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31.
32.
Eduardo Elena 《Social history》2013,38(1):117-119
Ted Robert Gurr, Rogues, Rebels, and Reformers. A Political History of Urban Crime and Conflict (1977), xii+192 (Sage, Beverly Hills and London, £7.50) 相似文献
33.
Camilo García‐Jimeno 《Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society》2016,84(2):511-570
The U.S. Prohibition experience shows a remarkable policy reversal. In only 14 years, a drastic shift in public opinion required two constitutional amendments. I develop and estimate a model of endogenous law enforcement, determined by beliefs about the Prohibition‐crime nexus and alcohol‐related moral views. In turn, the policy outcomes shape subsequent learning about Prohibition enforcement costs. I estimate the model through maximum likelihood on Prohibition Era city‐level data on police enforcement, crime, and alcohol‐related legislation. The model can account for the variation in public opinion changes, and the heterogeneous responses of law enforcement and violence across cities. Results show that a 15% increase in the homicide rate can be attributed to Prohibition enforcement. The subsequent learning‐driven adjustment of local law enforcement allowed for the alcohol market to rebound to 60% of its pre‐Prohibition size. I conclude with counterfactual exercises exploring the welfare implications of policy learning, prior beliefs, preference polarization, and alternative political environments. Results illustrate the importance of incorporating the endogenous nature of law enforcement into our understanding of policy failure and policy success. 相似文献
34.
M. Giovanna Ranalli Antonio Arcos María del Mar Rueda Annalisa Teodoro 《Statistical Methods and Applications》2016,25(3):321-349
Survey statisticians make use of auxiliary information to improve estimates. One important example is calibration estimation, which constructs new weights that match benchmark constraints on auxiliary variables while remaining “close” to the design weights. Multiple-frame surveys are increasingly used by statistical agencies and private organizations to reduce sampling costs and/or avoid frame undercoverage errors. Several ways of combining estimates derived from such frames have been proposed elsewhere; in this paper, we extend the calibration paradigm, previously used for single-frame surveys, to calculate the total value of a variable of interest in a dual-frame survey. Calibration is a general tool that allows to include auxiliary information from two frames. It also incorporates, as a special case, certain dual-frame estimators that have been proposed previously. The theoretical properties of our class of estimators are derived and discussed, and simulation studies conducted to compare the efficiency of the procedure, using different sets of auxiliary variables. Finally, the proposed methodology is applied to real data obtained from the Barometer of Culture of Andalusia survey. 相似文献
35.
"克强指数"是英国著名政经杂志《经济学人》在 2010 年推出的用于评估中国 GDP 增长量的指标,由工业用电量、铁路货运量、中长期贷款按一定权重计算得到.根据重庆市经济发展特色,选取重庆市 1985—2014 年的相关经济发展指标,探讨重庆市经济增长与"克强指数"之间的动态关系,为客观公正评价重庆市经济发展情况提供思路. 相似文献
36.
When studying associations between a functional covariate and scalar response using a functional linear model (FLM), scientific knowledge may indicate possible monotonicity of the unknown parameter curve. In this context, we propose an F-type test of monotonicity, based on a full versus reduced nested model structure, where the reduced model with monotonically constrained parameter curve is nested within an unconstrained FLM. For estimation under the unconstrained FLM, we consider two approaches: penalised least-squares and linear mixed model effects estimation. We use a smooth then monotonise approach to estimate the reduced model, within the null space of monotone parameter curves. A bootstrap procedure is used to simulate the null distribution of the test statistic. We present a simulation study of the power of the proposed test, and illustrate the test using data from a head and neck cancer study. 相似文献
37.
Gómez P González MJ Gil F Lupiáñez JL Moreno MF Rico L Romero I 《Evaluation and program planning》2007,30(2):149-160
The establishment of the European Higher Education Area has involved specifying lists of professional competencies that programs are expected to develop, and with this the need for procedures to measure how every course within a higher education program is aligned with the program's competencies. We propose an instrument for characterizing this alignment, a process that we call assessing the relevance of a course. Using information from the course syllabus (objectives, contents and assessment scheme), our instrument produces indicators for characterizing the syllabus in terms of a competence list and for assessing its coherence. Because assessment involves quality, the results obtained can also be used to revise and improve the course syllabus. We illustrate this process with an example of a methods course from a mathematics teacher education program at a Spanish university. 相似文献
38.
Inmaculada García José Alberto Molina María Navarro 《Journal of Family and Economic Issues》2007,28(4):546-565
This paper first identifies the determinants of spouses’ satisfaction levels within the household with respect to their leisure
time and, secondly, characterizes whether their preferences have some degree of altruistic or egoistic character in regard
to this particular satisfaction. To that end, it formulates a theoretical framework from the collective family model whose
stochastic formulations are estimated for 14 EU countries. The general empirical results first reveal that the presence of
children has a significantly negative impact on the leisure satisfaction of both spouses. Then, increases in individual incomes
lead to lower own leisure satisfaction levels. Both husbands and wives show egoistic behavior with respect to the labor and
non-labor incomes (wage rate) of their respective spouses’ satisfaction levels.
相似文献
María NavarroEmail: |
39.
In the study of risks
, different sciences use the same category in different ways, each related to its own ontological assumptions. But many of
these fields communicate very little with one another. This article seeks to approximate two of these areas of study that
have shown similar concerns and that can mutually strengthen one another, namely, geography and demography. Geography was
one of the first disciplines to include risk in its environmental dimension and has had broad experience in simultaneously
focusing on social and natural dynamics. Demography, on the other hand, faces greater difficulties because only recently has
it incorporated the environmental dimension into its scientific scope. Both have brought the concept of vulnerability into
their conceptual framework as complementary to that of risk. Geographers understand vulnerability as a more symbiotic form
of the relationship between society and nature, whereas demographers give it a strong socioeconomic component. In this regard,
the conceptual discussion on risks and vulnerabilities, in its attempt at approximating these two fields, is a way of conceptually
advancing and strengthening the different approaches to empirical work, especially in population–environment studies which
is the common ground for the dialogue between the two disciplines.
相似文献
Daniel Joseph HoganEmail: |
40.
Verónica Verdía Varela Belén Fernández Suárez Renée DePalma 《International migration (Geneva, Switzerland)》2020,58(5):128-143
The ongoing project of citizenship construction in societies receiving international immigration demands a perspective that takes into account the interests, views and needs of all socio-demographic groups, including those of newcomers as potential new citizens. We interviewed representatives of 16 immigrant associations operating in the Spanish autonomous community of Galicia, reviewed immigration policy in 13 Spanish (Galician) municipalities, and interviewed 20 municipal government staff members who put these into practice. With this research, we aim to explore the perspectives of immigrants with respect to their own integration and to examine how these compare with local policies designed to facilitate these processes. By comparing the immigrant representatives' perceptions with local policy discourses and practice, our study reveals how local integration practice is not only inconsistent with its own policy discourse but also fails to consider and include immigrants' own understandings of what integration means and how it can be achieved. 相似文献