中国省区城市化水平的马尔可夫预测

首先将中国省区的城市化水平划分为四种状态,并建立一个吸收的Markov随机过程,描述中国省区城市化水平状态的变化规律;其次,利用Markov预测模型,对省区城市化水平的变动趋势进行预测;最后,通过吸收Markov链的基本矩阵,对各种"非吸收状态"进入"吸收状态"(高度城市化水平状态)所需的时间进行预测,并对其进行分析.     

Intensity, timeliness, and success of incumbent response to technological discontinuities: a synthesis and empirical investigation

The extant literature highlights numerous different factors influencing the timeliness and intensity of incumbent response to discontinuous technological change. However, this literature has so far not been synthesized and is therefore limited in its analytical, predictive, and normative power. We develop a comprehensive model of incumbent response that organizes different explanatory factors into the three distinct dimensions of (1) identification and interpretation, (2) decision making, and (3) organizational implementation. We also conceptualize how response intensity and timeliness affect business performance in new technological domains. We test the model against data from 320 firms from the German dental lab industry, finding substantial support for the majority of our hypotheses. This study offers unique empirical insight in observing that cognitive constructs such as framing and management flexibility have the strongest impact on both intensity and timeliness of incumbent response to technological, and thus, strategic discontinuities. Together, our findings have important implications for both theory and practice.     

Brand management: Unveiling the delusion of control

Mainstream brand management literature views brands as products or organisations carrying brand names and brand managers as being in control of brand-related actions and outcomes. By contrast, recent empirical research shows the substantial influence of stakeholders on brands. Together with brand management, stakeholders shape brands by participating in brand-related interaction. European brand research accordingly treats brands as ongoing and complex processes in constant flux. Nevertheless, literature suffers from a significant lack of theoretical underpinnings for understanding brands as complex processes; in this respect, building on European philosophy is a fruitful avenue. This paper introduces the metaphor of the rhizome and draws on European process philosophy to further develop an integrative processual understanding of brands. Brand management claiming control over brands as processes turns out to be a delusion.     

An Auditor's Perspective of Executive Incentive Pay and Dividend Payouts in Family Firms

Journal of Family and Economic Issues - In family firms, where the family and the business domains are intertwined, conflicts from one domain can spill over to the other. Agency conflicts in the...     

Supply chain relationship quality and its impact on firm performance

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of supply chain relationship quality (SCRQ) on firm performance (FP) through the mediators of supply chain management processes (SCMP) and supply chain performance (SCP). In the literature, these linkages have been examined separately; in contrast, this study takes a holistic perspective on the antecedents of FP. The model was tested using survey data from manufacturing companies. Variance-based structural equation modelling revealed that both SCMP and SCP lead to FP, unlike SCRQ. On the other hand, SCRQ affects SCMP. Drawing on the resource-based view, consistency in SCRQ can lead to not only efficient and effective supply chain management but also improvements in FP and SCP. This research has practical implications, providing supply chain decision makers with insights on enhancing FP. Supply chain decision makers will be able to benefit from the findings of our study by improving supply chain relationships with supply chain members and ensuring FP. This research also highlights how effective management of SCRQ, SCMP and SCP can provide better FP and a competitive advantage.     

Labor market contracting and wage dispersion

This paper uses a variety of data sources to document the effect of long-term contracts (LTCs) on wage dispersion. The paper first shows that LTCs are responsible for the decrease in wage dispersion observed as labor markets tighten; absent LTCs (as in most other advanced nations outside North America), this effect does not exist. The paper next examines the relationship between cost-of-living escalators (COLAs) and wage dispersion. COLAs are typically found only in those countries that rely on LTCs, although the incidence of COLAs in these nations is affected by inflation variability. Thus, in the United States, COLAs became much more prevalent in long-term contracts during the 1970s, which caused an increase in wage dispersion, particularly between the union and nonunion sectors. The paper concludes that, despite some suggestions that we ban LTCs and COLAs because of their perverse effects on wage dispersion and other economic outcomes, such a ban would be unwise in light of historically high levels of industrial strife in those nations that rely on these contractual devices.     

Eigenverantwortung — Berufliche Leistung und Anforderung

Ohne Zusammenfassung     

The developmental phasing of internalization: Implications for diagnosis and treatment

This article proposes that the concepts of internalization and mental representation are the theoretical linkages capable of bridging most if not all of the developmental theories despite the formulation of these theories at varying levels of abstraction. Previously unresolvable theoretical dilemmas fade away before the integrative power of these concepts. A brief review of levels of brain function acknowledges the biological substrate from which all developmental and adaptive processes unfold. As with a single developmental line, normative patterns and deviations are of equal significance to preliminary efforts toward integration. Utilizing the concepts of mental representation and internalization, points of intersection of major developmental theories are illustrated. Application to the therapeutic arena via more developmentally informed diagnosis and specificity of attunement and therapeutic use of self is briefly demonstrated.