amoebae are shown. 相似文献
42.
David Pfeiffer 《Disability & Society》1991,6(2):103-114
Most of the studies of the employment and income levels of disabled people focus on a specific disability or on severely disabled persons. A few studies are cross disability ones, but they fail to go beyond simple associations or else have extremely small sample sizes. There is a need for studies which are cross disability and which have an adequate sample size in order to determine if there are structural variables in society—like a class system-which operate upon the employment opportunities of disabled persons. Using a sample (n = 733) of the Disability Community in Massachusetts, socio-economic variables related to employment and income are studied. Statistically significant relationships are found. Several models are developed and the implications for social theory are discussed. 相似文献
43.
44.
This paper seeks to contribute to the growing interest in naming men as men as part of a critical analysis of gendered power relations in organizations. The paper highlights the way in which men and masculinities are frequently central to organizational analysis, yet rarely the focus of interrogation. They remain taken for granted and hidden. Examining recent studies that contribute to a critical analysis of gendered power relations, we consider the growing interest in multiplicity, diversity and difference. In particular, we explore the issue of ‘multiple masculinities’ as well as some of the conceptual difficulties that surround it. Arguing for an approach which addresses the unities, differences and interrelations between men and masculinities, we suggest that critical studies of gendered power need to examine the management of organizations in much more detail. Highlighting five masculinities that seem to be routinely embedded in managerial discourses and practices, we conclude by advocating further research in this previously neglected area. 相似文献
45.
David Hemenway 《Economic inquiry》1994,32(3):519-523
Recent outbreaks of measles and other childhood diseases have put immunization policy on the national agenda. This teaching note on childhood immunization, intended for principles courses, discusses the rationale for government involvement, the situation in the U.S., and the policies of Northern Ireland and Austria. It emphasizes (a) the use of financial incentives to motivate behavior, (b) the distinction between shifting and moving along the demand curve, and (c) the notion of negative prices (i.e., paying the customer to "buy" the item). Students especially like the idea of the demand curve extending below the x-axis. 相似文献
46.
47.
To ascertain the viability of a project, undertake resource allocation, take part in bidding processes, and other related decisions, modern project management requires forecasting techniques for cost, duration, and performance of a project, not only under normal circumstances, but also under external events that might abruptly change the status quo. We provide a Bayesian framework that provides a global forecast of a project's performance. We aim at predicting the probabilities and impacts of a set of potential scenarios caused by combinations of disruptive events, and using this information to deal with project management issues. To introduce the methodology, we focus on a project's cost, but the ideas equally apply to project duration or performance forecasting. We illustrate our approach with an example based on a real case study involving estimation of the uncertainty in project cost while bidding for a contract. 相似文献
48.
David Smith 《Children & Society》2003,17(3):226-235
The paper discusses the reasons for the large amount of critical commentary that New Labour's reforms of the youth justice system have attracted. It explores the extent to which there is something ‘new’ about these reforms, suggesting that there are important differences when New Labour's approach is compared with its predecessor's. It then discusses the main lines of critical commentary on the reforms, concluding that much of it is over‐abstract and insufficiently empirically informed. The paper concludes with some ambiguous evidence on what the impact of the reforms has actually been. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
49.
The authors explored predictions of general job satisfaction at early and middle adulthood and uncovered several findings about developmental processes associated with job satisfaction. Tests of life‐span career theory propositions revealed that neither choice‐job congruence nor gender added significantly to predictions of job satisfaction at 2 career stages. Earlier occupational choice and current job added to predictions of midcareer (modal age 43 years) job satisfaction, especially for men. The predictability of job satisfaction is apparently influenced by the career stage when satisfaction is appraised. 相似文献
50.
In this note, we consider the problem of estimating regression coefficients when there are missing observations of some explanatory variables. Following Dagenais (1973), Gourieroux and Monfort (1981), and Conniffe (1983a, 1983b), we assume auxiliary relationships exist among explanatory varibles. Several estimatprs and their interrelationships are discussed. We begin with the model of Gourieroux and
Monfort (1981) 相似文献
Monfort (1981) 相似文献