浅谈感性诉求广告的发展及其创作新思维

感性诉求广告是现代商业广告策略中的重要手段和方法。认真研究现代感性诉求广告的形成、创作的新思维及其应遵守的一般原则,对感性诉求广告的创作有一定的指导作用。     

四川民族地区生态建设产业化发展之研究

生态建设区域中有两个问题不容回避:一是生态建设的国家补贴有一个明确的时间段,时间段过了这些地区又怎么办;二是生态建设的国家补贴,只够维持生存而无助于脱贫致富奔小康,那么这些区域全面建设小康社会的任务、实现各民族共同富裕的目标如何完成?看不到或不愿看到这两个问题的严重性,终久是要出问题的。本文以四川民族地区为例,就解决生态建设与经济发展相协调———生态建设产业化、产业发展生态化的途径和办法进行了探讨,以期在理论和实践上实现突破。     

A Case Study for Modelling Cancer Incidence Using Bayesian Spatio‐Temporal Models

Researchers familiar with spatial models are aware of the challenge of choosing the level of spatial aggregation. Few studies have been published on the investigation of temporal aggregation and its impact on inferences regarding disease outcome in space–time analyses. We perform a case study for modelling individual disease outcomes using several Bayesian hierarchical spatio‐temporal models, while taking into account the possible impact of spatial and temporal aggregation. Using longitudinal breast cancer data from South East Queensland, Australia, we consider both parametric and non‐parametric formulations for temporal effects at various levels of aggregation. Two temporal smoothness priors are considered separately; each is modelled with fixed effects for the covariates and an intrinsic conditional autoregressive prior for the spatial random effects. Our case study reveals that different model formulations produce considerably different model performances. For this particular dataset, a classical parametric formulation that assumes a linear time trend produces the best fit among the five models considered. Different aggregation levels of temporal random effects were found to have little impact on model goodness‐of‐fit and estimation of fixed effects.     

民族自治地方立法权问题研究

我国现行立法体制具有“一元二级多层”的特点。民族自治地方立法权是我国立法体制中的一个重要组成部分,本文阐述了民族自治地方立法权的主要内容,分析了民族自治地方立法权在我国立法体制中的地位,并提出了相应的完善意见。     

国际贸易中的跟单风险及防范措施

阐述了国际贸易中跟单的发展现状,探讨了国际贸易中的跟单要求及其跟单分显得来源.在此基础上,提出在国际贸易中通过谨慎选取贸易合作伙伴、严格审查签订合同时的各条款单据、必须附有商品检测条款、提高贸易双方业务人员专业素质跟单风险的防范措施.     

敦煌壁画射箭图像研究

本文分析了敦煌壁画射箭图像所反映的民族历史和北方少数民族骑射礼仪、特点。     

体育强国视域下区域体育产业创新发展路径探析

体育产业为建设体育强国提供重要的物质基础,因此发展体育产业对于建设体育强国具有重要的现实意义.基于上述背景,探析体育强国视域下区域体育产业创新发展路径.研究分为两部分:第一部分分析我国体育产业发展现状,主要包括体育产业发展规模分析、体育产品消费情况分析、体育产业结构构成分析;第二部分分析我国体育产业创新发展策略,包括做到科技和品牌两个"创新"、加强政府宏观调控力度与手段、优化体育产业结构、培养体育产业发展所需要的人才、提高全民体育素养与参与程度等方面,以期推动我国体育产业顺利发展.     

For the Love of Art? Episodic Volunteering at Cultural Events

VOLUNTAS: International Journal of Voluntary and Nonprofit Organizations - Although episodic volunteering is a popular form of volunteering and has received increasing attention from researchers,...     

Conditional screening for ultra-high dimensional covariates with survival outcomes

Identifying important biomarkers that are predictive for cancer patients’ prognosis is key in gaining better insights into the biological influences on the disease and has become a critical component of precision medicine. The emergence of large-scale biomedical survival studies, which typically involve excessive number of biomarkers, has brought high demand in designing efficient screening tools for selecting predictive biomarkers. The vast amount of biomarkers defies any existing variable selection methods via regularization. The recently developed variable screening methods, though powerful in many practical setting, fail to incorporate prior information on the importance of each biomarker and are less powerful in detecting marginally weak while jointly important signals. We propose a new conditional screening method for survival outcome data by computing the marginal contribution of each biomarker given priorily known biological information. This is based on the premise that some biomarkers are known to be associated with disease outcomes a priori. Our method possesses sure screening properties and a vanishing false selection rate. The utility of the proposal is further confirmed with extensive simulation studies and analysis of a diffuse large B-cell lymphoma dataset. We are pleased to dedicate this work to Jack Kalbfleisch, who has made instrumental contributions to the development of modern methods of analyzing survival data.     

马克思恩格斯早期对马克思主义伦理思想归宿的探析--1844年1月至8月

文章通过对1844年1月至8月马克思恩格斯著作的分析,认为他们在对人的本质进行论述的基础上,通过对异化劳动的阐述,共同寻找到了马克思主义伦理思想的归宿——共产主义。