A multivariate solution of the multivariate ranking and selection problem

The problem of selection of the best multivariate population is given a new formulation which does not involve reducing the populations to univariate quantities. This formulation's solution is developed for known, and (using the Heteroscedastic Method) also for unknown, variance-covariance matrices. Preference reversals and arbitrary nonlinear preference functions are explicitly allowed in this new theory     

The mean of linear signed rank statistics under alternatives

An expression is presented for the mean of a linear signed rank statistic for the one sample location model. Several examples are given to illustrate its application.     

Optimum spacings for the joint estimation and tests of hypothesis of location and scale parameters of the cauchy distribution

A simultaneous test for the location and scale parameters of the Cauchy distribution is considered based on selected order statistics.. It is shown that optimum spacings that maximise the Pitman ARE of the test coincide with that of the optimum spacings for the estimation problem.     

Asymptotic equivalence of the harrell-davis median estimator and the sample median

This paper presents an asymptotic equivalence result with a sharp rate of convergence forthe sample median and the Harrell-Davis median estimator. The consequences of this result are discussed.     

On a nonparametric test for the mixed-model

Nonparametric tests for the null hypothesis of no treatment effect in the mixed-model experiment which involves n randomly chosen subjects who respond once to each of ρ distinct treatments have been developed by Koch and Sen (1968), These tests were based on the assumption of compound symmetry of the error vectors and on the weaker assumption of diagonal symmetry of the error vectors. This paper considers an alternative (permutationally) distribution-free test under this latter assumption. The new test follows the same type of distribution theory as those in Koch and Sen, but utilizes the inherent invariance structure in a more visable and direct way.     

Bayesian analysis of a multiple-recapture model

In the Bayesian analysis of a multiple-recapture census, different diffuse prior distributions can lead to markedly different inferences about the population size N. Through consideration of the Fisher information matrix it is shown that the number of captures in each sample typically provides little information about N. This suggests that if there is no prior information about capture probabilities, then knowledge of just the sample sizes and not the number of recaptures should leave the distribution of Nunchanged. A prior model that has this property is identified and the posterior distribution is examined. In particular, asymptotic estimates of the posterior mean and variance are derived. Differences between Bayesian and classical point and interval estimators are illustrated through examples.     

A formula for a missing plot in a general incomplete block design,when recovery of interblock information is used

In this paper, Yate's missing plot technique is used to derive the formula for substitution in a missing plot in a general incomplete block design, where blocks are assumed to be independent normal. The use of penalized normal equations, using BLUPS, makes this task simpler.     

Parsimonious Estimation of the Covariance Matrix in Multinomial Probit Models

This article presents a Bayesian analysis of a multinomial probit model by building on previous work that specified priors on identified parameters. The main contribution of our article is to propose a prior on the covariance matrix of the latent utilities that permits elements of the inverse of the covariance matrix to be identically zero. This allows a parsimonious representation of the covariance matrix when such parsimony exists. The methodology is applied to both simulated and real data, and its ability to obtain more efficient estimators of the covariance matrix and regression coefficients is assessed using simulated data.     

老字号的技艺传承——以北京“盛锡福”皮帽制作为例

本文以北京盛锡福皮帽制作为个案讨论老字号的技艺传承问题。今天老字号的手工技艺被认为代表着传统,正是因为新的技术形态(机械工业)的出现。从老字号企业的发展史看,手工技艺与机械技术经历了长期碰撞、互动、融合的过程,但手工技艺有的工序始终是机械技术无法进入的最后防线,这就成为老字号存在的意义。本文从老字号自身历史说起,再谈到当下的技艺传承,最后论及技术宇宙观的问题。